Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumU-Mass Amhert Poll: HRC leads 47-44
(Note that this poll is actually kind of old conducted 2/19-2/25--prior to SC--so the poll released yesterday giving HRC an 8-point lead is actually more recent):
In the survey of 400 likely Democratic voters between February 19 and 25, Clinton leads Sanders 44-to-43 percent, with 9-percent undecided. When leaners, those who havent decided but are leaning towards one candidate, are added in, Clintons lead grows slightly to 47-to-44 percent.
Clinton enjoys significant leads among women over 30, Catholics and moderates. Sanders dominates twentysomethings and liberals.
While Sanders also scored his usual blowout margin on trustworthiness (73-15%), he loses badly on the other qualities voters said were important: best chance to win in November (65-29% Clinton); a strong leader (66-23%); and has the right experience (90-4%).
He has to win it; with all the coverage down here of Sanders impressive march to a rout in New Hampshire, a rejection by one of the nations most left-leaning Democratic enclaves would be hard to spin.
http://boston.cbslocal.com/2016/02/29/massachusetts-primary-wbz-umass-poll-super-tuesday-donald-trump-hillary-clinton-bernie-sanders/
Treant
(1,968 posts)All things considered, I'd trade a loss in OK for a win in MA.
Of the two, MA is the bigger prize, and has much better optics for Clinton. OK doesn't do much for Sanders and only has 38 delegates anyway.
Both will end up being a near split, but the momentum issue can't be stressed enough.
yallerdawg
(16,104 posts)Nobody really likes to vote for a loser!