Monmouth Poll: HRC has a 48-point lead in Alabama, but...
in their Oklahoma poll is running five-points behind--Oh well, you can't win 'em all. Still, HRC will get almost as many delegates out of a narrow loss in Oklahoma and will get a huge number of delegates out of a landslide win in Alabama
-- Democratic primary --
In the Democratic contest, Hillary Clinton currently holds a commanding 71% to 23% lead over
Bernie Sanders in Alabama. In Oklahoma, though, Sanders has a small 48% to 43% edge over Clinton.
This is much different from the outcomes in these two states eight years ago. In 2008, Clinton lost
Alabama to Barack Obama by 14 points, but she won Oklahoma by a healthy 24 points.
A key difference between these two states is the proportion of minority voters in each. In
Oklahoma, 75% of likely Democratic voters in the Monmouth poll are non-Hispanic whites. In Alabama,
that number is only 42%, while a majority (53%) are black.
Sanders leads Clinton among white voters in Oklahoma by 48% to 41%, but trails in Alabama
with just 37% to 59% for Clinton. Clinton’s substantial lead among white voters in Alabama is
augmented by her 80% to 12% showing among black voters there.
“The best chance for Sanders seems to be in places with largely white Democratic electorates.
Unfortunately for him, the most delegate-rich Super Tuesday states have significant numbers of minority
voters,” said Murray.
Half of likely Democratic primary voters say that they are completely decided on their candidate
choice – 51% in Alabama and 52% in Oklahoma. Clinton voters are more likely than Sanders supporters
in both states to report their vote is locked in.
https://politicalwire.com/
= new reply since forum marked as read
Anything else will be a draw (a.k.a. "virtual tie"
.
Delegates counted by even the Bernie supporters will end up a runaway! 
