Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumCNN Poll of Nevada--tight race
but also a very small sample. Bottom line is if our folks turnout we will win.
The race between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders is deadlocked ahead of Saturday's Democratic caucuses, according to the results of the latest CNN/ORC poll from the state released Wednesday.
Clinton earned 48 percent to Sanders' 47 percent, with the former secretary of state leading among voters over the age of 55 and the Vermont senator picking up the support of more younger voters, echoing their supporting demographics in Iowa and New Hampshire.
Likely caucus-goers gave Clinton higher marks on issues related to foreign policy, health care, immigration and race relations, but on the economy, which 42 percent rated as the most important issue, Clinton and Sanders are knotted (with Clinton 48 percent, Sanders 47 percent). Among those who cited the economy as their top issue, Sanders leads by 9 points 52 percent to 43 percent. The candidates are also effectively tied among likely caucus-goers who were asked which candidate would do more to help the middle class: 50 percent said Sanders would, while 47 percent said the same of Clinton...
Reliable polls of Nevada are scarce, and it should be noted that the CNN/ORC poll has small sample sizes. The poll was conducted by telephone from Feb. 10-15, surveying 282 likely Democratic caucus-goers, with a margin of error of plus or minus 6 percentage points
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/02/poll-nevada-hillary-clinton-bernie-sanders-219361#ixzz40QujhFYS
kennetha
(3,666 posts)6% is a really high MOE.
Cha
(297,196 posts)go for.
Thank you, book!
BlueMTexpat
(15,369 posts)In fact, I had heard that they can vote again in the GOP caucus, after they have already voted in the Dem caucus. This is apparently one of the many reasons that NV is so difficult to poll.
Here's the Wiki version of the process. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nevada_caucuses
Given that KKKarl Rove's PAC is active in NV, it is quite probable that there will be GOPers participating in the Dem cacucuses, specifically to knock Hillary out because she is the far more formidable Dem candidate. So I hope that Hillary's people in NV really have their acts together. They've been working hard and I hope that their hard work pays off.
Fingers very crossed.
Tommy2Tone
(1,307 posts)That makes no sense. Has anyone seen anything in Santa Sanders message to show what anyone sees in his economic message. I am still waiting for any policy he could possibly enact period?
quickesst
(6,280 posts)..https://www.google.com/imgres?imgurl=%253Fresize%253D300%25252C197&imgrefurl=http://www.tulsaworld.com/opinion/bruce-plante-cartoon-bernie-sanders/article_7bab0de0-7a01-5ba1-93e8-e6dcb79647c2.html&h=197&w=300&tbnid=8xG-eKz6dZ2VDM:&docid=i_CyQiHYx4ne4M&ei=-IXEVqGMBsP8mAGEopOAAQ&tbm=isch&client=ms-android-verizon&ved=0ahUKEwih6NOpg__KAhVDPiYKHQTRBBAQMwgeKAEwAQ
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)We will continue to work for the ultimate goal.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)Then Hillary will have won (no matter how close) in Iowa and Nevada while Bernie will have only won in his backyard. Then (hopefully) we will be moving on to a solid victory in South Carolina.
Cha
(297,196 posts)go for if true.
stopbush
(24,396 posts)LV is a union town, and she has all the unions behind her, except Culinary, which didn't endorse anyone. Union members tend to follow the lead of the union, more so in a caucus situation where all of your fellow union members know who you're voting for.
Hillary has a great ground game in NV. Sanders doesn't and is relying on a big TV ad buy to make up ground.
And this is a caucus, where the voting process takes hours. You must be registered as a D to vote in the NV Dem caucuses. Yes, you can change your party affiliation at the caucus site, but it all adds up to more time and effort to participate in a caucus than to vote in a primary.
To be honest, I think Hilliary will win by at least 5 points, maybe more.