Democrats
Related: About this forumDemocrats guide to regaining control of the US Presidency and the US Senate in 2020.
US Presidency-
Win all of the Clinton 2016 states(232ev) plus MI-16(248ev),PA-20(268ev), and WI-10(278ev).
AZ-11(243ev) and FL-29(272ev)
AZ-11(243ev), NC-15(258ev), and MI-16(274ev)
US Senate-
Hold onto
DE(Coons-D), 36
IL(Durbin-D), 37
MA(Markey-D or Kennedy-D), 38
MI(Peters-D), 39
MN(Smith-D), 40
NH(Shaheen-D) 41
NJ(Booker-D) 42
NM(OPEN Udall-D/Lujan-D)43
OR(Merkley-D)44
RI(Reed-D)45
VA(Warner-D)46
Lose AL(Jones-D)
Pick up-
AZ special(Kelly-D)47
CO(Hickenlooper-D)48
ME(Gideon-D)49
MT(Bullock-D)50
NC(Cunningham-D)51
KS(Bollier-D vs Kobach-R)
OAITW r.2.0
(24,737 posts)lastlib
(23,356 posts)That would give us a different calculus.
We may need more than this to offset tRumpRussia interference? Actually, what I want is a 48-state landslide (hey a guy can dream, can't he?) to totally BURY the futhermucker.
But I'll let you decide if any of these states will turn red:
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
Hawaii
Illinois
Maine
Maryland
Massachussetts
Minnesota
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
Oregon
Rhode Island
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
As for the Obama states that Hillary lost, I wouldn't count on Wisconsin--they seem to have lost their minds for good, but Iowa could very well flip. I wouldn't trust Florida, either. Another state that has gone off its nut for good.
I foresee Pennsylvania as a D lock. They love the Native Son Biden there. In fact, Rust Belt states all look upon him favorably. So Michigan looks good for Biden as well, and Ohio may be close. North Carolina has been flirting with purple status for a while, so it may turn, too. Arizona keeps getting mentioned as a longtime red state about to flip, but Georgia and Texas may not be far behind.
Biden will win it if he keeps Hillary's states and then IA, MI and PA regain their senses. If he gets any two of AZ, GA, NC and TX, especially TX, the GOP will be on life support, and not just for 3 November, but forever after.
But it's a long time until November. A lot could change between now and then.
Aquaria
(1,076 posts)IA (Ernst-R)
GA (Perdue-R)
KY (McConnell-R)