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nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
Sun Sep 10, 2023, 04:23 PM Sep 2023

Democrats will definitely end up with at least 49 US Senate seats after 2024.

Democrats will definitely lose WV(Manchin-D)
Democrats have a decent chance of losing MT(Tester-D) in a state than Biden-D will lose by a double digit margin. Biden receives at least 40 percent of the popular vote in MT. Tester has an uphill battle.
Democrats will hold onto OH(Brown-D) a state Biden loses by a single digit margin. Biden receives at least 45 percent of the popular vote in OH. Brown receives at least 50 percent of the popular vote.
Democrats will win AZ(Gallego-D),NV(Rosen-D),MI(Slotkin-D),WI(Baldwin-D) and PA(Casey-D) due to Biden coattails. Biden receives at least 50 percent of the popular vote in these states.

Biden has to perform well in FL and TX to help Democratic US Senate nominee Mucarsel Powell-FL and Allred-TX.

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