For those who want to play the ratings game: WA-Sen is "Likely Democratic", not "tossup"
Over the weekend, using a trove of suspect polls from Republican pollsters as cover, RealClearPolitics pointlessly reclassified Washington States 2022 U.S. Senate between Patty Murray and Tiffany Smiley as a tossup, breaking ranks with every other major forecaster in the election prediction and ratings racket.
The rating change was promptly seized upon by Tiffany Smileys campaign as fodder for a fundraising email, with followers receiving a missive at 9:21 AM Pacific today crowing: Friend, my Senate race is now a TOSS-UP!!! Everyone now is paying attention to this all-important race. Ive been telling people for months that the people of Washington State are ready for a change. I knew in my gut that this could happen, but everyone counted me out.
-snip-
Smileys silly emails aside, for anyone whos wondering if RealClearPolitics is on to something that everyone else is missing, let me assure you that theyre not.
Theyre simply choosing to take a bunch of Republican-commissioned and Republican-polls seriously, even though those Republicans polls are at odds with the credible independent public opinion research thats been done in this race.
https://www.nwprogressive.org/weblog/2022/10/for-those-who-want-to-play-the-ratings-game-wa-sen-is-likely-democratic-not-tossup.html
Hope I'm wrong but we may be seeing "Stop the Steal" part II