Obama leads 50-47 nationally

[trailmonkee]

Source: PPP

PPP's daily national tracking poll now finds Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney 50-47 based on interviews conducted between Thursday and Saturday. This is the first time either candidate has led by more than 2 points in the three weeks we've been doing this survey. Obama has led in 4 individual days of polling in a row since Wednesday, suggesting that he may be getting a bounce based on his leadership during Hurricane Sandy.

Obama's approval is now on positive ground at 48/47. On our release last Saturday night he was at 44/52, so his net approval has improved 9 points in the last week. Obama's net favorability rating of +5 (51/46) is now 7 points better than Romney's is at -2 (47/49).

There are a couple reasons Obama has pulled into this small lead. One is that he's turned what had been a persistent disadvantage with independents into a 49/44 advantage. The other is that he's reduced what had been a 20+ point deficit with white voters back down to a 57/40 spread. When you combine that with his 89/9 lead among African Americans and 67/28 edge with Hispanics it's the formula for a small overall lead.

There are also indications that young voters might be renewing their enthusiasm for Obama in the closing stage of the campaign. He's leading 66/33 with respondents under 30, making up for his 49/47 deficit with the rest of the electorate.

It's still a very close race but momentum seems to be on Obama's side in the closing stretch.

full results here: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_TrackingPoll_113.pdf

Read more: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/11/obama-leads-50-47-nationally.html

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[skeewee08]

1. Woo Hoo....

[forestguy57]

2. Sunday, Nov. 4, 2012 Rasmussen Poll-

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows the race tied with President Obama and Mitt Romney each attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and another one percent (1%) remains undecided.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

[DCBob]

3. so?

[janx]

5. The ultimate poll is day after tomorrow.

It should be interesting to compare PPP to Rasmussen then, eh?

[Major Nikon]

6. Looks like that one is your favorite

Seeing as how this is at least the 2nd time you've posted it.

http://upload.democraticunderground.com/10021592431#post7

[Quantess]

11. How do we break this to Romney fans gently?

Something like, don't be too upset when Obama wins the election again.

[Populist_Prole]

4. Nice news but I'd say it's really more like 65/35

You know....the "horse race" factor must be factored in.

[Nika]

7. I am going to be at Lane Couty Election central at the fair grounds here in Eugene, OR on Tuesday.

It was incredibly electric there four years ago with the cheers shaking the building. I hope to hear the same thing there tis week after he wins again.

[rDigital]

8. Polls don't mean all that much. I like to so the sign drive.

I'm in NE Ohio. I've driven through many cities in Cuyahoga, Lake, Geauga and Ashtabula Counties over the past few weeks. On my drives I've seen Obama/Biden signs out numbering RMoney signs 5 to one.

SB-5 left a nasty taste in too many mouths (repubs trying to break the unions). I'm proud to say that Ohio is going to Barack Obama!

Let's keep up our campaign full speed ahead, don't take our lead for granted. It's coming down to the wire here.

[olddad56]

9. if he leads 50-47 nationally in the projected popular vote, that doesn't mean anything

If Ohio and Florida are rigged.

[SB2]

12. Spam deleted by gkhouston (MIR Team)

[donnasgirl]

10. Do not get comfortable

This is the final push people make sure you get out and vote,and make sure come wednesday your jaws take a week to heal after all the phone calls that need to be made.

[kelliekat44]

13. Reallky, Obama should be leading by at least 10 points. It's still worrisome about voter supression