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bluewater

(5,376 posts)
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 03:28 PM Mar 2022

Ukrainian President Zelensky says NATO's Article 5 "has never been as weak as it is now"

Source: CNN

In an address on Tuesday, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky reiterated his call to close Ukrainian airspace after a night of air alarms heard "almost all over" the country.

"Each of the more than 800 Russian missiles that have hit our country is an answer to a long-standing question about NATO — whether the doors of the alliance are really open for Ukraine," Zelensky said while speaking from his office Tuesday afternoon. "If they were open, if it was honest, we would not have to convince the alliance for 20 days to close the skies over Ukraine, to close from the death being brought by the Russian Air Force. But ...they don't hear or don't want to hear us yet."

He went on to call out NATO's Article 5, the principle of collective defense, "weak" as the Russian invasion of Ukraine continues.

"Some states of alliance have intimidated themselves, saying that they can't answer. That they cannot collide with Russian missiles and planes in the Ukrainian sky. Because this, they say, will lead to escalation, will lead to the Third World War. … And what will they say if Russia goes further to Europe, attacking other countries? I am sure the same thing they say to Ukraine. Article 5 of the NATO treaty has never been as weak as it is now. This is just our opinion," he said.

Read more: https://www.cnn.com/europe/live-news/ukraine-russia-putin-news-03-15-22/h_d9b893d94a3533f0d79d3d7447cd64d1



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Ukrainian President Zelensky says NATO's Article 5 "has never been as weak as it is now" (Original Post) bluewater Mar 2022 OP
Would NATO jets be able to stop incoming missiles? Chainfire Mar 2022 #1
Cruise missiles, yes William Seger Mar 2022 #36
Are Cruise missiles the bulk of what it destroying Ukrainian cities? Chainfire Mar 2022 #65
Don't know William Seger Mar 2022 #71
It sucks but Ukraine isn't in NATO. BlueTsunami2018 Mar 2022 #2
If NATO won't defend genocide in a huge country like Ukraine, why would they defend Latvia? Fiendish Thingy Mar 2022 #5
👆🏻👆🏻👆🏻👆🏻👆🏻 onecaliberal Mar 2022 #8
Because they're part of the alliance. BlueTsunami2018 Mar 2022 #11
The FEAR of Putin using nukes will exist regardless of Article Five Fiendish Thingy Mar 2022 #22
It's a legitimate concern. BlueTsunami2018 Mar 2022 #48
Post removed Post removed Mar 2022 #63
The US did not commit genocide in Iraq. Stop whataboutism. mathematic Mar 2022 #77
Please get a grip. Ukraine is not a NATO member. I'm sorry too but that's the way it is. PSPS Mar 2022 #12
NATO membership won't change the FEAR of Putin using nukes. Fiendish Thingy Mar 2022 #24
I disagree. Putin will fear that a Baltic invasion will unleash NATO and its "nukes." PSPS Mar 2022 #28
Well, if Putin remains in power, we will definitely find out. Fiendish Thingy Mar 2022 #33
Yes, my friend. We're all just along for the ride to our collective future (if any!) PSPS Mar 2022 #35
There are lots of countries with genocide currently NickB79 Mar 2022 #47
None of those is in NATO's backyard. Nt Fiendish Thingy Mar 2022 #60
Because Latvia IS a member of NATO James48 Mar 2022 #70
He's right, you know. Fiendish Thingy Mar 2022 #3
What does Ukraine have to do with Article V? Gore1FL Mar 2022 #14
The Baltics will be seized after Russia catches its breath following the Ukraine genocide. Nt Fiendish Thingy Mar 2022 #25
So in 2070? Gore1FL Mar 2022 #52
NATO is acting weak, while Putin acts strong. So far, Putin has called NATO's bluff. Fiendish Thingy Mar 2022 #64
How is NATO acting weak(ly)? Gore1FL Mar 2022 #68
And I'll start dating Angelina Jolie NickB79 Mar 2022 #57
Putin only needs to remain in power to "succeed" in Ukraine, that's it. Fiendish Thingy Mar 2022 #59
I agree. drray23 Mar 2022 #32
Does Zelensky has that bad advisers? TomWilm Mar 2022 #4
And this is why Putin will seize the Baltic states with ease, if he gets away with Ukraine. Nt Fiendish Thingy Mar 2022 #6
Nonsense PSPS Mar 2022 #9
I'm happy to be wrong about this, but Marie Yavanovich and Zelenskyy agree. Nt Fiendish Thingy Mar 2022 #13
Well, we all have our opinions, but I don't want to trigger a nuclear response until we have to. PSPS Mar 2022 #16
It's pretty clear he didn't get away with Ukraine. Gore1FL Mar 2022 #10
Putin "gets away" with Ukraine if he continues to sow destruction, and remains in power. Fiendish Thingy Mar 2022 #15
Putin failed in Ukraine. Gore1FL Mar 2022 #19
Well, at least that buys us a few years to live Polybius Mar 2022 #84
I'm Sure Putin Has Thrown More Than 55% Of His Ground Forces Into Ukraine DallasNE Mar 2022 #34
Atricle 5 was invoked after 9/11. It was never meant to cover invasions of non-member states. PSPS Mar 2022 #18
I agree, this was a misstep on his part. It doesn't serve him well to bash NATO like this. PSPS Mar 2022 #23
Zelenskyy's Audience Is Not NATO & USA DallasNE Mar 2022 #39
Of coourse. But I'm worried about his "addressing" of Congress tomorrow. PSPS Mar 2022 #45
If it was up to him, NATO would be fighting Russia right now Polybius Mar 2022 #85
Article V has only been tested once and it came through. Gore1FL Mar 2022 #7
Someone just posted that Turkey tried to invoke Articke 5 re: Syria and was rebuffed Fiendish Thingy Mar 2022 #17
NATO doesn't need to use nukes. Gore1FL Mar 2022 #21
Then why aren't they in Ukraine? Fiendish Thingy Mar 2022 #27
Because Ukraine is not a member of NATO. Gore1FL Mar 2022 #29
If Russia didn't have nukes, NATO would already be in Ukraine, regardless that they aren't in NATO Fiendish Thingy Mar 2022 #31
No. NATO should never threaten to use nuclear weapons. nt Gore1FL Mar 2022 #38
BZZZT WRONG! NATO and the US have indeed stated they would USE NUKES FIRST bluewater Mar 2022 #49
Look up "should" in the dictionary. Gore1FL Mar 2022 #51
" instead of stalking me" You mean replying to your posts and pointing out errors? bluewater Mar 2022 #53
You have failed to point out any errors, though. Gore1FL Mar 2022 #54
HUGE ERROR --- "We haven't gone to war since WWII." bluewater Mar 2022 #55
Per the parameters stated by the person who posted #30 Gore1FL Mar 2022 #58
I was responding to YOUR post. This what you posted: bluewater Mar 2022 #62
Thank for admitting you reply was out of context. Gore1FL Mar 2022 #67
LOL Yep, replying to what someone actually wrote is "out of context"... bluewater Mar 2022 #69
If you'd have looked you'd see that we were making the same point. Gore1FL Mar 2022 #72
Honestly, I don't think you presented a clear point at all. bluewater Mar 2022 #75
The clear point. Gore1FL Mar 2022 #76
Which seems to have little to do with this post you replied to: bluewater Mar 2022 #79
Now you are forgetting what you posted. Gore1FL Mar 2022 #80
So no substantial reply? bluewater Mar 2022 #81
Who said threaten? I just said Putin should be afraid NATO would use nukes. Fiendish Thingy Mar 2022 #61
NATO policy has been to THREATEN to use nukes first actually, even against a conventional attack bluewater Mar 2022 #66
Nukes makes people lazy ... TomWilm Mar 2022 #44
Which is exactly why Ukraine was foolish to give up their nukes Polybius Mar 2022 #86
Read behind the lines ... TomWilm Mar 2022 #20
If NATO is as weak as people on DU seem to think it is, then Trump was right to want to get out. Gore1FL Mar 2022 #26
It has not always come through. former9thward Mar 2022 #30
Two Libyan SU-22's attacked U.S. planes in the gulf of Sidra in the early 1980s. Gore1FL Mar 2022 #37
"We haven't gone to war since WWII." bluewater Mar 2022 #40
When did congress pass the war declarations? Gore1FL Mar 2022 #43
"We haven't gone to war since WWII." LOL bluewater Mar 2022 #46
I didn't. The specific statement in post 30 that mentioned the congress declaration requirement. Gore1FL Mar 2022 #50
In the incident you describe the U.S. did not request NATO assistance. former9thward Mar 2022 #41
I am pretty sure Biden is an inside body. nt Gore1FL Mar 2022 #42
good analysis bluewater Mar 2022 #74
excellent points bluewater Mar 2022 #73
This message was self-deleted by its author Polybius Mar 2022 #87
Unless Putin really want to start WWIII I don't think he would attack a NATO country. marie999 Mar 2022 #56
We don't know if article 5 is weak or not. It hasn't been tested. Chainfire Mar 2022 #78
So you are saying the world is outraged. ripcord Mar 2022 #82
Oh how would he know? Polybius Mar 2022 #83
Ok. Someone explain to me why... Blue_playwright Mar 2022 #88
The impossibility of "closing the airspace" is just a myth NATO tell us TomWilm Mar 2022 #89
Thank you, that helps Blue_playwright Mar 2022 #90

Chainfire

(17,708 posts)
1. Would NATO jets be able to stop incoming missiles?
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 03:42 PM
Mar 2022

I don't know, but I sort of doubt it. The next question is, are the long range missiles being launched from outside of Ukraine's borders?
In other words, does Zelensky expect NATO jets to attack Russian sites inside of Russia? I don't know the nuts and bolts of the missile issue.

William Seger

(10,788 posts)
36. Cruise missiles, yes
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:27 PM
Mar 2022

Cruise missiles are basically jets themselves, and they aren't very maneuverable and don't shoot back, so it's easier than shooting down a fighter.

William Seger

(10,788 posts)
71. Don't know
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 05:45 PM
Mar 2022

That's what they used to attack the airbase near Poland, because of the distance, but it appears they are doing a lot of damage with shorter-range rockets, artillery, and tanks wherever they can get close to cities.

BlueTsunami2018

(3,507 posts)
2. It sucks but Ukraine isn't in NATO.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 03:43 PM
Mar 2022

If Putin hits a NATO country, NATO responds. We simply cannot do what he wants in this current situation.

Fiendish Thingy

(15,693 posts)
5. If NATO won't defend genocide in a huge country like Ukraine, why would they defend Latvia?
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 03:52 PM
Mar 2022

NATO is being held back by the fear that Putin might use nukes if they become involved militarily in Ukraine.

That same fear will exist when Putin moves to seize the tiny Baltic states. That fear, unless overcome, will reveal, once and for all, how meaningless Article Five is, just as Putin has long planned.

Zelenskyy is right.

BlueTsunami2018

(3,507 posts)
11. Because they're part of the alliance.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 03:57 PM
Mar 2022

There will come a time when Pooty’s bluff will have to be called and we’ll either all be dead or we’ll kick their asses. Most likely dead because he can’t win that kind of war.

It’s a shit situation but it is what it is. I certainly don’t want a world war that ends in nuclear holocaust.

Fiendish Thingy

(15,693 posts)
22. The FEAR of Putin using nukes will exist regardless of Article Five
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:07 PM
Mar 2022

That is why NATO hasn’t intervened militarily in Ukraine, NOT because Ukraine isn’t a member of NATO.

Unless that fear is overcome, Putin will eventually take the Baltics if he remains in power after completing the Ukraine genocide.

BlueTsunami2018

(3,507 posts)
48. It's a legitimate concern.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:45 PM
Mar 2022

Are you saying he won’t? If he has nothing to lose why not take everyone with him?

I’m not willing to risk that. And neither are the leaders of the western world.

I’m not sure genocide is the proper term for what he’s doing. These are heinous actions and war crimes but I’m not sure the goal is to wipe out the entirety of the Ukrainian population. Not any more than our similar actions in Iraq were genocidal.

Response to BlueTsunami2018 (Reply #48)

mathematic

(1,440 posts)
77. The US did not commit genocide in Iraq. Stop whataboutism.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 06:07 PM
Mar 2022

Iraq is still a nation, the iraqis are still a people. At no point was there a US program to eradicate either. A government is not a nation.

Fiendish Thingy

(15,693 posts)
24. NATO membership won't change the FEAR of Putin using nukes.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:08 PM
Mar 2022

The Baltics will be given up in a matter of days, if not hours.

PSPS

(13,627 posts)
35. Yes, my friend. We're all just along for the ride to our collective future (if any!)
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:27 PM
Mar 2022

Personally, I think NATO is handling this the best (really, the only) way it can. If/when NATO becomes involved, it has to be, both actually and perceived, as a defensive act. Once NATO gets involved outside its prescribed charter, it will become, both actually and perceived, an aggressor. And that would be the end of NATO.

NickB79

(19,280 posts)
47. There are lots of countries with genocide currently
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:41 PM
Mar 2022

That NATO didn't intervene in.

North Korea has starved MILLIONS in the past 20 years. Who's all for NATO invading North Korea?

How about Myanmar and their genocide against minorities?

NATO isn't a morality issue. It's one of military defense against attacks. And that's just it: NATO is a DEFENSE pact. Not offence. NATO members don't strike first.

The UN is the world's defense against genocide, not NATO.

James48

(4,444 posts)
70. Because Latvia IS a member of NATO
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 05:43 PM
Mar 2022

And, unfortunately, Ukraine is not.

We should have admitted Ukraine before, but NATO did not. So no, it’s not a proper question. NATO’s mission is defense of its member states, NOT as the world’s peacekeeper.

Fiendish Thingy

(15,693 posts)
3. He's right, you know.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 03:46 PM
Mar 2022

If NATO won’t get involved militarily to stop the Ukraine genocide, for fear that Putin will use nukes, it sure as hell isn’t going to come to the aid of the Baltic states when Putin moves on them, regardless of article 5.

That same fear of Putin’s nukes will exist in any potential military conflict with Russia, regardless of a piece of paper called article 5. That fear has stopped NATO’s involvement at present, and unless overcome, will stop NATO’s response when (not if) Putin moves on a NATO country.

As long as Putin is in power, the chance he might use nukes exists. NATO’s focus should be on accelerating Putin’s downfall, not avoiding military confrontation with him.

Gore1FL

(21,164 posts)
14. What does Ukraine have to do with Article V?
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 03:58 PM
Mar 2022

What is Russia going to attack the Baltics with? Syrians?

Fiendish Thingy

(15,693 posts)
64. NATO is acting weak, while Putin acts strong. So far, Putin has called NATO's bluff.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 05:15 PM
Mar 2022

If it wasn’t for Biden and Blinken’s leadership, NATO wouldn’t have done half of what they have, other than accepting refugees,

NickB79

(19,280 posts)
57. And I'll start dating Angelina Jolie
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 05:02 PM
Mar 2022

Just as soon as I get tired of dating Scarlett Johansson 🤣

Seriously, Russia is NEVER going to catch it's breath enough to pivot to the Baltics, because there is no scenario where they succeed in Ukraine. They'd need their entire military deployed for years, at a staggering cost in both rubles, equipment and Russian lives.

Russia's military has been shown to be a paper tiger, and every day Ukrainians tear a little more off of it. At home, the sanctions are going to cripple the Russian economy for years to come. And taking key cities like Kyiv won't change that. The Ukrainians are in for the long haul.

Fiendish Thingy

(15,693 posts)
59. Putin only needs to remain in power to "succeed" in Ukraine, that's it.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 05:06 PM
Mar 2022

His dream of occupying and controlling Ukraine his been shattered, so he will accept death and destruction in its place.

drray23

(7,638 posts)
32. I agree.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:19 PM
Mar 2022

I posted the same kind of argument a few days ago and was lambasted with "article 5", "get a grip" and so on by people who did not think it through.

Article 5 does not magically trigger a launch of troops, commanders and in the case of the USA, our congress still has to order it. If we now fear the possibility of a nuclear war, we certainly will if Putin later on invades a small nato country like Latvia. There will be enormous pressure to not start ww3 with the same arguments we hear now, treaty or not.


TomWilm

(1,832 posts)
4. Does Zelensky has that bad advisers?
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 03:52 PM
Mar 2022

Statements like this works very well on Facebook, and might be fine for solidifying his support in the general population - it seems like he has a point, and are really fighting. But it is rubbish.

No one in NATO with real power can or will follow such silly ideas, and I hope he knows this, and are just making theater. Both before the war, and now, Joe Biden and NATO has defined that as a red line, which will not be passed.

Article 5 of the NATO treaty was never meant to be an automated response after an attack either - the United States Senate blocked that idea in 1947 - leaving it up to Congress to decide whether war was necessary. As an example Turkey's demands of Article 5 help after Syrian attacks has been rejected several times.


PSPS

(13,627 posts)
16. Well, we all have our opinions, but I don't want to trigger a nuclear response until we have to.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:02 PM
Mar 2022

If NATO starts shooting down russian planes that are invading a non-NATO nation, NATO will be the aggressor. I don't support that and, thankfully, the adults in charge of NATO don't either.

Gore1FL

(21,164 posts)
10. It's pretty clear he didn't get away with Ukraine.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 03:56 PM
Mar 2022

There is no way he's stupid enough to attack NATO with 55% of his ground forces already committed in a failed quagmire against a weaker neighbor.

Fiendish Thingy

(15,693 posts)
15. Putin "gets away" with Ukraine if he continues to sow destruction, and remains in power.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:00 PM
Mar 2022

He may withdraw at some point to speed the lifting of sanctions (the west doesn’t have the stamina to sustain them much past summer anyway), but if he remains in power, he may take a few years to recover from this escapade, and then he moves on the Baltics.

Gore1FL

(21,164 posts)
19. Putin failed in Ukraine.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:05 PM
Mar 2022

Most of his ground forces are stuck in the mud. He can't get food or fuel to his soldiers. He's bringing in Syrians and mercenaries because it is going so badly for him.

Russia does not have the military power to invade the Baltics. Putin doesn't have the power to order it.

DallasNE

(7,404 posts)
34. I'm Sure Putin Has Thrown More Than 55% Of His Ground Forces Into Ukraine
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:23 PM
Mar 2022

Why else would he be asking Syria for 15,000 troops (that would leave Syria vulnerable) and China for equipment that would likely bring sanctions on China. Putin does not appear to be stable right now, so caution is in order.

Lastly, Russia may no longer be in a position to start a wider, non-nuclear war, even against one of the Baltic states. And new arms are on the way to knock out the artillery that is causing so much trouble right now with the civilian targets. Indeed, Putin may be a dead man walking.

PSPS

(13,627 posts)
23. I agree, this was a misstep on his part. It doesn't serve him well to bash NATO like this.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:08 PM
Mar 2022

Like everyone else, this sickens me. But it's still a matter of his trying to ensnare NATO into something it was never intended to do. It's a mutual-defense organization. If it goes out to engage in battle over a non-NATO state, it becomes a "rogue aggressor" little different than russia.

DallasNE

(7,404 posts)
39. Zelenskyy's Audience Is Not NATO & USA
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:32 PM
Mar 2022

It is Ukraine. He is showing his people that he is fighting for them and to keep up their morale. Let's not make too much of this, at least for now let's cut him some slack.

PSPS

(13,627 posts)
45. Of coourse. But I'm worried about his "addressing" of Congress tomorrow.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:38 PM
Mar 2022

If he starts bashing the US and NATO, it will turn public opinion against him and Ukraine.

Fiendish Thingy

(15,693 posts)
17. Someone just posted that Turkey tried to invoke Articke 5 re: Syria and was rebuffed
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:02 PM
Mar 2022

The same will happen with the Baltics, unless NATO’s collective fear of the possibility that Putin might use nukes (and that his orders would be obeyed) can be overcome.

Putin should fear the possibility that NATO might use nukes, not the other way around.

Gore1FL

(21,164 posts)
21. NATO doesn't need to use nukes.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:07 PM
Mar 2022

NATO air, sea, and ground forces would easily overwhelm the air, sea, and ground forces of Russia.

Fiendish Thingy

(15,693 posts)
27. Then why aren't they in Ukraine?
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:11 PM
Mar 2022

Hint: it’s not because Ukraine isn’t a NATO member. If Russia didn’t have nukes, NATO/UN would have already stopped this genocide.

Fiendish Thingy

(15,693 posts)
31. If Russia didn't have nukes, NATO would already be in Ukraine, regardless that they aren't in NATO
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:18 PM
Mar 2022

Article 5 will not save the Baltics.

If NATO is afraid of Putin’s nukes with Ukraine, they sure as hell will be too terrified of his nukes to defend the tiny Baltic states.

Putin should fear NATO’s nukes, but unfortunately, it’s the other way around.

bluewater

(5,376 posts)
49. BZZZT WRONG! NATO and the US have indeed stated they would USE NUKES FIRST
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:50 PM
Mar 2022

Boy, honestly, it's important to not be spreading wrong information, especially regarding NATO and US policy on the first use of nuclear weapons:

What is the U.S. declaratory nuclear use policy?

During the Cold War and even today, the credible threat of the United States using its nuclear weapons first against an adversary has been an important component of reassuring allies.

At the height of the Cold War, the threat of U.S. tactical nuclear use was conceived of as a critical bulwark against a conventional Soviet offensive through the Fulda Gap, a strategically significant lowland corridor in Germany that would allow Warsaw Pact forces to enter Western Europe.

A nuclear first-use policy was thought to be a cornerstone of the defensive posture of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), given the large number of bases of Warsaw Pact conventional military forces.

Accordingly, NATO has always opposed a U.S. NFU declaration and has never ruled out U.S. first use under its “flexible response” posture since 1967. Today, U.S. allies in East Asia and Europe alike rely on credible commitments from the United States to use nuclear weapons first to deter major nonnuclear threats against them.

https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/no-first-use-and-nuclear-weapons

Gore1FL

(21,164 posts)
51. Look up "should" in the dictionary.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:54 PM
Mar 2022

Additionally, instead of stalking me, perhaps you should read the complete sub-threads I am posting in so you get context.

Apology accepted.

bluewater

(5,376 posts)
53. " instead of stalking me" You mean replying to your posts and pointing out errors?
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:57 PM
Mar 2022


Again here is the STATED US and NATO policy on the first use of nuclear weapons from the respected Council On Foreign Relations site:

What is the U.S. declaratory nuclear use policy?

During the Cold War and even today, the credible threat of the United States using its nuclear weapons first against an adversary has been an important component of reassuring allies.

At the height of the Cold War, the threat of U.S. tactical nuclear use was conceived of as a critical bulwark against a conventional Soviet offensive through the Fulda Gap, a strategically significant lowland corridor in Germany that would allow Warsaw Pact forces to enter Western Europe.

A nuclear first-use policy was thought to be a cornerstone of the defensive posture of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), given the large number of bases of Warsaw Pact conventional military forces.

Accordingly, NATO has always opposed a U.S. NFU declaration and has never ruled out U.S. first use under its “flexible response” posture since 1967. Today, U.S. allies in East Asia and Europe alike rely on credible commitments from the United States to use nuclear weapons first to deter major nonnuclear threats against them.

https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/no-first-use-and-nuclear-weapons

bluewater

(5,376 posts)
55. HUGE ERROR --- "We haven't gone to war since WWII."
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 05:00 PM
Mar 2022


Again,

Korea

Viet Nam

Iraq

Afghanistan

In fact it's harder to find a time period when the US has not "gone to war" since WWII.

Gore1FL

(21,164 posts)
58. Per the parameters stated by the person who posted #30
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 05:03 PM
Mar 2022

As you pointed out in a failed attempt to smear me, we have had numerous military conflicts in between those without a formal declaration of war. That was the point I was making.

What part of that do you disagree with?

The First response from NATO shouldn't always be "We are gong to nuke you."

What part of that do you disagree with?

bluewater

(5,376 posts)
62. I was responding to YOUR post. This what you posted:
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 05:09 PM
Mar 2022
Two Libyan SU-22's attacked U.S. planes in the gulf of Sidra in the early 1980s.

That didn't cause it either. There is a big difference between an attack and an incident, I would argue.

We haven't gone to war since WWII. Flexibility exists on our military use outside an official declaration.
If ignorance was painful, the Tea Party would support health care.


Bold emphasis added for clarity.

No mention of "declared" wars in "We haven't gone to war since WWII", is there? Nope.

And "Flexibility exists on our military use outside an official declaration", absolutely, we have "gone to war" repeatedly without official declarations.




So, "We haven't gone to war since WWII" is simply a huge mis-statement.

We have "gone to war" in a major way in the :

Korean WAR

Viet Nam WAR

Iraq WAR, twice

Afghanistan WAR

Along with numerous smaller scale combats around the world.

Gore1FL

(21,164 posts)
72. If you'd have looked you'd see that we were making the same point.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 05:50 PM
Mar 2022

Instead you decided to ride the troll train and obfuscate my point.

It’s really weird behavior that could have been avoided through reading the thread.

I guess it’s easier to double-down on your mistake than to read for clarity. It’s too bad.

bluewater

(5,376 posts)
75. Honestly, I don't think you presented a clear point at all.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 05:59 PM
Mar 2022

Perhaps you could re-phrase it here without mis-statements and oblique references to other posts.

That would be helpful.



My point has been simple.

The statement "We haven't gone to war since WWII" is factually incorrect since we engaged in the Korean War, the Viet Nam War, the Iraq War (twice) and the Afghanistan War.

So again, what exactly is your point and why do you insist I am making the same one?


Gore1FL

(21,164 posts)
76. The clear point.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 06:06 PM
Mar 2022

1) The US has been in many engagements without the use of a congressional declaration of war which was last done in the 1940s.

2) NATO’s first reaction shouldn’t default to nukes.

I look forward to your twisting of these two statements to mean something other than what they say.

bluewater

(5,376 posts)
79. Which seems to have little to do with this post you replied to:
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 06:54 PM
Mar 2022
In 2012 Turkey asked for NATO Article 5 help after Syrian attacks and the loss of one of their jets due to a Syrian shoot down. NATO declined saying they "would stand by Turkey" but they would not offer military assistance.

In addition Article 5 can never override the Constitution which says only Congress can declare war. There is nothing automatic about it.


But let's address your points individually, for clarity:

1) The US has been in many engagements without the use of a congressional declaration of war which was last done in the 1940s.

2) NATO’s first reaction shouldn’t default to nukes.



Point 1 - The US has been in many engagements without the use of a congressional declaration of war which was last done in the 1940s:

OK, this seems a bit of a non sequitur.

Are you disagreeing with the post you replied to here? The poster's opinion is that there is nothing automatic about Article V initiating US military involvement even when requested by a NATO member country?

You even present an "incident" where you said an attack on US planes didn't trigger Article V either.

So, what exactly was your point vis a vis Article V?



Point 2 - NATO’s first reaction shouldn’t default to nukes.:

OK, I do not see any mention of NATO using nuclear weapons at all in that post, the infamous post #30.

In fact, in your reply to that post, I do not see any mention of nuclear weapons either:

Two Libyan SU-22's attacked U.S. planes in the gulf of Sidra in the early 1980s.

That didn't cause it either. There is a big difference between an attack and an incident, I would argue.

We haven't gone to war since WWII. Flexibility exists on our military use outside an official declaration.
If ignorance was painful, the Tea Party would support health care.







Gore1FL

(21,164 posts)
80. Now you are forgetting what you posted.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 06:57 PM
Mar 2022

I’m done here.

Your inability to read for understanding and desire for trolling really make my du experience less than it could be.

Bye now.

bluewater

(5,376 posts)
81. So no substantial reply?
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 07:09 PM
Mar 2022

You have chosen not to answer any questions I had about your "clear points", which, honestly, still do not seem that clear or clearly made.

Fine.

And honestly, I have not forgotten my point, that you made a factual misstatement when you claimed "We haven't gone to war since WWII".



But, enjoy your evening.


Fiendish Thingy

(15,693 posts)
61. Who said threaten? I just said Putin should be afraid NATO would use nukes.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 05:08 PM
Mar 2022

He clearly isn’t afraid they will now.

bluewater

(5,376 posts)
66. NATO policy has been to THREATEN to use nukes first actually, even against a conventional attack
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 05:34 PM
Mar 2022

here is the STATED US and NATO policy on the first use of nuclear weapons from the respected Council On Foreign Relations site:

What is the U.S. declaratory nuclear use policy?

During the Cold War and even today, the credible threat of the United States using its nuclear weapons first against an adversary has been an important component of reassuring allies.

At the height of the Cold War, the threat of U.S. tactical nuclear use was conceived of as a critical bulwark against a conventional Soviet offensive through the Fulda Gap, a strategically significant lowland corridor in Germany that would allow Warsaw Pact forces to enter Western Europe.

A nuclear first-use policy was thought to be a cornerstone of the defensive posture of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), given the large number of bases of Warsaw Pact conventional military forces.

Accordingly, NATO has always opposed a U.S. NFU declaration and has never ruled out U.S. first use under its “flexible response” posture since 1967. Today, U.S. allies in East Asia and Europe alike rely on credible commitments from the United States to use nuclear weapons first to deter major nonnuclear threats against them.

https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/no-first-use-and-nuclear-weapons

TomWilm

(1,832 posts)
44. Nukes makes people lazy ...
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:38 PM
Mar 2022

They are a double edged sword, as it is clearly shown now again. On top of that both Russia and the USA has other non nuclear possibilities, that can destroy cities. Also they can be delivered by ICBM, and should be considered a barbaric threat which should be made illegal.

Nukes or no nukes, most bigger countries can make devastating chaos at selected enemies. And both would know that the favor would be returned with a vengeance.

Which is why it might be a good idea to use some resources for better diplomacy and conflict resolution methods. And use these powers to get rid of that kind of arms:

1987:

Gorbachev offered to eliminate all strategic forces, not just ballistic missiles. Reagan then countered that it would be fine with him if they could agree to eliminate all nuclear weapons. They almost had an agreement. The sticking point fell to the area that most concerned the Soviets – confining Reagan’s SDI to the laboratory.

TomWilm

(1,832 posts)
20. Read behind the lines ...
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:05 PM
Mar 2022

... there has never been delivered a NATO wide military response to an Article 5 request. And 9-11 was no exception from this. Some countries did not mobilize any soldiers, and from the ones who did, some sent less than a handful soldiers.

Gore1FL

(21,164 posts)
26. If NATO is as weak as people on DU seem to think it is, then Trump was right to want to get out.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:10 PM
Mar 2022

I have faith in the alliance.

former9thward

(32,117 posts)
30. It has not always come through.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:16 PM
Mar 2022

In 2012 Turkey asked for NATO Article 5 help after Syrian attacks and the loss of one of their jets due to a Syrian shoot down. NATO declined saying they "would stand by Turkey" but they would not offer military assistance.

In addition Article 5 can never override the Constitution which says only Congress can declare war. There is nothing automatic about it.

Gore1FL

(21,164 posts)
37. Two Libyan SU-22's attacked U.S. planes in the gulf of Sidra in the early 1980s.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:29 PM
Mar 2022

That didn't cause it either. There is a big difference between an attack and an incident, I would argue.

We haven't gone to war since WWII. Flexibility exists on our military use outside an official declaration.

bluewater

(5,376 posts)
40. "We haven't gone to war since WWII."
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:32 PM
Mar 2022


Be real.

Korea.

Viet Nam.

Do those ring a bell?

Iraq.

Afghanistan.

And aren't we in Syria fighting too?

Gore1FL

(21,164 posts)
43. When did congress pass the war declarations?
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:35 PM
Mar 2022

I was responding to post 30, which read:

In addition Article 5 can never override the Constitution which says only Congress can declare war. There is nothing automatic about it.


Apology accepted.

bluewater

(5,376 posts)
46. "We haven't gone to war since WWII." LOL
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:40 PM
Mar 2022


Hey, if you want to admit you made a misstatement, fine.


But, be real.. the US has, in your words, "gone to war" almost NON-STOP since WWII.

AND article V doesn't say a NATO country has to be in a declared war to be protected by Article V.

So much for that argument, hmmm?


Gore1FL

(21,164 posts)
50. I didn't. The specific statement in post 30 that mentioned the congress declaration requirement.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:52 PM
Mar 2022

The last time we were at war per that definition was with the Japanese. You should probably direct your aggression against the poster I was responding to. If you'd bother the read the sub-thread, you will find you are agreeing with me and disagreeing with them.

Apology still accepted.

former9thward

(32,117 posts)
41. In the incident you describe the U.S. did not request NATO assistance.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 04:32 PM
Mar 2022

Turkey did. Big difference. Flexibility exists in the use of our military but no outside body can compel it to be used.

Response to former9thward (Reply #30)

 

marie999

(3,334 posts)
56. Unless Putin really want to start WWIII I don't think he would attack a NATO country.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 05:02 PM
Mar 2022

He's having enough trouble in Ukraine, he has to know he can't beat NATO. China doesn't want WWIII because even if no one fires a strategic nuclear missile at China, it will still be destroyed.

Chainfire

(17,708 posts)
78. We don't know if article 5 is weak or not. It hasn't been tested.
Tue Mar 15, 2022, 06:28 PM
Mar 2022

I like Zelensky, I think he is the best possible leader for Ukraine in this time of crisis. He is strong, smart, and effective, he is a great spokesperson and apparently a damn good military commander in chief. However, Mr. Zelensky can't buy insurance after the car wreck and expect the insurer to pay off. Ukraine has flirted with the idea of joining NATO for about 15 years, the idea was not popular with the Ukrainian people.

I understand that the Ukrainians need help, but NATO, by avoiding shooting at Russians, is not abandoning them. Our failure to attack Russian targets, at this time does, not mean that NATO in general or article 5 in particular is weak. Hopefully NATO's resolve and preparation for war have strengthened in the past three weeks.

I understand people's frustration and I share their grief over what is happening. I favor, as Roosevelt did, giving Ukrainians all help short of war, and we are, we are in fact waging a bloodless war that is hurting Russia, perhaps mortally. Lets let the people we hired to protect us, protect us. The best thing that Americans can do, right now, is trust in and support our President and not try to second guess his decisions and the decisions made with other world leaders. If it becomes time to start shooting at Russians, I believe that the free world will rise to the task and prevail. If we can defeat them without firing a shot, that is even better. It will, however, take some time for our current war on Russia to take full effect. Try to be patient.

Russia, nor Putin, are going to walk out of this situation with a win. Even if they occupy the government buildings they will not win. Japanese Admiral Yamamomo told his inner circle that he feared that Japan had awakened a sleeping giant when they attacked Pearl Harbor, he was right. Japan whipped our butts all over the Pacific for six months until the tide began to turn at Midway. Putin has done the same kind of thing, but instead of waking up one country, he has pissed off most of the world. He will get his just reward.

Blue_playwright

(1,568 posts)
88. Ok. Someone explain to me why...
Wed Mar 16, 2022, 12:17 AM
Mar 2022

… closing the airspace is such a horrendous thing and will start WW3.

I’m a pacifist and completely flabbergasted by this war. So be kind and use small words. Lol 🤦?♀️

TomWilm

(1,832 posts)
89. The impossibility of "closing the airspace" is just a myth NATO tell us
Wed Mar 16, 2022, 04:56 PM
Mar 2022

It seems to be, that I am the only one who has actually read the NATO treaty (plus a few other DUers). All our politicians has never studied that thing, and nor has their generals - or maybe they are in some kind of collective delusion, or are simply bending the truth...

Actually I think most of them has only a very partial idea of it, even about Article 5. All that is ever told in the speeches about the NATO treaty is that “Article 5 is: An attack against one ally is treated as an attack against all”. Which technically is true, but does not tell the real story.


"Closing the airspace", even just a no-fly zone to protect a small humanitarian corridor, is the same as keeping the enemy away from that area by military force. And since the myth among all the NATO leaders today is something about an attack on them all and so - this will automatically lead to all of NATO going to war against the attacker.

But this does not at all square with the NATO treaty, which does not force anybody into the use of armed force, but just to do such action as it deems necessary - like writing a harsh letter.

And to your point, the NATO treaty are solely focusing on territory, and not on military units leaving their homes, and going far abroad. It is precisely not covering military jets flying above Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria or even Ukraine - but only "aircraft of any of the Parties, when in or over these territories" - aka only NATO territory!


There is no words in the NATO treaty forcing their member to help Ukraine, but there is also nothing stopping any country in NATO, even the United States, to have their private adventure by going there. Which would not include NATO as such in any way.

It would put that country at war with Russia, but real fighting would most probably only be acted out in Ukrainian territory. Military brains normally knows have to keep such trickery from spreading too far.

BUT the bottom line is, that the people in charge of all the military of NATO, including nuclear bombs, will act as if they cannot place a NATO war plane in the now contested airspace of Ukraine - since Russia shooting it down, or the opposite, by treaty would throw the full NATO military force into war with Russia. Though it is not so!


Since I also am a pacifist, I should not spread this analysis ☺️. My view is that Biden should announce that he is flying Air Force One to Kyjiv for a summit NOW. As long as Biden is in the capitol of Ukraine, there would never be a Russian attack close by. Putin is stupidly aggressive, but neither he or his generals are suicidal.

Such a gesture from Biden would be in full spirit of the NATO treaty, which - and the NATO crowd would never quote this themselves - demands that all NATO members undertake to settle any international dispute in which they may be involved by peaceful means!

Blue_playwright

(1,568 posts)
90. Thank you, that helps
Wed Mar 16, 2022, 05:13 PM
Mar 2022

This makes sense. I guess my pacifist brain went more simplistic - thinking that Zelensky could declare a no-fly zone over his own country and why on earth was the rest of the world preventing him from doing so? Thanks! I also appreciate you didn't tell me how to use Google. LOL!

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