BREAKING: QPoll Has Perriello Leading Northam 25%-20%; Either Demolishes Ed Gillespie

[lowkell]

Source: Blue Virginia

“In the Democratic primary for governor, former U.S. Rep. Tom Perriello has 25 percent to Lt. Gov. Ralph Northam’s 20 percent…Another 51 percent are undecided."

“Gillespie leads the Republican primary with 28 percent, followed by Prince William County Supervisors Chair Corey Stewart at 12 percent, State Sen. Frank Wagner with 7 percent and 51 percent undecided.”

In the general election, “Perriello tops Gillespie 46 – 33 percent; Northam leads Gillespie 44 – 33 percent.”

Read more: http://bluevirginia.us/2017/04/breaking-q-poll-perriello-leading-northam-25-20-either-perriello-northam-demolish-gillespie

[Eliot Rosewater]

1. God that is confusing, but thanks for posting

So this is the primary and the Dem is chosen and is who? and is leading the GOP candidate?

[ehrnst]

3. The primary is in June. (nt)

[leftieNanner]

2. I was going to ask the term limit question for the Commonwealth of Virginia, but

I decided to use my new fangled computer type device and look it up myself. There is no life-time term limit, but a Governor can not serve two terms in a row. I wondered why Terry M. wasn't running again and now I know. Sharing this info with my DU family who aren't already aware of this.

Glad to hear that Virginia may stay blue. Now how do they get rid of David Brat???

[nitpicker]

4. Don't count the chickens in Virginia until they hatch

fivethirtyeight.com had the following review of Sen. Warner's narrow win over Gillespie in the 2014 election:

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/mark-warner-why-polls-missed-a-shocker-in-virginias-senate-race/

Wikipedia also noted the closeness of the race:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Virginia,_2014

In addition to the mid-cycle election decreasing turnout versus presidential years, I think the 2014 polls didn't quite measure some of what I call "Gillespie Republicans"- older, screen all incoming calls, never respond to pollsters, but come November they show up and VOTE.

And since the gubernatorial election is in 2017, even fewer voters may be expected to show up to the polls. Advantage Republicans?