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tomm2thumbs

(13,297 posts)
Tue May 10, 2016, 07:33 PM May 2016

*BREAKING NBC* Sanders Wins in West Virginia Democratic Primary

Source: NBC

Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders has won the West Virginia Democratic primary, NBC News projects, a victory that will add yet more fuel to his argument that he should remain in the race despite badly trailing front runner Hillary Clinton in the overall delegate count. The win comes one week after Sanders prevailed in Indiana's Democratic primary and two weeks after Clinton dominated a series of contests in the northeastern United States.

Democrats also voted on Tuesday in a presidential "beauty contest" in Nebraska, although the delegates from that state were all previously assigned during a March 5 caucus. In that contest, Sanders won 15 pledged delegates, compared to 10 for Clinton. <snip>

Clinton's faltering is a marked difference from her performance in the state eight years ago, when she beat then-candidate Barack Obama by more than 40 percent.

Read more: http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/sanders-wins-west-virginia-democratic-primary-n571356



most interesting thing from link for me...



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*BREAKING NBC* Sanders Wins in West Virginia Democratic Primary (Original Post) tomm2thumbs May 2016 OP
First!!!! ( Im so immature) dinkytron May 2016 #1
Second (Woo hooing) JimDandy May 2016 #3
Bernie's gonna KARRRRRUSSHHHHH it in Cali. dinkytron May 2016 #14
I know he is going to in OR, just like he did in WA among the Dem base. JimDandy May 2016 #23
I'm an Oregonian & voted for Bernie (by Mail)!! It's not called the "Left Coast" for nothing. n/t 99th_Monkey May 2016 #59
I loved that WA followed your lead with the mail in ballots. JimDandy May 2016 #63
Yes! fierywoman May 2016 #144
I put in a resolution to the state party for Dem delegates to be apportioned from the PPP votes, JimDandy May 2016 #146
thank you fierywoman May 2016 #151
you poseurs have to break 81.6% to beat Alaska. :D. if you choose this mission ... roguevalley May 2016 #94
We bow in supplication to that blowout... n/t JimDandy May 2016 #103
I am aware that Mr.Sanders walks on water, and farts fairy-dust. Nevertheless, he trails c588415 May 2016 #81
just like he did in Indiana? roguevalley May 2016 #96
It was Birdie that made it happen Duckfan May 2016 #171
Chosen 1. SammyWinstonJack May 2016 #101
double smack from English teacher NJCher May 2016 #164
I bet you think both of Dubya's elections were on the up & up, too. pacalo May 2016 #183
3rd - second or third childhood here 840high May 2016 #126
I am #3 CentralMass May 2016 #148
Whoo Hoo!!! kadaholo May 2016 #2
Yes, we did it! k8conant May 2016 #199
define badly PatrynXX May 2016 #4
It is BADLY behind, because there aren't enough pledged delegates left pnwmom May 2016 #13
Camp Hillary isn't talking about supers that have dropped her ALREADY! Omaha Steve May 2016 #38
Is that all you've got? A single delegate out of hundreds? They just asked Tad Devine pnwmom May 2016 #42
Hillary is still fighting cause she knows it isn't over Omaha Steve May 2016 #54
She's fighting because she'll need to be as strong as possible when she faces Trump. n/t pnwmom May 2016 #57
She isn't the nominee yet Omaha Steve May 2016 #65
Polls while she's still running against Bernie mean nothing except she's fighting pnwmom May 2016 #202
Yeah, that'S it! KPN May 2016 #201
The math at this point shouldn't include the supers. Period. nt SusanCalvin May 2016 #122
I agree Omaha Steve May 2016 #124
The losing candidate will be Hillary in the GE. NV Whino May 2016 #56
It is a statistical impossibility for Bernie to get enough pledged delegates to have a majority of pnwmom May 2016 #58
Reading skills! Please. NV Whino May 2016 #62
Hillary can come up short of pledged delegates too Omaha Steve May 2016 #78
I don't think the "Supers" care about pledged delegates ablamj May 2016 #139
money train ,,, sounds a lot like: Snowpiercer Hiraeth May 2016 #154
That's what they said about Yi Sun-Shin !!! pangaia May 2016 #84
Actually, he needs 65% to tie. ozone_man May 2016 #79
You're right, I think. It's impossible for him but not her to win a majority of ALL delegates pnwmom May 2016 #86
Well, let's just wait and see, shall we? nt SusanCalvin May 2016 #118
We can already see tonight that that's not happening in W Virginia. n/t pnwmom May 2016 #119
Fine. Let's continue to wait and see, shall we? SusanCalvin May 2016 #128
Wrongo. SusanCalvin May 2016 #116
its the math! Lokijohn May 2016 #131
Wow! She turned quiet... n/t tom_kelly May 2016 #147
According to MSNBC, 35% of these Bernie voters say they'll vote for TRUMP in the fall EVEN IF pnwmom May 2016 #5
Does show one that Bernie is FAR more electable in Nov.! n/t Herman4747 May 2016 #7
It shows the opposite, in my opinion. 40% of Bernie's voters prefer TRUMP. n/t pnwmom May 2016 #16
100% of Bernie supporters prefer Bernie over anybody. Redwoods Red May 2016 #19
Not in WVA. nt pnwmom May 2016 #44
Don't know whoever is more Liberal... PatrynXX May 2016 #25
They prefer Trump COMPARED TO HILLARY; they are "Bernie voters"... Herman4747 May 2016 #30
No Omaha Steve May 2016 #39
B I N G O ! tomm2thumbs May 2016 #184
Your desperation is laughable AgingAmerican May 2016 #37
i'm not getting into it timmymoff May 2016 #45
it shows if they aren't given a good candidate in Bernie, they consider Trump more trusted tomm2thumbs May 2016 #50
No, Chris Hayes said they said if BERNIE was the nominee in the General, these Bernie voters pnwmom May 2016 #52
you are funny tomm2thumbs May 2016 #55
I don't watch tv snooze. progressoid May 2016 #170
Exit polls usually change somewhat over the course of the day. pnwmom May 2016 #174
Exit polls: Half of Clinton's supporters won't back Obama progressoid May 2016 #176
Or it shows how less than educated some of his supporters are. Chicago1980 May 2016 #83
No it means that Republicans are playing dirty dbackjon May 2016 #194
Closed primaries provide us with NO INFORMATION... Herman4747 May 2016 #197
LOL - there is plenty of evidence posted yesterday dbackjon May 2016 #198
I daresay that all of that 40% expect the Democratic nominee... Herman4747 May 2016 #204
This message was self-deleted by its author Duval May 2016 #9
MSNBC Is Dumping on Sanders Every Minute McKim May 2016 #28
Now MSNBC is saying it was 35% JoeOtterbein May 2016 #49
That makes perfect sense. Politicub May 2016 #132
Things are looking UP for Bernie! Duval May 2016 #6
Congratulations! A state she won years ago by more than 40 percent! tomm2thumbs May 2016 #8
Drop out now, Bernie! frylock May 2016 #10
Ha! kayakjohnny May 2016 #15
LOL....This is embarrassing for LibDemAlways May 2016 #18
OMG - DUzy tomm2thumbs May 2016 #21
don't give them hashtag ideas oh wait :P n/t PatrynXX May 2016 #27
LOL. Funny today Mike__M May 2016 #40
Next Up On MSDNC: Rachel Maddow Tells Us How A Sanders Win Is Actually A Loss! AzDar May 2016 #53
That actually happened! pacalo May 2016 #179
+1000. Sums up the madness quite well! n/t bvf May 2016 #82
. SusanCalvin May 2016 #130
Thread win!!! pacalo May 2016 #178
Indiana and now West Virginia... LibDemAlways May 2016 #11
And we'll come through for Bernie next week here in Oregon. Arugula Latte May 2016 #20
Of that I have no doubt. It will LibDemAlways May 2016 #22
And now what? Chicago1980 May 2016 #85
Now on to Oregon and Kentucky. n/t LibDemAlways May 2016 #91
Still not enough. Chicago1980 May 2016 #111
You Know the Difference Betwn Berniecrats and his Opponent's benny05 May 2016 #12
Clearly.. PatrynXX May 2016 #32
But she's tiiiiiiiirrrrrrrred dorkzilla May 2016 #41
Got your jury results... pacalo May 2016 #180
Ha! dorkzilla May 2016 #189
Berniecrats....Yay Bernie!!!! SammyWinstonJack May 2016 #117
Exit poll said 50% of Bernie voters will vote for Trump. Kingofalldems May 2016 #17
All the more reason for Clinton to drop out now so Bernie gets those votes. arcane1 May 2016 #36
+10 nt 99th_Monkey May 2016 #60
I'm all for her dropping out now. Wish she would. SammyWinstonJack May 2016 #121
Bernie voters... kevink077 May 2016 #43
If Republicans cross over and vote for Bernie they lose their dummie status. Enthusiast May 2016 #191
How do you know this is a fraudulent vote? Trajan May 2016 #88
So explain why 50% of people who voted for Bernie Kingofalldems May 2016 #100
I'm not sure I buy that .. It's the billionaire media that reports that Trajan May 2016 #108
So they are lying about exit polls? Kingofalldems May 2016 #123
yes we know they never lie about anything Pat Riots May 2016 #203
Now its 50%? progressoid May 2016 #173
That would be the ass of an elephant. nt chknltl May 2016 #187
"presidential "beauty contest" in Nebraska" Omaha Steve May 2016 #24
We have a "beauty contest" primary in WA as well Mike__M May 2016 #48
Kicked and recommended. Uncle Joe May 2016 #26
thanks to West Virginia! tomm2thumbs May 2016 #29
I believe at the very least Bernie would make it competitive. Uncle Joe May 2016 #33
This is just the break that the Sanders campaign has been looking for The Second Stone May 2016 #31
A bright spot on the evening. kayakjohnny May 2016 #34
Too little too late Ohioblue22 May 2016 #35
Yeah. Was that today? Stuckinthebush May 2016 #47
ah did he hurt your feelings roguevalley May 2016 #102
Who? Stuckinthebush May 2016 #181
Still going. Don't care. Ed Suspicious May 2016 #68
The best thing is that JimDandy May 2016 #72
Hrc needs to bow out lastone May 2016 #46
Why would the person with the most votes and delegates bow out, Chicago1980 May 2016 #89
You didn't read my post apparently lastone May 2016 #125
I read it. Chicago1980 May 2016 #134
That's a clueless statement lastone May 2016 #141
Hillary WON this state by 41% when running against Obama. Holy Moly!! nt 99th_Monkey May 2016 #51
That shows how much this 3.6% black state hates Obama. n/t pnwmom May 2016 #61
or perhaps Clinton Campaign had a hand tomm2thumbs May 2016 #64
In 2015, West Virginia ranked on the bottom of 50 states for approval of Obama. pnwmom May 2016 #67
first you say they 'hate Obama', now you attribute it to her 'policies' tomm2thumbs May 2016 #73
pwnmom said "Obama's policies" but to make your point you chose to misquote her. Why? TeamPooka May 2016 #97
her policies are HER policies tomm2thumbs May 2016 #104
They pretty much rank toward the bottom of a lot of things. Chicago1980 May 2016 #136
Oh! Lose a Primary? So under the bus goes W. Virginia! nt 99th_Monkey May 2016 #66
West Virginia ranked at #50 for approval of Obama -- only a quarter approved in 2015 overall. pnwmom May 2016 #71
Your point being? So, what exactly do you imagine that this^ 'proves'? 99th_Monkey May 2016 #93
We know that Obama is very unpopular there, and Hillary has been campaigning pnwmom May 2016 #99
Yes!! Bernie has historically high appeal to a very broad cross-section of the electorate. 99th_Monkey May 2016 #114
They cannot. Flying Shoe May 2016 #206
its all about racism with you guys when Bernie wins huh? nt retrowire May 2016 #109
Yep, and WV was her biggest win in 2008. n/t JimDandy May 2016 #69
And now the yahoos are mad at her for her perceived bashing of coal. Chicago1980 May 2016 #90
How do thay have a winner for this already? passiveporcupine May 2016 #70
Exit polls Omaha Steve May 2016 #74
Oh, thanks OS passiveporcupine May 2016 #92
guardian tomm2thumbs May 2016 #95
thanks Tomm, passiveporcupine May 2016 #142
Just stopped by jpr to send another five bucks Babel_17 May 2016 #75
lol - just saw your 'Ready for... RiverNoord May 2016 #133
Thanks! I got it from the official JMS B5 forum Babel_17 May 2016 #137
Huh. RiverNoord May 2016 #157
Yawn. The primary has been over for WEEKS now. Time to turn to the general and defeat Trump! beaglelover May 2016 #76
when will Hillary be doing that? tomm2thumbs May 2016 #77
Recommendation #100 !!!! CountAllVotes May 2016 #80
Sanders Voters that Will Vote for Trump: A Convenient Myth Echoing Through the MSM McKim May 2016 #87
It IS made up... freebrew May 2016 #195
Here's the new Hill meme for the next few days. Way too funny litlbilly May 2016 #98
whatever gets them through the night tomm2thumbs May 2016 #105
with their eyes wide open i would guess:) litlbilly May 2016 #107
Now over at Hill camp they are saying it was repubs who voted for Bernie. Wow... litlbilly May 2016 #110
popsicles® are as effective tomm2thumbs May 2016 #112
Hehehe:) litlbilly May 2016 #115
'General election polls before and during the primary are predictive of absolutely nothing.' onehandle May 2016 #106
** DONATED! ** woo hoo!!!! tomm2thumbs May 2016 #113
With 24% of the vote in, BS has a lead of 5,000 votes... dubyadiprecession May 2016 #120
HRC supporters. . .WV also doesn't matter. Who cares? Bernie isn't a real Democrat Feeling the Bern May 2016 #127
A little bird told me, the sky's the limit... Lodestar May 2016 #129
Love this... kadaholo May 2016 #150
sweet!!!!! tomm2thumbs May 2016 #182
Why are we holding primary elections SusanLarson May 2016 #135
So, Chicago1980 May 2016 #138
Look at the friendly Bernie states left to go Omaha Steve May 2016 #143
Ain't enough to change things. Chicago1980 May 2016 #149
Maybe you should give it a rest for the night. Why try to rain on FailureToCommunicate May 2016 #153
Just being realistic. Chicago1980 May 2016 #158
The size of Clinton's crowds isn't dependent on what *she* likes... JimDandy May 2016 #155
What makes you assume they're not enthusiastic? Chicago1980 May 2016 #160
Hillary can come up short of pledged delegates is the entire point Omaha Steve May 2016 #161
Supers aren't going to switch to support Sanders. Chicago1980 May 2016 #165
You think continuing bad polls for Hillary against Trump like today will keep supers??? Omaha Steve May 2016 #166
I know they're not going to switch. Chicago1980 May 2016 #167
Your saying supers will sink with Hillary even when the math points to her losing in Nov! Omaha Steve May 2016 #169
Math doesn't point to her losing in November. Chicago1980 May 2016 #172
You just can't get today's poll assimilated Omaha Steve May 2016 #175
This is what I can do... Chicago1980 May 2016 #177
Damn! Those pictures tell the story! n/t tom_kelly May 2016 #156
Whoa. +1000. nt. polly7 May 2016 #163
It's no longer about getting more delegates than Clinton... SusanLarson May 2016 #140
The graphic is very very interesting indeed. FailureToCommunicate May 2016 #145
The heavy campaigning Iwillnevergiveup May 2016 #152
It looks like it 'may' end up to be a clean sweep for Sanders there. nt. polly7 May 2016 #159
K&R Ferd Berfel May 2016 #162
Keep going Bernie!! azmom May 2016 #168
Now if THAT isn't a pretty picture!!! tomm2thumbs May 2016 #185
Thanks for explaining the math. midnight May 2016 #186
"Clinton's faltering is a marked difference from her performance in the state eight years ago,..." cui bono May 2016 #188
Kicked and recommended! Enthusiast May 2016 #190
39% of Sanders' voters will switch to Trump in November Progressive dog May 2016 #192
We need Sanders. Betty Karlson May 2016 #193
The Democratic Party will be destroyed humbled_opinion May 2016 #196
Its either embrace the Political Revolution now or later LiberalLovinLug May 2016 #200
If you take the Registered Democrats who voted Loki May 2016 #205

JimDandy

(7,318 posts)
23. I know he is going to in OR, just like he did in WA among the Dem base.
Tue May 10, 2016, 07:48 PM
May 2016

If he actually crushes it (70% or more) in CA, I bet that would be the biggest comeback in US political history.

We need him. Go Bernie!!

 

99th_Monkey

(19,326 posts)
59. I'm an Oregonian & voted for Bernie (by Mail)!! It's not called the "Left Coast" for nothing. n/t
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:15 PM
May 2016

JimDandy

(7,318 posts)
63. I loved that WA followed your lead with the mail in ballots.
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:18 PM
May 2016

Now if we can just get rid of the caucus system in WA and have a primary... (sigh).

JimDandy

(7,318 posts)
146. I put in a resolution to the state party for Dem delegates to be apportioned from the PPP votes,
Tue May 10, 2016, 09:50 PM
May 2016

like the WA Republican Party does, instead of from the caucuses.

Apparently a lot of other people also submitted resolutions to dump the WA Dem caucus process.

c588415

(285 posts)
81. I am aware that Mr.Sanders walks on water, and farts fairy-dust. Nevertheless, he trails
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:43 PM
May 2016

Clinton out in my state of California, according to RealClearPolitics.com. My candidate Hillary Clinton, is the chosen 1, and she is going to win it all

pacalo

(24,721 posts)
183. I bet you think both of Dubya's elections were on the up & up, too.
Wed May 11, 2016, 12:17 AM
May 2016

Poor old thing is now a pariah.

PatrynXX

(5,668 posts)
4. define badly
Tue May 10, 2016, 07:38 PM
May 2016

Trump was farther away and he won under 300 delegate isn't exactly badly behind. he's just rather behind not badly , he's like Eric Liddell, a ways back. running up to win at the last minute

pnwmom

(109,011 posts)
13. It is BADLY behind, because there aren't enough pledged delegates left
Tue May 10, 2016, 07:43 PM
May 2016

for him to get a majority of pledged delegates, even if he got 100% of those remaining.

His only hope now is to lose the majority of pledged delegates and then somehow convince hundreds of the super delegates to switch to him from Hillary -- even though she will have won votes from millions more voters and hundreds more pledged delegates.

The Dem and Rethug races aren't comparable for two major reasons. They have a completely different number of delegates that they're working with. And they have winner-take-all races, and Trump won a bunch of large, winner-take-all states.

If we had winner-take-all, Hillary would have won this long ago.

Omaha Steve

(99,780 posts)
38. Camp Hillary isn't talking about supers that have dropped her ALREADY!
Tue May 10, 2016, 07:55 PM
May 2016

Ashford NE-2 endorsed hillary last year. After his district went BIG for Bernie he decided to stay home. NOTHING from Hillary about that math. IF Bernie repeats tonight in the NE primary, Ashforf can be a complete flip.

Look for this to happen to supers that want to get re-elected in states or districts that went Bernie!

pnwmom

(109,011 posts)
42. Is that all you've got? A single delegate out of hundreds? They just asked Tad Devine
Tue May 10, 2016, 07:59 PM
May 2016

tonight on MSNBC or CNN (I was switching back and forth so I don't remember) if any supers had announced they were switching to him yet and he said no -- that would happen after all the races were over.

So he's promoting the idea that even when Hillary wins the primaries, they'll convince the supers to switch sides and elect the losing candidate anyway.

Omaha Steve

(99,780 posts)
54. Hillary is still fighting cause she knows it isn't over
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:10 PM
May 2016

IF neither gets enough committed, why shouldn't the super vote WITH their constituents votes?

As Bernie closes in with states leaning to him, hr supers get nervous. IF all you can say is math, you should be worried.

Omaha Steve

(99,780 posts)
65. She isn't the nominee yet
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:20 PM
May 2016

And is tied with Trump in THREE Swing states. She has to WIN two of those IF she is the nominee!

pnwmom

(109,011 posts)
202. Polls while she's still running against Bernie mean nothing except she's fighting
Wed May 11, 2016, 04:24 PM
May 2016

a 2-front war.

And that Florida poll was extremely skewed. Their weighted sample had 32% Dem and GOP, and 31% non-affiliated -- but 2014 state registration #'s said there were 4.6 million Dems, 4.2 million GOP, and less than 2.8 million non-affiliated.

So the high number of Indy's and GOP made it appear that Trump had stronger support than he does.

pnwmom

(109,011 posts)
58. It is a statistical impossibility for Bernie to get enough pledged delegates to have a majority of
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:15 PM
May 2016

pledged delegates, even if he won 100% of the remaining pledged delegates.

Hillary will win -- the only question is when.

NV Whino

(20,886 posts)
62. Reading skills! Please.
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:17 PM
May 2016

Notice I said GE. If you don't understand that, it means general election. You know, against Tump.

Omaha Steve

(99,780 posts)
78. Hillary can come up short of pledged delegates too
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:40 PM
May 2016

Then it gets interesting. Supers in states & districts that went Bernie want to get re-elected etc.

Today's poll of three swing states tied Hillary/Trump is not a good sign to supers . November candidate MUST win TWO of them!. Many supers do want to win in November.

Bernie polls Better than Hillary against Trump every time.


Today: http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/who-s-more-likely-beat-donald-trump-hillary-clinton-or-n570766

Who's More Likely to Beat Donald Trump — Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders?

Source: NBC News

by HANNAH HARTIG, JOHN LAPINSKI and STEPHANIE PSYLLOS

Hillary Clinton holds a 12-point lead over Bernie Sanders nationally, but in a hypothetical match-up against Donald Trump, Sanders does much better than the current Democratic front-runner.

As Ted Cruz and John Kasich exited the Republican primary race last week — making Trump the party's presumptive nominee — Clinton and Sanders have used Trump's candidacy to argue that they would be in the best position to defeat him in the general election in November.

When respondents in our NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll were asked whether they would cast a vote for Trump or either of the Democratic candidates still in the race, Sanders is the favorite over Trump by 13 points.

Clinton also beats Trump, but the race is decidedly closer — 49 percent to 44 percent. These results are according to the latest from the NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll conducted online from May 2 through May 8 of 12,714 adults including 11,089 registered voters.

FULL story at link. MAY 10 2016, 6:23 AM ET

ablamj

(333 posts)
139. I don't think the "Supers" care about pledged delegates
Tue May 10, 2016, 09:37 PM
May 2016

Bernie could be one pledged delegate short of the nomination and I still think they'd choose Hillary. They want to stay on the money train.

ozone_man

(4,825 posts)
79. Actually, he needs 65% to tie.
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:42 PM
May 2016

From the article:

Among pledged delegates, Clinton holds a lead of 282 over Sanders, meaning that he would have to win 65 percent of the remaining delegates to catch up.

pnwmom

(109,011 posts)
86. You're right, I think. It's impossible for him but not her to win a majority of ALL delegates
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:47 PM
May 2016

without help from super delegates. And he would need to flip hundreds of supers who are committed to her.

But how do you think a man who has gotten 45% of delegates so far is suddenly going to up his game to 65% from now on?

SusanCalvin

(6,592 posts)
128. Fine. Let's continue to wait and see, shall we?
Tue May 10, 2016, 09:15 PM
May 2016

I have yet to understand why some Hillary supporters are so averse to simply doing that.

If Bernie's actually hurting her for the general, she's way too delicate. If he's not, I'd love to spend my Bernie money in peace.

SusanCalvin

(6,592 posts)
116. Wrongo.
Tue May 10, 2016, 09:06 PM
May 2016

I just worked it out, according to here:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/democratic_delegate_count.html

Please correct my math if I messed up.

Elected delegates, which is what I prefer to call them:

1705 Clinton
1414 Bernie
897 remaining
4016 total, 2008 = 50%

Number to get Bernie to 2008 = 594

594 / 897 = 66.22073%, plus one.

That's the numbers I got, anyway. And right now these delegates are the only ones I care about.

Lokijohn

(46 posts)
131. its the math!
Tue May 10, 2016, 09:18 PM
May 2016

You are completely and loudly wrong. He is trailing by 291 pledged delegates (less after today) and California alone has 475 delegates. Please review your talking points.

Go Bernie!

pnwmom

(109,011 posts)
5. According to MSNBC, 35% of these Bernie voters say they'll vote for TRUMP in the fall EVEN IF
Tue May 10, 2016, 07:39 PM
May 2016

Last edited Tue May 10, 2016, 08:16 PM - Edit history (1)

Bernie is the Democratic nominee.

PatrynXX

(5,668 posts)
25. Don't know whoever is more Liberal...
Tue May 10, 2016, 07:49 PM
May 2016

I'll prefer to write his name in though. Trump kinda hit the wall by encouraging riots. X_X not that Anti Trump people are any better (trashing a cop car is not exactly a good thing)

tomm2thumbs

(13,297 posts)
184. B I N G O !
Wed May 11, 2016, 12:32 AM
May 2016

Sanders’ message rests on the fact that Clinton represents the Democratic Party policies and approaches of the past.

"In every primary, in every caucus election up to now, this campaign has won the overwhelming majority of votes of people under 45 years of age and what that tells me and should tell everyone is that our vision of a nation which strives for economic, social, racial and environmental justice is the vision for America’s future," he said in Sacramento, adding pointedly: "Our agenda is the future of America and the future of the Democratic Party."

in other words

CLINTON: "BEEN THERE, DONE THAT"

 

timmymoff

(1,947 posts)
45. i'm not getting into it
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:01 PM
May 2016

I don't support Trump I don't support Hillary won't vote for either. Good luck in November.

tomm2thumbs

(13,297 posts)
50. it shows if they aren't given a good candidate in Bernie, they consider Trump more trusted
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:06 PM
May 2016

these are Independents, and they reflect what is going on across the country. Independents will swing AWAY from Clinton in a general election and Trump will benefit -- but against Bernie, those same Independents stay with the Democratic Party

This is about Democrats retaining the White House, not trying to hand it to a Clinton

pnwmom

(109,011 posts)
52. No, Chris Hayes said they said if BERNIE was the nominee in the General, these Bernie voters
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:09 PM
May 2016

in the primary would choose to vote for Trump in the general.

Now they're saying 35% instead of 40%, but the point remains. Bernie voters are far less likely than Hillary voters to say that they'd stick with their candidate if their candidate was in the General with Trump.

tomm2thumbs

(13,297 posts)
55. you are funny
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:10 PM
May 2016

"No, Chris Hayes said they said if BERNIE was the nominee in the General, these Bernie voters in the primary would choose to vote for Trump in the general. "

progressoid

(50,000 posts)
176. Exit polls: Half of Clinton's supporters won't back Obama
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:56 PM
May 2016

So I just looked into this phenomenon, and the Google machine took me to this oldie but goodie...

8 years ago
Exit polls: Half of Clinton's supporters won't back Obama

(CNN) - Just how badly is the Democratic Party divided?

According to the exit polls, half of Clinton's supporters in Indiana would not vote for Obama in a general election match up with John McCain. A third of Clinton voters said they would pick McCain over Obama, while 17 percent said they would not vote at all. Just 48 percent of Clinton supporters said they would back Obama in November.

Obama gets even less support from Clinton backers in North Carolina. There, only 45 percent of Clinton supporters said they would vote for Obama over McCain. Thirty-eight percent said they would vote for McCain while 12 percent said they would not vote.

Obama voters appear to be more willing to support Clinton in November. In Indiana, 59 percent of Obama backers said they'd vote for Clinton, and 70 percent of Obama backers in North Carolina said they'd support the New York Democrat.

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/05/06/exit-polls-half-of-clintons-supporters-wont-back-obama/



Yet in contrast to all the predictions and this exit poll, Obama won Indiana and North Carolina.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election_in_North_Carolina,_2008
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election_in_Indiana,_2008
 

dbackjon

(6,578 posts)
194. No it means that Republicans are playing dirty
Wed May 11, 2016, 10:04 AM
May 2016

No it means that Republicans are playing dirty

Trump encouraged his supporters to vote for Sanders cause he knows Sandwrs is the weaker candidate in the general election


This is why closed primaries are the only legitimate way to select the parties candidate

 

Herman4747

(1,825 posts)
197. Closed primaries provide us with NO INFORMATION...
Wed May 11, 2016, 11:31 AM
May 2016

...on the voting preferences of Independents, who currently outnumber both Democrats & also outnumber Republicans.
In order to win in November, we need a candidate who can appeal to Independents -- Bernie succeeds better than Hillary in this regard.
Finally, you provide no evidence that some voters heeded Trump's call (that you allege) and arrived at the polls to vote for Bernie.

 

dbackjon

(6,578 posts)
198. LOL - there is plenty of evidence posted yesterday
Wed May 11, 2016, 12:12 PM
May 2016

40% of Sanders voters in WV say they are voting for Trump regardless of the Dem nominee.

Pretty damn obvious.



If Independents want to influence a party's selection, they can register as that party.

 

Herman4747

(1,825 posts)
204. I daresay that all of that 40% expect the Democratic nominee...
Wed May 11, 2016, 06:00 PM
May 2016

...to be Hillary.
Don't you yourself believe that the Democratic nominee will be Hillary?
YES OR NO?
LOL!!

Response to pnwmom (Reply #5)

McKim

(2,412 posts)
28. MSNBC Is Dumping on Sanders Every Minute
Tue May 10, 2016, 07:50 PM
May 2016

They are calling his wins an anomaly and putting him down as a fringe candidate. Their desperation is laughable.

Politicub

(12,165 posts)
132. That makes perfect sense.
Tue May 10, 2016, 09:25 PM
May 2016

A third basically said they are voting for the person they're planning on voting against.

 

Duval

(4,280 posts)
6. Things are looking UP for Bernie!
Tue May 10, 2016, 07:39 PM
May 2016

I believe his chances of winning are increasing! And this without hardly any coverage from our MSM. His message is resonating with more and more people. Thank you for this good news,tomm2thumbs!


Chicago1980

(1,968 posts)
111. Still not enough.
Tue May 10, 2016, 09:01 PM
May 2016

Just saying.

He may win those primaries, but it won't give him the delegate count needed.

benny05

(5,322 posts)
12. You Know the Difference Betwn Berniecrats and his Opponent's
Tue May 10, 2016, 07:42 PM
May 2016

We are grateful for the win and don't take votes for granted.


[link:

|

PatrynXX

(5,668 posts)
32. Clearly..
Tue May 10, 2016, 07:51 PM
May 2016

She's just about blown off California , their votes don't matter to her. she reminds me of Mitt Romney. Who paid attention too much to the wrong polls and went off boating when he really should have been on the road..

dorkzilla

(5,141 posts)
41. But she's tiiiiiiiirrrrrrrred
Tue May 10, 2016, 07:58 PM
May 2016

and easily confused! Why do they have to have this whole "voting" thing anyway? How much longer will she have to suffer the smell of the unwashed masses?

(attention alerters and jury - complaining of being exhausted and confused is something HUMA said about her, not me)

Kingofalldems

(38,496 posts)
17. Exit poll said 50% of Bernie voters will vote for Trump.
Tue May 10, 2016, 07:45 PM
May 2016

Pretty lame to declare victory with GOP dirty tricks putting you on top.

Open primaries are useless.

kevink077

(365 posts)
43. Bernie voters...
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:00 PM
May 2016

Bernie is way more electable that Clinton. If republican dummies want to cross over and vote for Sanders, let's have them!

 

Trajan

(19,089 posts)
88. How do you know this is a fraudulent vote?
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:49 PM
May 2016

I'm thinking that Democrats simply don't like Clinton ...

Nobody to blame except the Clintons for that ...

 

Trajan

(19,089 posts)
108. I'm not sure I buy that .. It's the billionaire media that reports that
Tue May 10, 2016, 09:00 PM
May 2016

Maybe you need to ask yourself why nobody wants to vote for Clinton ...

Omaha Steve

(99,780 posts)
24. "presidential "beauty contest" in Nebraska"
Tue May 10, 2016, 07:49 PM
May 2016

IF Bernie wins NE-2 US Congressman Ashford could be convinced to vote Bernie at the convention. Her endorsed Hillary last year. After NE-2 went BIG for Bernie he said he was staying home. This could be a flip of a super-delegate.

OS

Mike__M

(1,052 posts)
48. We have a "beauty contest" primary in WA as well
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:04 PM
May 2016

I haven't heard if our super delegates will pay attention.
Maybe they're planning to just wait and be primaried in two years.
We are going to have a lot of democratic socialist PCOs before this year is done.

 

The Second Stone

(2,900 posts)
31. This is just the break that the Sanders campaign has been looking for
Tue May 10, 2016, 07:51 PM
May 2016

too push them over the top in popular vote count, pledged delegate vote count and superdelegate vote count. All that needs to be done now is to emphasize victories like this one in in West Virginia and hope the MSM downplays the others and we can continue being in complete freaking denial of establishment reality.

Stuckinthebush

(10,847 posts)
181. Who?
Wed May 11, 2016, 12:12 AM
May 2016

Seriously. Who? Bernie?

Lord no. Congrats to him if that's who you are taking about.

Or the poster? I'm confused on the who

JimDandy

(7,318 posts)
72. The best thing is that
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:25 PM
May 2016

CA is actually going to matter this primary season.

Bernie has kept his promise. Love that about him!

 

lastone

(588 posts)
46. Hrc needs to bow out
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:02 PM
May 2016

She loses against donnie boy, she'll wreck the democrats chance of retaking any Senate or House seats as well.

Chicago1980

(1,968 posts)
89. Why would the person with the most votes and delegates bow out,
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:49 PM
May 2016

because her primary opponents supporters want her to?

Your foolish comment is no different than when Hillary supporters say Bernie should bow out.

Chicago1980

(1,968 posts)
134. I read it.
Tue May 10, 2016, 09:29 PM
May 2016

The only thing that will cost seats are Bernie voters who are seemingly acting more like Tea Party members and or small children.

The same mentality that lost seats in the midterms, being pouty children throwing a tantrum when they don't get what they want when they want it. Or you can chalk it up to pure laziness.

 

lastone

(588 posts)
141. That's a clueless statement
Tue May 10, 2016, 09:38 PM
May 2016

On many levels. Hrc doesn't win the general without Sanders supporters and the shear presumptiveness (and sometimes pure assholeness, the unicorn bullshit for one example) her and her supporters are not making any effort to bring them over. Hrc doesn't poll as well as Sanders v trump so your advocating choosing a losing position. I'll remind you of this repeatedly when I'm unfortunately right.

pnwmom

(109,011 posts)
67. In 2015, West Virginia ranked on the bottom of 50 states for approval of Obama.
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:22 PM
May 2016

So Hillary saying she was going to extend Obama's policies didn't play well there.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/189002/obama-rated-best-hawaii-2015-worst-west-virginia.aspx

 

99th_Monkey

(19,326 posts)
93. Your point being? So, what exactly do you imagine that this^ 'proves'?
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:52 PM
May 2016

Anything? or is it just more static in the field?

pnwmom

(109,011 posts)
99. We know that Obama is very unpopular there, and Hillary has been campaigning
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:55 PM
May 2016

as someone who will continue Obama's legacy, so it isn't surprising that Bernie is doing better than Hillary.

OTOH, we also know from the exit polls that 35% of Bernie voters say that if Bernie DOES make it to the general, they'll pick Trump instead.

So they aren't thrilled with any Dem.

 

99th_Monkey

(19,326 posts)
114. Yes!! Bernie has historically high appeal to a very broad cross-section of the electorate.
Tue May 10, 2016, 09:03 PM
May 2016

For example, Bernie draws 25% of the GOP voters in his home state ov Vermont.

Can you name another Senator who enjoys such broad voter appeal? I can't.

passiveporcupine

(8,175 posts)
92. Oh, thanks OS
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:51 PM
May 2016

Does anyone know where the link is to the primary's that shows the map with the counties as they come in?

passiveporcupine

(8,175 posts)
142. thanks Tomm,
Tue May 10, 2016, 09:44 PM
May 2016

I even googled it "by county" and it still didn't come up. I'll have to bookmark it this time.

Oops, this isnt' the right one either. This has garbage all over it, popups drive me nuts.

CNN has a better one.

OK, now I'm pissed. The Hill campers keep complaining that Bernie won't have enough pledged delegates to win by majority, so he can't win...and they say if he goes contested convention, he's evil because the people's votes count.

Well guess what...right now I'm seeing

Sanders with 13 pledged delegates and 1 super delegate

Hillary with nine pledged delegates, six super delegates.

HTF is that fair? He has the majority of the votes and the majority of the pledged delegates, but the supers are going to her. Fuck them. The rules are only fair if they play in Hillary's favor.

Babel_17

(5,400 posts)
75. Just stopped by jpr to send another five bucks
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:31 PM
May 2016
Can you hear me, can you hear me running?
Can you hear me running, can you hear me calling you?
Can you hear me, can you hear me running?
Can you hear me running, can you hear me calling you?


Babel_17

(5,400 posts)
137. Thanks! I got it from the official JMS B5 forum
Tue May 10, 2016, 09:34 PM
May 2016

I said I was going to use it and there was no objection.

The moderator of the JMS forum registered here so she could post in a JMS thread I started. Very nice lady.

http://jmsnews.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=9

 

RiverNoord

(1,150 posts)
157. Huh.
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:07 PM
May 2016

I'm impressed that he's got an entire 'JMSNews' site. And that, after all these years, there's an active B5 forum on it.

Or... maybe not - best Sci-fi television ever, in my opinion.

Glad they let you use the graphic - I really did 'laugh out loud.'

CountAllVotes

(20,878 posts)
80. Recommendation #100 !!!!
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:43 PM
May 2016

Great damn news!!!

#FeelTheBern !!!

Sanders for President 2016 !!!

& 100th recommendation !!!

McKim

(2,412 posts)
87. Sanders Voters that Will Vote for Trump: A Convenient Myth Echoing Through the MSM
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:47 PM
May 2016

Let's not buy this myth so fast. It smells. It smells like that myth that our soldiers were spat on when they came home from Vietnam.
The myth that Sanders voters will switch to vote Trump is an inflamatory tool that is being pushed through the Main Stream Media to discredit Sanders voters. I am a Sanders voter and I don't know any other Sanders voter who would ever, every dream of voting for Trump. Let's not give this any legitimacy, folks. It sounds very made up.

freebrew

(1,917 posts)
195. It IS made up...
Wed May 11, 2016, 10:38 AM
May 2016

just like the lie that repubs are crossing over in open primaries to vote for Bernie.

So, if trump voters are crossing over(as was said in this thread), who's voting for trump?

You only get one vote, dumbasses, in MO, more Rs voted than Dems(Thanks, DWS).

So, how do they add the numbers to come to some idiot
conclusion that the Rs are trying to spoil the system?
They LIE and Make Shit Up.

onehandle

(51,122 posts)
106. 'General election polls before and during the primary are predictive of absolutely nothing.'
Tue May 10, 2016, 08:59 PM
May 2016

Ignore hypothetical matchups in primary season – they also measure nothing. General election polls before and during the primary season have a very wide margin of error. That’s especially the case for candidates who aren’t even in the race and therefore haven’t been treated to the onslaught of skeptical media coverage usually associated with being the candidate.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/harrys-guide-to-2016-election-polls

dubyadiprecession

(5,726 posts)
120. With 24% of the vote in, BS has a lead of 5,000 votes...
Tue May 10, 2016, 09:10 PM
May 2016

which means she will probably get a little less than half the delegates from that state.

 

Feeling the Bern

(3,839 posts)
127. HRC supporters. . .WV also doesn't matter. Who cares? Bernie isn't a real Democrat
Tue May 10, 2016, 09:14 PM
May 2016

And if you support him, you're everything wrong with the Democrats. You're probably a Bernie Bro Republican who loves his D- NRA rating, which shows he loves the NRA.

Besides, he's so far behind in the delegate count, it's over! Even though the Superdelegates are giving Clinton the advantage because they are Democratic establishment candidates. In pledged delegates, Bernie is only behind by less than 150, but that's doesn't matter.

Oh, and screw you Bernie Bros too. We HRC fans don't want or need you to win this election. Go support your fake Democrat who is in it only for himself, even though we HRC fans loved Bernie and his positions before he decided to challenge the coronation!

MASSIVE SNARK here.

Go Bernie!

 

SusanLarson

(284 posts)
135. Why are we holding primary elections
Tue May 10, 2016, 09:30 PM
May 2016

According to Clintonites on this forum both the primary, and the election have already been decided; and you have a mental defect if you feel otherwise (laugh)....

Chicago1980

(1,968 posts)
138. So,
Tue May 10, 2016, 09:34 PM
May 2016

He was down by about 295 pledged delegates before tonight, and after he'll be down by about 290-292.

Omaha Steve

(99,780 posts)
143. Look at the friendly Bernie states left to go
Tue May 10, 2016, 09:46 PM
May 2016


A winning streak before June 7 helps in NJ!

http://www.uspresidentialelectionnews.com/2016-presidential-primary-schedule-calendar/

Tue, May 17 Kentucky (D) 61 - Closed

Tue, May 17 Oregon 73 Closed

Sat, Jun 4 Virgin Islands Caucus (D) 12 - Open

Sun, Jun 5 Puerto Rico Caucus (D) 67 - Open

Tue, Jun 7 California 546 Mixed (see below)

Tue, Jun 7 Montana 27 Open

Tue, Jun 7 New Jersey 142 Mixed

Tue, Jun 7 New Mexico 43 Closed

Tue, Jun 7 North Dakota Caucus (D) 23 - Closed

Tue, Jun 7 South Dakota 25 Closed

Tue, Jun 14 District of Columbia (D) 46 - Closed

Chicago1980

(1,968 posts)
149. Ain't enough to change things.
Tue May 10, 2016, 09:53 PM
May 2016

Most are small states with not a significant number of delegates.

Clinton is up in New Jersey by about 18 points.

And so what if she doesn't hold huge rallies. She's always liked more intimate crowds.

FailureToCommunicate

(14,026 posts)
153. Maybe you should give it a rest for the night. Why try to rain on
Tue May 10, 2016, 09:59 PM
May 2016

some good news for the Bernie supporters?

Chicago1980

(1,968 posts)
158. Just being realistic.
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:07 PM
May 2016

I've come across a number of Sanders supporters this evening who say Clinton should drop out.

There's nothing wrong with being happy about the win, but you have to be honest about it too.

JimDandy

(7,318 posts)
155. The size of Clinton's crowds isn't dependent on what *she* likes...
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:06 PM
May 2016

Dems have no enthusiasm for her which is reflected by the voluntary rallies. Name recognition along with first female pres is what is getting her marks on the ballots.

Chicago1980

(1,968 posts)
160. What makes you assume they're not enthusiastic?
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:11 PM
May 2016

No one needs to scream their heads of or go to some rally to show enthusiasm.

Sanders supporters certainly have a way of trying to diminish what she's accomplished.

Maybe I should say it's the 'free stuff' that Bernie is harping about that getting the marks on his ballots.

Omaha Steve

(99,780 posts)
161. Hillary can come up short of pledged delegates is the entire point
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:11 PM
May 2016

With Hillary having poll trouble TODAY in THREE swing states with Trump BEFORE R's unified behind their man, supers that want to win in Nov will have a lot to think about.

You go on thinking it's over. I'll go on thinking Bernie can win. We aren't accomplishing squat here.

Chicago1980

(1,968 posts)
165. Supers aren't going to switch to support Sanders.
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:17 PM
May 2016

You can continue to think Bernie will win as long as you remember that it is just a thought.

Omaha Steve

(99,780 posts)
166. You think continuing bad polls for Hillary against Trump like today will keep supers???
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:20 PM
May 2016

REALLY???

Many of them want to be re-elected AND win POTUS in Nov. They can do the poll math.

Chicago1980

(1,968 posts)
167. I know they're not going to switch.
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:26 PM
May 2016

They have no reason to. Not even with the polling that came out today.

Not all supers are elected officials.

They're not going to switch, mark my words.

Omaha Steve

(99,780 posts)
169. Your saying supers will sink with Hillary even when the math points to her losing in Nov!
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:29 PM
May 2016

Those are great Democrats...

Chicago1980

(1,968 posts)
172. Math doesn't point to her losing in November.
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:33 PM
May 2016

It's just apparently the wishes of a Sanders supporter who not getting what they want.

Omaha Steve

(99,780 posts)
175. You just can't get today's poll assimilated
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:50 PM
May 2016

It gets worse for Hillary from here. The Conservatives are united now that they have their candidate.

More like Hillary supporters ....
 

SusanLarson

(284 posts)
140. It's no longer about getting more delegates than Clinton...
Tue May 10, 2016, 09:37 PM
May 2016

Sanders doesn't have to win, he just has to keep Clinton from reaching the required 2,383 pledged delegates before the convention. Getting more pledged delegates than her would simply be icing on the cake. She has 1,715 there are 1060 still available. She needs 668 of those which she can't get.

The media keeps throwing in the super delegates which do not count until the convention to make it seem she has already got enough to win, and her supporters have been dumb enough to buy that narrative thus their smugness.

Iwillnevergiveup

(9,298 posts)
152. The heavy campaigning
Tue May 10, 2016, 09:57 PM
May 2016

Bernie did in WV really paid off. And the rallies in Sacramento and Stockton and win in Indiana are an indication of more great news. Hopefully, more and more folks contribute, too.

K&R

cui bono

(19,926 posts)
188. "Clinton's faltering is a marked difference from her performance in the state eight years ago,..."
Wed May 11, 2016, 03:19 AM
May 2016

"...when she beat then-candidate Barack Obama by more than 40 percent."



.

Progressive dog

(6,921 posts)
192. 39% of Sanders' voters will switch to Trump in November
Wed May 11, 2016, 08:09 AM
May 2016
In fact, 39 percent of Sanders voters said they would vote for Trump over Sanders in the fall. For Clinton, nine percent of her voters say they plan to come out for Trump in the general election.

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/donald-trump-supporters-boost-bernie-sanders-west-virginia-n571791
 

Betty Karlson

(7,231 posts)
193. We need Sanders.
Wed May 11, 2016, 08:12 AM
May 2016

Ditch the candidate who is stuck in the 20th century, and give the party a chance to win the GE.

humbled_opinion

(4,423 posts)
196. The Democratic Party will be destroyed
Wed May 11, 2016, 10:47 AM
May 2016

if we miss this chance to nominate Bernie Sanders and instead Hillary steals the nomination with the SD's and she ultimately loses to Trump, that will be the end of the Democratic party.... Maybe the start of a Progressive party but certainly an end to the Democratic party.

LiberalLovinLug

(14,178 posts)
200. Its either embrace the Political Revolution now or later
Wed May 11, 2016, 03:36 PM
May 2016

Either grab the golden ring now, a generational opportunity that would be sheer stupidity not to take advantage of.

Or we take the long road as you've described. I would hope, that after Hillary loses to Trump, the whole party apparatchik will be revamped and the third-wayers thrown out on their petards, and the focus once again going to 99% of Americans, or there will be a split, with the white collar elite corporate stooges clinging onto the party name, and a new party formed to take up the traditional Democratic values left by the wayside.

Loki

(3,825 posts)
205. If you take the Registered Democrats who voted
Wed May 11, 2016, 06:51 PM
May 2016

Bernie lost by double digits. But you don't like those numbers do you. The ones who voted for him were supposedly "Independents" who will vote for The Big Baby in November even if Sanders is the nominee. Not much of a win if you need Republican spoilers who will never vote for you except to vote against Hllary. West Virginia voted against a black man in the 2008 election. Mostly white Christian conservatives who will always vote against their best interests, always.

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