Who Is Voting For Trump?

[brooklynite]

Evan Solitas:

Two factors explain 60 percent of all the variance in Trump's support across 227 New Hampshire voting precincts:
- Cook Partisan Voting Index: For every 1 percentage point more liberal the precinct, Donald Trump's share of votes rises by 0.48 percentage points
- College attendance: For every 1 percentage point more college graduates over the age of 25, Donald Trump's share of votes falls by 0.65 percentage points.

Household income and population are insignificant statistically or substantively. Here is a visualization of Trump voters as both moderate and low-education, where I split the 227 precincts into PVI and education quintiles:

[Agnosticsherbet]

1. I wonder if that is consistent with other states? nt

[Jim__]

2. Can't read his .dta file - it looks like it's SAS.

But, based on his description, his analysis is not actually based on individual voters, but on the population of the precinct. I'm not sure exactly what that indicates. He talks about precincts being more liberal and then shows the voters as more moderate. I'm not quite sure how to interpret his chart.

[Gothmog]

3. Only idiots are voting for Trump

[okaawhatever]

4. k & R nt

[struggle4progress]

5. the Trumkopfs