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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsThere’s A 60 Percent Chance Of A Royals-Mets World Series
FiveThirtyEight:The Blue Jays and Cubs both dropped the first two games of their series on the road, however, to the Kansas City Royals and the New York Mets, respectively. Both are now staring at a radically different postseason landscape. Chicago and Toronto still grade out as MLBs top two teams according to Elo (the Cubs are still clear of Kansas City for No. 2, by a fraction of a rating point), but theres only a 5 percent chance theyll both mount comebacks and rendezvous on baseballs biggest stage.
TEAM ELO RATING MAKE WORLD SERIES WIN WORLD SERIES
Kansas City Royals 1556 79.2% 43.7%
New York Mets 1536 76.5 32.0
Toronto Blue Jays 1567 20.8 12.2
Chicago Cubs 1556 23.5 12.2
Instead as you would expect Elo thinks the most likely World Series matchup by far (with a 60 percent probability) is a Mets-Royals showdown a battle of the champs from 1985 and 1986. That means theres still a 40 percent chance that either the Jays or Cubs will manage a revival, so it wont be completely stunning if at least one 0-2 comeback takes place. But the prospect of both is looking pretty improbable, despite the strength of the two trailing teams.
I started rooting for the Mets in 1968 (home); I started rooting for the Royals in 1969 (Grandparents); talk about the horns of a dilemma.
villager
(26,001 posts)...simply because it would be so fun/interesting to see.
Still nothing in particular against the Mets.
Heck, nothing in particular against any of the teams still standing. It's all truly "spectating" from a West Coast vantage, at this point...
TDale313
(7,820 posts)Just glad the Dodgers are out
tabasco
(22,974 posts)Been a fan of both teams over the years.
Was a huge Mets fans in '69 when they had Tom Seaver and so many great players.
Warren DeMontague
(80,708 posts)KamaAina
(78,249 posts)One of my Giant fan friends had her boyfriend move in with her last year -- from KC! Alas, they stayed together.
brooklynite
(94,727 posts)Blue_Tires
(55,445 posts)hifiguy
(33,688 posts)The Royals because their fans had to put up with so much bad baseball for so many years, and because the current team is so well-balanced. And I am an AL Central fan whose team is the Twins, so rooting for the Royals in the post-season is easy.
The Cubs because they are the Cubs.
TlalocW
(15,391 posts)But you can't help but know who's bucking for the championship. I pretty much have to support KC, but I wouldn't mind seeing the Cubs win just to have something in Back to the Future 2 come true cuz it sure don't look like I'm gonna be getting a damn hoverboard anytime soon.
TlalocW