MSNBC: What ‘Bernie-mentum’ tells us about 2016
http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/what-bernie-mentum-tells-us-about-2016
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06/17/15 09:35 AMUPDATED 06/17/15 09:36 AM
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By Chuck Todd and Mark Murray
*** Three things that Bernie-mentum tell us: The biggest development in the presidential campaign so far this month? Its not Jebs or Trumps announcements, or Hillary Clintons re-announcement. Rather, its the faster-than-expected rise of Bernie Sanders. Hillary Clinton still has maybe the clearest path that any non-incumbent has had to win a partys presidential nomination in modern times. But you also cant ignore the momentum Bernie-mentum! that Bernie Sanders seems to have in the Democratic race right now. Sure, its just two polls (one phone survey, another thats partially online) that show him within 10-12 points of Clinton. And sure, theyre both in New Hampshire, which is right next door to Sanders Vermont. But they could also be a canary in the progressive coal mine. And they tell us three things: One, the Elizabeth Warren supporters have seamlessly moved over into Sanders corner. Two, Sanders momentum suggests that there might not be breathing room for other Democratic challengers like Martin OMalley, Lincoln Chafee, and Jim Webb. And three, as political scientist Jonathan Bernstein points out, its also a reminder on the GOP side that any candidate can benefit from a public opinion surge. Make no mistake: Poll after poll shows Clinton in outstanding shape with Democratic voters. But Sanders rise if it lasts does put Team Clinton in a bit of a box. After all, punching down is not something that will make the candidate or campaign look good.