Irish odds on the presidential election. Now's your chance!

[BainsBane]

Irish odds makers are taking bets on the presidential election. Those of you who feel certain Sanders will win the presidency have a great opportunity here to put in a bet at 33 to 1. O'Malley, Ted Cruz, Paul Ryan, Elizabeth Warren are all also at 33:1. Ben Carson is 20: 1, and Hillary Clinton leads the pack at 4:6. Sorry, Clinton supporters. No golden opportunity for you.

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/politics/other-politics/us-politics?ev_oc_grp_ids=791149

[rock]

1. Other than the odds themselves

These bookmakers don't have a dog in the race. I guess the Hillary supporters will have to find solace in a solid 4:6.

[ucrdem]

2. 33:1?

That can't be right. He's cleaning up on DU!

[leftofcool]

6. LMAO!

[William769]

3. Kick and highly recommended!

[Thinkingabout]

4. Seems like several of the odds makers is giving Hillary high numbers.

[sheshe2]

5. KnR!

[leftofcool]

7. K&R

[dawg]

8. They're giving odds on Charlie Sheen, too.

500/1

I can't imagine anyone will be taking them up on that one.

[BainsBane]

9. Kim K is 1000 to 1

And no, I don't expect they'll find takers for her either.

[zappaman]

15. I just refinanced my house and put 100k on her.

Gonna fund my retirement!

[BainsBane]

19. I expect a commission

a finders fee for bringing you this golden opportunity.

[zappaman]

23. You can use the hot tub in my new mansion anytime.

Will even send a private jet to fly you out.

[hrmjustin]

10. lol i love this!

[freshwest]

11. Whoa! Does that mean Carson is more popular than 2 Democrats and the Koch klowns? TIA.

(Don't understand gambling.)

[Rstrstx]

12. Do they still have Nate Silver's odds up?

They used to be 538 to 1 (what else?)

At least some traders have a sense of humor

[BainsBane]

13. What makes you say they are Nate Silver's?

Don't you think they have their own statisticians on staff? I would think so considering how much money they have riding on these bets.

[Rstrstx]

16. That was the odds of him winning the Presidency

Not the odds he predicted. I forget which site offered him at 538:1 but there might be more people out there than you think who would buy it for fun or as a kind of a souvenir (what would make a better gag gift for the political junky?) It's not intended to be serious in any form or fashion.

[BainsBane]

17. those Irish sites are very serious

It's real money, and if there is anything a bookie takes seriously, it is money.

[BainsBane]

14. Besides, why look a gift horse in the mouth?

If you think the odds aren't favorable enough for your candidate, this is your chance to put in a bet and make a killing.

[stevenleser]

18. After Hillary, a lot of this is off. I don't think Rahm Emanuel has a better shot than Al Gore.

Gore would destroy him in a primary.

Paul Ryan, who said he is not going to run, shouldn't have better odds than Rick Perry who is running.

There are all kinds of problems with the odds making. Also, Jeb's campaign is in extremely bad shape. He may be tied for the lead with Walker, both of them having around 12%, the problem for Jeb is that most of the rest of the Republican electorate doesn't want him as President at all, not as a second, third or fourth choice.

[lpbk2713]

20. It's too close to call between Trump and The Quitter.

Yup. They're running neck and neck.

BWAHAHAHA

[alboe]

21. Kim Kardashian

at 1000/1. She won't even be 35 until later this year. President Kardashian... ha. ha.

[MADem]

22. Ladbrokes in UK have her up even more.

https://m.ladbrokes.com/en/#!event_details?id=216136503

They've got Senator Sanders at 50/1, O'Malley at 33/1, Clinton is at 11/10 and sitting in the cardboard seat.

[BainsBane]

24. 4/6 is better than 11/10

Isn't it?

[MADem]

25. For the bettor but not the house! nt

[BainsBane]

26. ?

I'm essentially innumerate.

[MADem]

32. If you 're the house, it's better for you to take in

More money, not less, on a bet. If you lose and have to pay out, you pay out less. If a longer shot bet pays off, you can end up broke in a hurry.

From a bettor perspective, would you rather risk eight dollars for a chance at making twelve, or would you rather risk eleven dollars for a chance to make just ten? The House doesn't like to lose! They'll make bets less attractive for sure things and give crazy odds for long shot, fun bets.

This might help...
https://www.sportsbettingonline.net/strategy/fractional-odds/

[hootinholler]

34. No

The first number is the payout. The second number is the risk required to get the payout. So 4/6 means it pays 4 for every 6 bet. 11/10 pays 11 for every 10 bet.

[Ed Suspicious]

27. Ben Carson at 20:1 over Bernie. Fuck that noise.

I'm no math guy. So whats the difference between 4:6 and 2:3?

[BainsBane]

28. Now's your chance

get a bet in for Bernie and make a killing, assuming you really are sure he'll win.

[Ed Suspicious]

29. I've already put up more income than I can afford to lose

supporting Bernie's campaign. Sadly, none left to wager.

[hootinholler]

30. Why are you soliciting a crime?

If I could legally make that bet I would in a heartbeat.

[BainsBane]

33. supporting a crime like

using marijuana in states where it remains illegal?

It interesting which laws people insist be enforced and which not. Looks to me like an excuse to cover up for the fact you might not actually believe your own rhetoric.

[hootinholler]

36. IDK are you telling people in those states to smoke weed?

Not an excuse at all, while they can collect the amount bet, there's no guarantee they have to pay when the bet is won. The houses I checked into won't accept a bet from a US citizen and explicitly forbid it on the bet form. I'm not worried about going to jail, although that actually is a possibility, but there's no legal recourse if they welch.

What does any of that have to do with your suggesting that people commit a crime?

[sgtbenobo]

31. Odds mean nothing at this point....

....Paddy Power doesn't get serious about quantifying until the money starts rolling in check back in a couple of weeks.

Carry on.

[BainsBane]

35. Well, they mean something if you put a bet down

and if you truly believe they underestimate Sanders chances of winning, it's an opportunity to make a killing.

[sgtbenobo]

37. I remember this one time....

....a black guy from Illinois ran for President and fucking won twice because me and a whole bunch of other people thought he was the best man for the job which is also why I will vote for a 73 year old wild haired socialist from Vermont. I trust that Bernie wants to take care of his country whereas I believe Hillary is merely waiting her turn to run the world. Which is not to say she might not be able to convince me that that's not her intention but the possibility of that is remote at best. I want a President not an anointed being.


Carry on.

[muriel_volestrangler]

38. Andrew Basiago at 50:1 is surely a bargain - as a time traveller, he's bound to win

Hell, he fixed it for Obama in 2008, didn't he?

Mars visitors Basiago and Stillings confirm Barack Obama traveled to Mars

Two former participants in the CIA’s Mars visitation program of the early 1980’s have confirmed that U.S. President Barack H. Obama was enrolled in their Mars training class in 1980 and was among the young Americans from the program who they later encountered on the Martian surface after reaching Mars via “jump room.”

Andrew D. Basiago, 50, a lawyer in Washington State who served in DARPA’s time travel program Project Pegasus in the 1970’s, and fellow chrononaut William B. Stillings, 44, who was tapped by the Mars program for his technical genius, have publicly confirmed that Obama was enrolled in their Mars training class in 1980 and that each later encountered Obama during visits to rudimentary U.S. facilities on Mars that took place from 1981 to 1983.

Their astonishing revelations provide a new dimension to the controversy surrounding President Obama’s background and pose the possibility that it is an elaborate ruse to conceal Obama’s participation as a young man in the U.S. secret space program.

http://www.ufodigest.com/article/mars-visitors-basiago-and-stillings-confirm-barack-obama-traveled-mars

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=744211

[KamaAina]

39. Ben Carson is ahead of Bernie?!

How much Jameson have they been consuming?!