General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsRomney is up 7% over Obama in latest Rasmussen poll??
Are the Americans smoking crack en masse?? Really? I hope this was done before the bullying story came out.
http://www.nydailynews.com/news/election-2012/mitt-romney-opens-7-point-lead-obama-poll-article-1.1076395
We have work to do, people.
RandySF
(59,533 posts)former9thward
(32,111 posts)Final result Obama 53% McCain 46%. Final Rasmussen poll Obama 52% McCain 46%. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2008/2008_presidential_election/final_rasmussen_poll_results_presidential_election
Dawgs
(14,755 posts)There is no way of knowing if they are accurate now. They could put out whatever they want.
former9thward
(32,111 posts)Because nobody ever seems to come with facts to verify these theories. I think most pollsters try to be accurate as possible because that is how they make money. Pollsters come up with different results because they use different assumptions about the electorate. The problem is that the electorate never stays exactly the same as it was the election before.
JaneQPublic
(7,113 posts)This from http://www.publicpolicypolling.com:
Sheepshank
(12,504 posts)...then in order to save some level of credibility and hope to retain some tacit level of a decent reputation, they will suddenly post more reality that fantasy.
snooper2
(30,151 posts)Let's wait to see what the polls are saying on say, November 6-10th LOL
adigal
(7,581 posts)It should be a blowout from now to November.
Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)This is not possible. There' no way Obama can be winning women, blacks, latinos and youth...but still losing by 7% to Romney. That's horseshit. It doesn't pass a basic smell test.
Rasmussen is a Republican pollster and he lacks any credibility. The only people that will flog this poll are the folks at Faux Newz and Drudge Report.
Capt. Obvious
(9,002 posts)Wasn't he the only one who picked the 2008 NH D primary results?
And I think it was him who nailed the 2010 MA special election
cali
(114,904 posts)Rasmussen is an RNC henchman.
This is not accurate.
'
Please LEARN something about Rasmussen.
adigal
(7,581 posts)A Gallup poll has Romney up by 3, according to the article. Two other polls have Obama up. But NOTHING should show Romney up at all.
madamesilverspurs
(15,813 posts)was showing McCain ahead, right up to the moment that Obama was declared the winner.
Rasmussen polls are good fodder for comedy, useless for anything else.
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adigal
(7,581 posts)which I think has also been off, but more reliable than Ras.
former9thward
(32,111 posts)Rasmussen showed Obama ahead by 6. Final margin was7. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2008/2008_presidential_election/final_rasmussen_poll_results_presidential_election
CreekDog
(46,192 posts)"Currently, the baseline targets for the adult population are
35.8% Republicans
33.0% Democrats
31.2% unaffiliated.
Likely voter samples typically show a slightly larger advantage for the Republicans."
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
cali
(114,904 posts)Silver concluded that Rasmussen's polls were the least accurate of the major pollsters in 2010, having an average error of 5.8 points and a pro-Republican bias of 3.9 points according to Silver's model.[23] He singled out as an example the Hawaii Senate Race, in which Rasmussen showed incumbent Daniel Inouye only 13 points ahead, whereas in actuality he won by a 53% margin[24] a difference of 40 points from Rasmussen's poll, or "the largest error ever recorded in a general election in FiveThirtyEights database, which includes all polls conducted since 1998".[23]
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rasmussen_Reports
RDANGELO
(3,435 posts)They haven't come out with a presidential poll in a swing state in about ten days the same period that Romney has been ahead. When they have done that in the past, they seem to contradict one another. The onther day, they did one on Massachusetts.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)My Pet Goat
(413 posts)adigal
(7,581 posts)That it is close blows me away. I have not been a huge fan of all that Obama hasn't done in the past 4 years, starting with allowing the tax cuts for the wealthy to stand, and not pushing single payer, but to even imagine Romney, or any Republican, as president, really and truly scares the hell out of me. So much so that even though I swore I would vote for Obama but not contribute, I am going to make as many contributions as I can afford to make before the election.
Politicalboi
(15,189 posts)Did they leave out Ron Paul? Did they leave out Hispanics, blacks, and most minorities? These polls are bullshit, and way too early. Besides, there has GOT to be more bully victims coming forth soon. This isn't over for Rmoney.
adigal
(7,581 posts)And they have to be out there.
aaaaaa5a
(4,667 posts)Plus, the tracking polls for Rasmussen and Gallup are terrible. They fluctuate like a roller coaster for no reason. Use the actual standard polls and not the daily tracking polls to get an accurate stance on the shape of the race.
bowens43
(16,064 posts)FarCenter
(19,429 posts)The key will be how a handful of swing states break, so national polls are sort of useless.
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)Then suddenly, they will have Obama up 6%.
Aerows
(39,961 posts)That it won't be a close race. They can't be relevant if Romney is an utter asshole, everyone knows it and pretty much detests him.
It's the media.