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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsThe CATASTROPHE Bibi Is Courting
So Bibi Netanyahu did not back down, and hes here now in the United States, and hes giving the speech Tuesday. In doing so, he has forced a true low point in U.S.-Israel relations. As has been often observed, hes turning Israel into a partisan issueup to somewhere around a quarter of congressional Democrats are refusing to attend the speech. Thats a crack, a big one. If he remains prime minister after the March 17 elections, the fissures between Netanyahus government and Barack Obama and the Democrats will only widen. Congressional support for Israel is due for a reconsideration. As Scott McConnell wrote last month in The American Conservative (an anti-neocon magazine), Congress does not come close to representing the views of the American people on Israel, either with respect to Iran or the occupation. McConnell cites all the requisite poll numbers that make the case.
Now, Congress can go a long time without representing American public opinion. On certain big-money issues like banking, thats all Congress does. But on most issues, Congress at least has to act like its listening to the American people, and on foreign policy questions in particular, Congress, and for that matter the president, cant usually go where the American people dont want to go. Obama probably wanted to drop a smattering of bombs on Syria in 2013, but public opinion was dead set against it. And remember how the Bush administration had to work public opinion in 2002 and 2003 to make sure the lies about Saddam Hussseins nuclear ambitions got support levels up to 60 percent or so before it launched the war. So one of these days, in two years or five or six, congressional fealty to Israel will cease being so bipartisan and reflexiveand that will be entirely an outcome of Netanyahu (and John Boehners and Ron Dermers and AIPACs) making. But all that is just politics. Netanyahu is creating a much bigger problem here. Ultimately, he wants war with Iran. And American neoconservatives want it, too. Few of them will say so (although some dosee below). But thats what they want, and we need to be clear about it.
Think about it. What is the alternative to negotiating with Iran? Well, there is only one: not negotiating with Iran. And what are the possible courses of action under that option? At the end of the day, there are two. Number one, let Iran do what it wants. Number two, ultimately, be willing to start a war to block Irans nuclear ambitions. Knowing the neocons world view as Im sure you do, how willing do you think theyd be to let Iran do what it wants? Correct. Not very. That leaves war. There is the step of tougher sanctions as a middle course, but sanctions, even crippling ones, dont usually change a regimes behavior. So the clear implication of the anti-negotiation position is warwith a country of 77 million people, a huge army, and formidable wealth. As a point of comparison, Iraq in 2003 had about a third of Irans population. As noted above, not many on the right are going to be honest enough to speak openly of war. The Republican presidential candidates, for example, dont want the American public to think theyre crazy, so they wont admit thisalthough interestingly, Rick Santorum became, I believe, the first Republican candidate to call for up to 10,000 U.S. combat troops on the ground to fight the so-called Islamic State.
With regard to Iran, the candidates hide behind the usual euphemisms. But a few war-makers are coming out of the closet. Matt Welch of Reason noted last week that on a panel at CPAC, both John Bolton and new Arkansas Sen. Tom Cotton spoke openly of the desire for regime change in Iran. Bolton said U.S. policy toward Iran should be overthrow of the ayatollahs. Cotton added that we need regime change and replacement with a pro-Western regime. Where is Netanyahu on this? Every indication hes given us is that hes on the Bolton-Cotton team. I dont doubt that the prime minister sincerely believes that a nuclear-armed Islamic Republic would be catastrophic for Israel, and we should not dismiss that concern. No opponent of the neoconservative approach should be foolish enough to think that we can trust Iran. Israel has good reason to be worried. (I will, however, mention here Israels own 100-odd nuclear warheads, just on principle, because they always go unmentioned in columns like these.) So Netanyahu wants, at the very least, a bombing campaign. But you know as well as I do that most of the leading experts say Irans centrifuge capacities are now too numerous and too geographically disparate for a bombing campaign of the usual scope to be very effective. That means a bombing campaign of unusual scope.
cont'
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2015/03/02/the-catastrophe-bibi-is-courting.html
Segami
(14,923 posts)It had the opposite effect, of course. It strengthened Iran and gave us ISIS. And now were supposed to make up for that huge mistake by trusting Netanyahu and the neocons again?
Im sure Netanyahus words will be measured Tuesday. He wants Israels levels of support in America to be high, and he wants to win re-election. But dont be fooled. He and his Republican backers are leading us down a potentially catastrophic path. And catastrophic not least for Israel itself: If this path someday reaches its logical end point, it wont be only liberal Democrats in America wholl conclude that we should just let Israel fight its own battles...."
Orrex
(63,435 posts)I'm sure that his presentation would be equally transparent and accurate.
Segami
(14,923 posts)a traitor by the 'new & improved' Bibi-Rethuglican alliance.
world wide wally
(21,762 posts)of the American people.
When will they write a book called "Sabotage And Treason For Fun And Profit"?
libodem
(19,288 posts)For ya! There must be an oil pipeline in this story some where. Or more territory. Can they get more Golan Hights or some of Egypt out of this?
What do they want? A Big hunk of oil field and a personal pipeline. Maybe Exxon paid for his flight?
Segami
(14,923 posts)in order to refill their coffers for the next generation.
And the Shadow Government have an agenda.
War Profiteering and for marketing the Arms Cartels.
The rabid and the Rabbis.We have people making policy who believe in bringing about Armageddon and acting on Biblical Prophesies from 2000 years ago. The religious right and their marriage to Israel makes the Islamic Zealots look sensible.
Religious wars are never really about religion. Smoke screen for political activities most usually.
SCVDem
(5,103 posts)He should be reminded that this is America and most of the troubles are self inflicted.
Explain the USS Liberty or how Israel obtained nuclear weapons.
Crickets!
jalan48
(13,986 posts)JPZenger
(6,819 posts)I say let's form the US First Chickenhawk Brigade. We can send them into Iran to start regime change, just like the CIA sent Cuban emigrants into disaster at the Bay of Pigs.