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Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 10:33 AM Feb 2015

47% of BASE see Hillary as UNFAVORABLE!

In the latest PPP poll Hillary is seen
UNFAVORABLY by 47% of the BASE
when measured by PARTY.

That should alarm every Democrat
and "left-leaning independent"!!!11!!1!

Hilary's "favorable" is only 45% of the base???


Page 14 of the report, favorable/unfavorable by Party
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_National_22515.pdf

296 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
47% of BASE see Hillary as UNFAVORABLE! (Original Post) Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 OP
I thought it was only 5% Paulie Feb 2015 #1
Take all of these numbers with a grain of salt. Erich Bloodaxe BSN Feb 2015 #9
If you read the link former9thward Feb 2015 #128
"democratic primary voters" is from page 27 onwards - 76% favourable, 15% unfavourable muriel_volestrangler Feb 2015 #139
This is a red flag, fo sho, tho Hillary fans will dismiss it at their own peril. We can do alot better. InAbLuEsTaTe Feb 2015 #145
What's the red flag exactly? Agschmid Feb 2015 #150
I don't view her one way or the other. hollowdweller Feb 2015 #134
What actually matters most is, that the Dem leadership listen to the voters. They failed sabrina 1 Feb 2015 #156
That's the thing about "statistics" they are VERY flexible! Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #10
It is only 5%. "Base" means the base percentage over the whole population, before it is broken DanTex Feb 2015 #31
47% of respondents find Hillary UNFAVORABLE Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #40
Hello? titaniumsalute Feb 2015 #68
But 91% of "Very Liberal" primary voters had "very favorable" views. pnwmom Feb 2015 #124
How many people is that EXACTLY? Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #157
Have you heard the term sample size? Agschmid Feb 2015 #164
Are you now arguing against the methodology of the poll that you put up?... SidDithers Feb 2015 #166
NOPE, just underscoring what it ACTUALLY says Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #175
Again... Please tell me what it actually says? Agschmid Feb 2015 #180
It basically says that Republicans hate her. So what else is new? n/t pnwmom Feb 2015 #190
The fact that there was a steady decrease in popularity with voters who were less and less liberal pnwmom Feb 2015 #172
How many people does it represent, NUMBERS not percent? Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #179
It's not... Agschmid Feb 2015 #182
You don't understand statistical significance. There was a margin of error of 5.6% so that means pnwmom Feb 2015 #188
LOL... SidDithers Feb 2015 #191
You ALMOST get it Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #252
The rec list for this Hall of Fail contender is the funniest of all Number23 Feb 2015 #255
But yet somehow so very predictable.... giftedgirl77 Feb 2015 #259
Including Rethugs, so what did you expect? Which candidate did better than Hillary? n/t pnwmom Feb 2015 #189
That's just a bogus liberal hater figure. L0oniX Feb 2015 #143
But you see, 45% + 5% = 50%... Helen Borg Feb 2015 #158
This message was self-deleted by its author Agschmid Feb 2015 #2
That number is closer to my experience when asking. Octafish Feb 2015 #3
No surprise there. Real Democrats don't like corpo-war hawks. Scuba Feb 2015 #4
Surprise Renew Deal Feb 2015 #6
Why don't you run the numbers for us? Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #16
Who said the poll showed Hillary is inevitable? brooklynite Feb 2015 #44
Yup. Agschmid Feb 2015 #51
ONLY 5% of VERY LIBERAL people find Hillary unfavorable! Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #52
It certainly proves DU is not a good representation of the party "base"... Agschmid Feb 2015 #54
Or... that polls are a crap shoot? Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #65
This poll is pretty positive for Hillary supporters... Agschmid Feb 2015 #69
When you point a finger at someone you have four fingers pointing back at yourself, ergo: DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2015 #72
Which table are you citing? Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #160
You are the one that cited the poll so it's a little late to question the quality of the sample. DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2015 #170
It shows that hillary is mostly opposed by moderates and republicans. Renew Deal Feb 2015 #105
Your post doesn't make sense Renew Deal Feb 2015 #104
Did you actually read the poll! 47% includes Republicans leftofcool Feb 2015 #13
Where is the break out by PARTY AFFILIATION? Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #20
Haven't read the break out by Party Affiliation, but there are definitely Republicans BlueCaliDem Feb 2015 #92
No - and that goes to the difficulty in really understanding or comparing these numbers karynnj Feb 2015 #136
Exactly. And the polarization is being perpetuated by Republicans (neo-confederates) in order to BlueCaliDem Feb 2015 #146
p.27 & 28 for Dem primary voters: Hillary 76% favourable, 15% unfavourable muriel_volestrangler Feb 2015 #142
Thanks! Agschmid Feb 2015 #144
NAME RECOGNITION Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #198
NO I DO NOT RECOGNISE YOURS muriel_volestrangler Feb 2015 #201
Misbegotten! Oh my! Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #209
Are you now saying that you are capable, after all, of reading a poll? muriel_volestrangler Feb 2015 #227
Maliciously disrupting IMO. Agschmid Feb 2015 #229
At this point in the thread I crack up in LOLs. Someone needs to hack up a furball... Hekate Feb 2015 #231
Hillary and Biden have had nationwide name recognition since the '80s/early '90s Art_from_Ark Feb 2015 #283
I'm sure Warren's favourable number would go up muriel_volestrangler Feb 2015 #290
Well, almost nobody's running at this point Art_from_Ark Feb 2015 #293
Future tense for Warren, too muriel_volestrangler Feb 2015 #294
You should read a little better. William769 Feb 2015 #15
Show the CORRECT numbers... Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #21
Sorry not my job to help with your math skills. William769 Feb 2015 #25
BECAUSE without CHERRY PICKING, Hillary looks BAD Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #43
One of the best posts ever. nt. NCTraveler Feb 2015 #117
Do you get it yet? The numbers you're citing include Republicans. Of course they don't like her. pnwmom Feb 2015 #194
You did vote for The Obama-Biden ticket didnt you? yeoman6987 Feb 2015 #116
The poll included Republicans, and they were the ones who overwhelmingly don't like Hillary. pnwmom Feb 2015 #193
You misread it. That number includes republicans. Renew Deal Feb 2015 #5
Wasn't misread. Tried to be used as misleading. William769 Feb 2015 #12
try replying with emphasis in caps GusBob Feb 2015 #32
;~/ Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #46
Forget it, she's rolling BeyondGeography Feb 2015 #19
What page and what breakout are you citing? Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #24
Page 14, same as you. Renew Deal Feb 2015 #88
Thank you. Beacool Feb 2015 #236
Oh my God!! Number23 Feb 2015 #249
Don't confuse the haters with facts nt One of the 99 Feb 2015 #99
I originally thought this was an issue of ignorance Renew Deal Feb 2015 #107
Yup. Agschmid Feb 2015 #113
"When in fact it's malice." NCTraveler Feb 2015 #114
Unrec for cherry picking of stats. The important # here is that she leads the most GOP by 10 points. FSogol Feb 2015 #7
NOPE. cherry picking is citing a poll of 691 people with 301 Democrats Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #26
You brought the poll up as something important, not me. FSogol Feb 2015 #27
Yet here you are? Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #48
... Again. Agschmid Feb 2015 #57
WRONG TABLE! That table is IDEOLOGY I'm citing PARTY Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #61
Okay here it is... Agschmid Feb 2015 #67
So 47% of the sample see Hillary as UNFAVORABLE! Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #75
The "sample" is everyone who was polled. Agschmid Feb 2015 #79
47% of who? Renew Deal Feb 2015 #94
So you want Republicans to decide who runs in our primary. NCTraveler Feb 2015 #109
Not really skewed R. progressoid Feb 2015 #101
Your correct sorry, I deleted that part of my post. Agschmid Feb 2015 #102
It's more complicated than that. Jim Lane Feb 2015 #273
Read again.... whatthehey Feb 2015 #8
What are you disagreeing with? Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #50
Uh no! 47% includes Republicans. Try again! leftofcool Feb 2015 #11
Show us the NUMBER OF DEMOCRATS Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #30
There are a lot of people who vote for the least unfavorable. postulater Feb 2015 #14
Accidental mistake analyzing poll results or something else? pampango Feb 2015 #17
Since that poll includes Republicans, that's not what it says at all. MineralMan Feb 2015 #18
OH, son ONLY Democrats will vote in 2016??? who knew! Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #34
I'm not your son, and your use of the word "base" MineralMan Feb 2015 #42
Post removed Post removed Feb 2015 #71
I'm not talking about either. I'm talking about your language MineralMan Feb 2015 #76
The poster is acting as a malicious disruptor currently. Agschmid Feb 2015 #83
I don't like to characterize posters. MineralMan Feb 2015 #98
MIRT! MIRT! Where art thou? BlueCaliDem Feb 2015 #103
79% of Democrats... Agschmid Feb 2015 #81
As others have pointed out, this is a cross-section of all Iowa voters, not "the base" OKNancy Feb 2015 #22
NO, the TABLE CITED CLEARLY says BASE Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #35
Were you mistaken sharp_stick Feb 2015 #23
This is a teaching opportunity! Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #36
It would be useful sharp_stick Feb 2015 #125
And the OP cleary does not. Agschmid Feb 2015 #130
Sorry, thats very inappropriate Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #168
Unfortunately you aren't willing to discuss. Agschmid Feb 2015 #171
Actually she has the best favorable/unfavorables of all the candidates in that poll except .... DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2015 #214
This is IOWA you're talking about? aquart Feb 2015 #276
All this is "teaching" us.. is that you like to ignore the facts and use the :rofl: to show you Cha Feb 2015 #269
You won't get a reply... Agschmid Feb 2015 #270
It wasn't a question.. Cha Feb 2015 #272
Yup that's accurate! Agschmid Feb 2015 #274
This is in the primary. This does not alarm me since there are at least two other candidates that jwirr Feb 2015 #28
I'm seriously hoping this is a joke. "Base" refers to the base percentage over the whole population DanTex Feb 2015 #29
SO 47% don't have an unfavorable opinion of Hillary? Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #37
47% of the whole electorate, yes. Not the base of the party. DanTex Feb 2015 #39
AND 18% of "somewhat liberal" voters. Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #55
That's not how you would do that math... Agschmid Feb 2015 #60
Please tell me that you are not serious. DanTex Feb 2015 #64
Wow, what a fuckin FAIL. giftedgirl77 Feb 2015 #33
Great retort Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #38
It would have been better to admit your error whatthehey Feb 2015 #47
lol, I know, right? Wordsmiths. DU is Wordsmith University. closeupready Feb 2015 #53
Well you're the one that completely distorted the facts to your liking... giftedgirl77 Feb 2015 #93
POTW DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2015 #80
Just like the other thread.. sendero Feb 2015 #41
She needs to get in the race and state her platform. ALBliberal Feb 2015 #45
The word base doesn't represent the "democratic base" just FYI... Agschmid Feb 2015 #49
I keep getting told we can't win by appealing to the middle, so we should appeal to the liberal left brooklynite Feb 2015 #56
WRONG TABLE! Page 14 by PARTY, NOT ideology! Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #59
This table is more telling IMO. Agschmid Feb 2015 #62
You're reading it wrong sharp_stick Feb 2015 #73
I guess it does include Republicans. HappyMe Feb 2015 #58
You are correct. And so it isn't surprising at all that 47% have a negative opinion. nt pnwmom Feb 2015 #195
I'm getting pretty sick of the 'polls say..' posts. HappyMe Feb 2015 #205
Again very few people are telling others to shut up, sure there are a few... Agschmid Feb 2015 #212
I couldn't say really how many it actually is. HappyMe Feb 2015 #215
Who needs Comedy Central? William769 Feb 2015 #63
MORE caps PLEASE! Agschmid Feb 2015 #70
I'm the subtle type. William769 Feb 2015 #77
If the OP isn't joking... wyldwolf Feb 2015 #74
... William769 Feb 2015 #78
More like Louie Gohmert. Don't disparage their asparagus. nt geek tragedy Feb 2015 #154
This has to be a tribute to the departed Leslie Nielsen. herding cats Feb 2015 #221
i was having a bad day and this thread has helped a lot JI7 Feb 2015 #254
+ a million. And the rec list takes it firmly over into Classic Fail territory Number23 Feb 2015 #256
You are just making stuff up: DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2015 #66
Wow!!!!! Negative 79% favorability among Democrats! EVEN WORSE!!!!!!!!! DanTex Feb 2015 #82
... SidDithers Feb 2015 #84
You owe me a new keyboard! William769 Feb 2015 #85
Heheh... SidDithers Feb 2015 #86
Nice gif, did you make that? Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #200
This board is past the point of being a parody of itself and is now on the precipice ... DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2015 #87
Yep, you said it. Beacool Feb 2015 #238
It should get more recs Renew Deal Feb 2015 #96
Poll was commissioned by geek tragedy Feb 2015 #120
Bwahahahaha!!! JoePhilly Feb 2015 #153
+1000 Tarheel_Dem Feb 2015 #280
You should delete the OP or change it. Your OP is misleading because you misinterpreted "Base." Hoyt Feb 2015 #89
691 people polled abelenkpe Feb 2015 #90
Most reputable polls call cell phone users. DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2015 #108
Yeah, it's the no cell phone abelenkpe Feb 2015 #140
This is trolling, you know damn well its not the DEMOCRATIC base... uponit7771 Feb 2015 #91
Damn right. giftedgirl77 Feb 2015 #115
The intentional misrepresentation of this poll is more evidence of what I pointed to in my OP stevenleser Feb 2015 #95
Yup. The right hates Hillary. The fringe left hates Hillary... SidDithers Feb 2015 #97
Yup. Agschmid Feb 2015 #111
Obama supporters hated Hillary AgingAmerican Feb 2015 #232
Who were you during the 2008 primaries?...nt SidDithers Feb 2015 #235
Wow! AgingAmerican Feb 2015 #239
Just curious, is all... SidDithers Feb 2015 #242
So you are trying to deflect AgingAmerican Feb 2015 #244
Nevermind. I'll figure it out myself...nt SidDithers Feb 2015 #245
Given our short conversation AgingAmerican Feb 2015 #246
Really good numbers. NCTraveler Feb 2015 #100
UNREC*. Your OP should be deleted. It's skewed in wording which skews your opinion. BlueCaliDem Feb 2015 #106
Not sure where I fit in but I see her as unfavorable. Autumn Feb 2015 #110
I'm with you. I think the democratic party could find a politician with B Calm Feb 2015 #118
Putting aside your comment. William769 Feb 2015 #119
I really don't care about the poll numbers. This far out I think they are meaningless. Autumn Feb 2015 #121
I thank you for that answer. nt msanthrope Feb 2015 #257
When we lie about those we don't like it makes us worse than our opponents./NT DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2015 #132
You better believe it! zappaman Feb 2015 #112
Recommending. This shit needs to go to the greatest page. NCTraveler Feb 2015 #122
CDS? Agschmid Feb 2015 #123
Clinton Derangement Syndrome./NT DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2015 #127
Got it. Agschmid Feb 2015 #129
I'm sorry your thread ended up being about something other than the numbers from the poll. Rex Feb 2015 #126
These are the numbers from the poll that the original poster intentionally misinterpreted* DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2015 #151
This is the greatest thread since the moon bombing Godhumor Feb 2015 #131
This thread may earn a spot in the DU Hall of Epic Fail. NYC Liberal Feb 2015 #133
Seriously? Bobbie Jo Feb 2015 #135
You misinterpreted the poll. Cali_Democrat Feb 2015 #137
I think the OP is committed to that misinterpretation frazzled Feb 2015 #138
BOOM DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2015 #141
K & R ...for pissing off ...someone L0oniX Feb 2015 #147
If we lie about people we don't like what does that make us? DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2015 #149
That is about the percent that doesn't vote. upaloopa Feb 2015 #148
Misleading OP Android3.14 Feb 2015 #152
How is it "misleading"? Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #155
Very few people on DU actually are insisting she run... Agschmid Feb 2015 #159
Actually, Populist values poll highest generally. Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #161
Ok... Agschmid Feb 2015 #165
The "BASE" is all voters. DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2015 #162
"BASE" as used in that chart refers to EVERYONE, not the base of the Democratic party. geek tragedy Feb 2015 #167
Isn't the "BASE" all voters? Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #174
"Base" normally refers to the most loyal party voters. geek tragedy Feb 2015 #177
Again... Agschmid Feb 2015 #186
No, it isn't. Beacool Feb 2015 #243
What do you think "base" means in this context? Android3.14 Feb 2015 #199
Doesn't matter what I think... Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #204
Actually Android3.14 Feb 2015 #222
Well dont. Nailed it. nt. NCTraveler Feb 2015 #224
BOOM/NT DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2015 #226
Nicely done. Agschmid Feb 2015 #230
Well that settles that! Tarheel_Dem Feb 2015 #284
Base in this poll is not Democratic Party Base. It is the raw data from those polled. Agnosticsherbet Feb 2015 #163
OK, where is it suggested otherwise? Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #169
Right flipping here DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2015 #176
So is your complaint about parsing? Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #187
Is this the Bill Clinton "meaning of is" debate. It was actually charming from the ole rascal. DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2015 #192
No, about extreme distortion. A poll that includes both parties OF COURSE will have pnwmom Feb 2015 #197
Lying is more accurate Renew Deal Feb 2015 #237
"Clinton also remains dominant in the Democratic Primary field. 54% of the party's voers want her" Agnosticsherbet Feb 2015 #202
It was a terrible poll, automatic and only a few hundred respondents. NYC_SKP Feb 2015 #173
You forgot the sarcasm tag. taught_me_patience Feb 2015 #178
mehbee ;~/ Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #183
Well, if your inference was that only 45% of those Democrats polled ... DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2015 #210
When did American high schools stop teaching basic math terms? nt msanthrope Feb 2015 #181
Anything to add or just snark? Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #184
They did add something. NCTraveler Feb 2015 #206
Yup. Agschmid Feb 2015 #213
Some things I just don't get. NCTraveler Feb 2015 #218
I there with you, you won't see me in one of those threads... I know better. Agschmid Feb 2015 #219
When you have an OP as broken as this one...one as poorly resourced msanthrope Feb 2015 #247
What base, the GOP base, if 47% of the GOP base then this should scare the hell out of the GOP. Thinkingabout Feb 2015 #185
I know, right? Cosmic Kitten Feb 2015 #196
We've tried... Agschmid Feb 2015 #207
That number keeps growing. 99Forever Feb 2015 #203
It's actually only 13% of Democrats who view her unfavorably, in this poll. Agschmid Feb 2015 #208
Don't confuse the poor fella with facts: DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2015 #211
Revamping Hillary's "Brand" is Not Enough daredtowork Feb 2015 #216
Well, in this case, it apparently is, because the OP is flat-out wrong about the poll numbers. DanTex Feb 2015 #217
Which base? First base? McCamy Taylor Feb 2015 #220
This should settle this silliness Android3.14 Feb 2015 #223
This comment of yours should have received more attention. Nothing like hearing it from the horses stevenleser Feb 2015 #281
Yup. Agschmid Feb 2015 #282
Thanks Android3.14 Feb 2015 #291
Base = 691 registered voters BklnDem75 Feb 2015 #225
Like....+1 Agnosticsherbet Feb 2015 #241
My goodness, get a grip on yourself. It's a wide-open primary with lots of choices coming up... Hekate Feb 2015 #228
Whose bright idea was it to make Cosmic Kitten a host of Populist Reform of the Democratic Party? muriel_volestrangler Feb 2015 #233
"Screwn" indeed!!! Tarheel_Dem Feb 2015 #285
That's not accurate, it was asked of all respondents. Beacool Feb 2015 #234
Im alarmed how you've totally confused the facts.. DCBob Feb 2015 #240
As a Daikykos pollster... 34th Avenue Feb 2015 #248
Thank you for so thoroughly validating stevenleser and LynneSinn Number23 Feb 2015 #250
HAHAHHHAHHAHAHHAH JI7 Feb 2015 #251
I'd vote for her Aerows Feb 2015 #253
you should apply for a job with cnn JI7 Feb 2015 #258
This is basic chart reading at this point.... giftedgirl77 Feb 2015 #260
She's lock out of her own thread, gg. So no reply will be forthcoming. Number23 Feb 2015 #261
Ha figures, my first post in this OP blatantly called it giftedgirl77 Feb 2015 #262
What post got the hide? Agschmid Feb 2015 #263
I don't think when you get a hide you're locked out of the entire thread./NT DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2015 #264
You are. Agschmid Feb 2015 #265
Yes, you are. n/t zappaman Feb 2015 #266
Interesting. In that case DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2015 #267
Remember he dies in the end... Agschmid Feb 2015 #268
Hillary concurs Number23 Feb 2015 #275
You are. Cha Feb 2015 #271
she is posting similar things in another thread and refuses to acknowledge JI7 Feb 2015 #279
Oy. Then I guess the cosmic furball didn't make it all the way up yet. Hekate Feb 2015 #295
This...would not surprise me at all. SoapBox Feb 2015 #277
I've seen some stupid and-or dishonest posts at DU, but this one takes the cake. onenote Feb 2015 #278
I don't know which is more embarrassing: Jamaal510 Feb 2015 #286
I'm gonna say it's "the recs" as the OP truly seems incapable of being embarrassed. Tarheel_Dem Feb 2015 #288
It's sad when Jamaal510 Feb 2015 #289
Seriously? Tarheel_Dem Feb 2015 #287
Kick. For shits and giggles...nt SidDithers Feb 2015 #292
Water is wet. Aerows Feb 2015 #296

Erich Bloodaxe BSN

(14,733 posts)
9. Take all of these numbers with a grain of salt.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 10:42 AM
Feb 2015

They measure on all sorts of slices, but what really matters is the people who actually will turn out and vote when the time comes. If you don't vote when push comes to shove, either for one candidate or another, it doesn't really matter how much you like or dislike anyone. They might be 'the base' now, but are they actually showing up to vote every single election? Are they only 'presidential election' voters?

And who cares about 'very liberal' voters? Again, the question is 'Are they going to be voters in Nov 2016?' If not, I don't care how much they love Hillary, or 'how liberal' they are.

muriel_volestrangler

(101,347 posts)
139. "democratic primary voters" is from page 27 onwards - 76% favourable, 15% unfavourable
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 12:37 PM
Feb 2015

(Biden 67/15; Warren 48/17).

54% of the Dem primary voters favour Hillary as Democratic candidate for president. 16% Biden, 12% Warren, 5% Sanders, 2% Webb, 1% O'Malley, 10% others.

InAbLuEsTaTe

(24,122 posts)
145. This is a red flag, fo sho, tho Hillary fans will dismiss it at their own peril. We can do alot better.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 12:47 PM
Feb 2015
 

hollowdweller

(4,229 posts)
134. I don't view her one way or the other.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 12:15 PM
Feb 2015

I liked her health care plan she put forth when Bill was in.

I don't like her hawkish tendencies I have observed.

However she has not really put out a clear picture as far as the actual things she would pursue as president for me to be able to know whether I like her or not.

She's talking to Warren. That's good.

I'm sort of giving her a chance. There are things about her that make me not like her and some that do in her past, but if she comes out with 4 or 5 things I agree with, like stock transaction tax, mandatory sick leave, alternative energy, increase min wage I'd be for her.

sabrina 1

(62,325 posts)
156. What actually matters most is, that the Dem leadership listen to the voters. They failed
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 01:31 PM
Feb 2015

to do so in the mid terms.

The base won everything for them in 2008.

Since then they have destroyed all that work and lost us the Senate and the House by stubbornly refusing to listen to what the voters have been telling them.

Polls don't tell us anything much at this point, but ELECTIONS do.

Eg in the last mid terms, progressives mobilized to support Progressive candidates, incumbents and a few new candidates. They WON those seats.

Had it not been for those Dems working so hard to hold on to those seats, the losses would have been even greater.

What they did not do was to work for Third Way candidates, the ones the Leadership were supporting.

Either the party stops moving to the right each time they lose an election, or it's going to keep happening.

Blaming the voters doesn't win elections. LISTENING to them does.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
10. That's the thing about "statistics" they are VERY flexible!
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 10:42 AM
Feb 2015

In reality, these numbers are miniscule.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
31. It is only 5%. "Base" means the base percentage over the whole population, before it is broken
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 10:53 AM
Feb 2015

up into segments. Either the OP is a joke, or the OP doesn't know how polls work.

titaniumsalute

(4,742 posts)
68. Hello?
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:16 AM
Feb 2015

47% of ALL Respondents...not Dems. This includes everyone.

Look at every candidate likely to run for the high office on that list. They have have crappy fav versus unfavs. Remember this also...most people aren't even thinking about 2016 like we do here on DU.

pnwmom

(108,990 posts)
124. But 91% of "Very Liberal" primary voters had "very favorable" views.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:57 AM
Feb 2015

She was less popular among less liberal voters, despite how some people here view her.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
157. How many people is that EXACTLY?
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 01:32 PM
Feb 2015

is it 91% of the 14% of the total 691 or ...
is it 91% of the 14% of the 301 Democrats???

Either way were talking about...
LESS THAN 100 PEOPLE

SidDithers

(44,228 posts)
166. Are you now arguing against the methodology of the poll that you put up?...
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 01:43 PM
Feb 2015


This thread is all kind of awesome.

Sid

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
175. NOPE, just underscoring what it ACTUALLY says
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 01:54 PM
Feb 2015

And you are correct it is some kind of awesome...
but not for the reasons you probably want to believe ;~/

pnwmom

(108,990 posts)
172. The fact that there was a steady decrease in popularity with voters who were less and less liberal
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 01:51 PM
Feb 2015

is very significant.

It would be one thing if the 91% didn't fit with the rest of the table. But instead, there was a clear and steady decrease in her popularity as the voters got more conservative.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
179. How many people does it represent, NUMBERS not percent?
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 01:57 PM
Feb 2015

Citing a "trend" among 300 people is absurd?
No, it's surreal given the inherent variables in polling.

But don't let that stop others from cherry picking
how GREAT it is for Hillary

pnwmom

(108,990 posts)
188. You don't understand statistical significance. There was a margin of error of 5.6% so that means
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 02:00 PM
Feb 2015

differences beyond that are significant. And her standing among the most liberal is far greater than among the most conservative -- way, way beyond the margin of error.

SidDithers

(44,228 posts)
191. LOL...
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 02:02 PM
Feb 2015

You're arguing that one part of the poll that you created the thread about isn't valid because it's a small sample.

And yet you won't acknowledge that you've completely misrepresented what the numbers in the poll mean.

This is too fucking funny.



Sid

Response to Cosmic Kitten (Original post)

Octafish

(55,745 posts)
3. That number is closer to my experience when asking.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 10:37 AM
Feb 2015

Last edited Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:10 AM - Edit history (1)

No offense to the possible candidate, the former Secretary of State, Senator, and First Lady of the United States and Arkansas.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
16. Why don't you run the numbers for us?
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 10:45 AM
Feb 2015

How many people EXACTLY are included in the percentages?

EXACTLY how many people polled SUPPORT HILLARY?
This poll is being held up ar PROOF that Hillary is INEVITABLE!!!11!
So why don't you run some numbers and tell us EXACTLY
how many people out of 691 support Hillary


You will also NOTICE, the breakout is BY PARTY!

brooklynite

(94,679 posts)
44. Who said the poll showed Hillary is inevitable?
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:02 AM
Feb 2015

What people said is that Hillary is POPULAR.

Once again, the ONLY people pushing the "inevitability" meme are the anti-Hillary folks.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
65. Or... that polls are a crap shoot?
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:14 AM
Feb 2015

Funny how they are great when we like the results
not so much when they are unfavorable?

DU needs an education on READING POLL RESULTS

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
72. When you point a finger at someone you have four fingers pointing back at yourself, ergo:
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:19 AM
Feb 2015

Her favorable numbers among Democrats are:

Favorable -79%
Unfavorable-13%
Not sure-8%

according to the poll you cited.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
170. You are the one that cited the poll so it's a little late to question the quality of the sample.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 01:46 PM
Feb 2015

I would use emoticons to hide the paucity of thought that went into my thread but since I don't have the I Q of a palm tree I won't.


#lol@me


Renew Deal

(81,869 posts)
104. Your post doesn't make sense
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:42 AM
Feb 2015

The number of people polled represent a sample of the entire population.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
20. Where is the break out by PARTY AFFILIATION?
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 10:47 AM
Feb 2015

EXACTLY How many DEMOCRATS
have a favorable opinion of Hillary?

Page, percent and actual count, please.

BlueCaliDem

(15,438 posts)
92. Haven't read the break out by Party Affiliation, but there are definitely Republicans
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:36 AM
Feb 2015

in that poll - and a few Neo-confederate traitors, too.

Q5: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Ben Carson?

Favorable........................................................35%(???)

Unfavorable.....................................................17%

Not sure..........................................................48%

Do you know any Democrat who'd think nutter Ben Carson's unfavorable numbers should be LOWER than than VP Biden's?

karynnj

(59,504 posts)
136. No - and that goes to the difficulty in really understanding or comparing these numbers
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 12:21 PM
Feb 2015

Here, I suspect that the 42% of people who have enough information to know what they think on Carson is highly concentrated on the right. He is a hero of talk show radio and Fox News. On the left, he is likely known mostly to people with a very healthy interest in politics -- and they are most of the 17% unfavorable.

I suspect (though obviously could not prove) that the vast majority of the 48% unsure would become "unfavorable" if they received information (from BOTH sides) on Carson.

Biden on the other hand is known to nearly everyone. I suspect that almost all Republicans, in this politically charged world, are giving him an "unfavorable". If you go to pollingreport.com and look back at past politicians, you would see that things were far less polarized. I suspect that Biden might also suffer from some Democrats knowing he has not ruled out running for President - and some of rating unfavorable or not sure (though he has been VP for 6 years).

BlueCaliDem

(15,438 posts)
146. Exactly. And the polarization is being perpetuated by Republicans (neo-confederates) in order to
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 12:49 PM
Feb 2015

divide and conquer - even in this Democratic Party supporting community, and the OP poster is a clear example of that.

muriel_volestrangler

(101,347 posts)
142. p.27 & 28 for Dem primary voters: Hillary 76% favourable, 15% unfavourable
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 12:42 PM
Feb 2015

compared with Biden 67%/15%, and Warren 48%/17%.

For 'very liberal' Demo primary voters:
H. Clinton: 91%/6%; Biden: 88%/4%; Warren: 70%/5%.

You're welcome.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
209. Misbegotten! Oh my!
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 02:18 PM
Feb 2015

AND IN ALL CAPS, TOO!

How about Name Recognition
in the context of polling.

Does name recognition impact poll results?

Maybe you could explain the biases and variables
that effect polling data, the impact of "weighting"
to reflect population demographics, when the sample
is not representative of the general populous?

muriel_volestrangler

(101,347 posts)
227. Are you now saying that you are capable, after all, of reading a poll?
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 03:20 PM
Feb 2015

After an OP in which you hadn't the faintest clue what the words in a poll mean, and after many people had to post before you even started to admit how misleading your OP was, now you're suddenly concerned about weighting?

IT WAS ALL IN CAPS BECAUSE YOUR POST WAS ALL IN CAPS. AND YOU HAVE BEEN SHOUTING AT PEOPLE THROUGHOUT THIS THREAD.

What about name recognition? State your concern.

'Populus', not 'populous'. You may as well learn something from this misbegotten thread.

Hekate

(90,769 posts)
231. At this point in the thread I crack up in LOLs. Someone needs to hack up a furball...
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 03:30 PM
Feb 2015

...of cosmic size and import.

Art_from_Ark

(27,247 posts)
283. Hillary and Biden have had nationwide name recognition since the '80s/early '90s
Fri Feb 27, 2015, 01:33 AM
Feb 2015

Warren is just now starting to make a name for herself.

How would those numbers look if Hillary had a national face-to-face debate with Warren?

I'm pretty sure that Warren's favorable numbers would rise among "very liberal" primary voters.

muriel_volestrangler

(101,347 posts)
290. I'm sure Warren's favourable number would go up
Fri Feb 27, 2015, 05:47 AM
Feb 2015

but her unfavourable numbers are already at Hillary's level, among Democrats. At best, she'd get close to Hillary's (and Biden's) positive numbers. Warren doesn't have such unfavourable numbers among conservatives as Hillary, yet, but, if she did run (and she's said she's not going to), that would change. The 'independent' figures are Hillary 31% favourable/56%; Warren 21%/34%. The ratio is roughly the same.

If we take this poll seriously (as opposed to the farce the thread starter is trying to make of it), then Warren might, with further exposure, get the same sort of numbers that Hillary has. But she's not running.

Art_from_Ark

(27,247 posts)
293. Well, almost nobody's running at this point
Sat Feb 28, 2015, 02:23 AM
Feb 2015

Hillary hasn't declared, neither has Biden. Sanders is considering running. Warren has said she isn't running (present progressive tense), but then again so did Bobby Kennedy until early 1968.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
21. Show the CORRECT numbers...
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 10:48 AM
Feb 2015

Page, percent, and specific breakout....

If you are so confident
show us the CORRECT numbers.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
43. BECAUSE without CHERRY PICKING, Hillary looks BAD
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:02 AM
Feb 2015

This is supposed to be the poll
that SHOWS Hillary is INEVITABLE!!!!11!

pnwmom

(108,990 posts)
194. Do you get it yet? The numbers you're citing include Republicans. Of course they don't like her.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 02:05 PM
Feb 2015

That "base" doesn't refer to the "Democratic base" at all.

 

yeoman6987

(14,449 posts)
116. You did vote for The Obama-Biden ticket didnt you?
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:49 AM
Feb 2015

If you did, your statement is moot. If your for? didn't, who did you got

pnwmom

(108,990 posts)
193. The poll included Republicans, and they were the ones who overwhelmingly don't like Hillary.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 02:04 PM
Feb 2015

Democrats were heavily in her favor.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
24. What page and what breakout are you citing?
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 10:49 AM
Feb 2015

Just putting up a number is bogus.

Show us the page, table and real numbers.

Beacool

(30,250 posts)
236. Thank you.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 04:10 PM
Feb 2015

It won't matter, though. They already made up their minds that 47% of Democrats have an unfavorable opinion of Hillary and damn accuracy.

Number23

(24,544 posts)
249. Oh my God!!
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 06:02 PM
Feb 2015
Base is being used in place of "total"


Whether intentional or deliberate, this is the OP of the year right here, folks!!!
 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
114. "When in fact it's malice."
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:47 AM
Feb 2015

That is very clear after the ops responses and their feigning ignorance. This poster if fully aware of what they are doing. Dead on by calling it malice.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
26. NOPE. cherry picking is citing a poll of 691 people with 301 Democrats
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 10:51 AM
Feb 2015
EVERY Hillary supporter
has CHERRY PICKED RESULTS...
from the very same poll!

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
48. Yet here you are?
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:04 AM
Feb 2015

THis is the Poll that shows how STRONG
Hillary's support is among voters.

It seems to hardly show that?

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
109. So you want Republicans to decide who runs in our primary.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:44 AM
Feb 2015

You want someone who will be approved by those responding as republicans. This makes such little sense.

progressoid

(49,992 posts)
101. Not really skewed R.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:40 AM
Feb 2015
Q29
If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.

Democrat........................................................40%

Republican......................................................34%

Independent / Other........................................26%



Q26
In the last presidential election, did you vote for
Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

Barack Obama................................................49%

Mitt Romney...................................................43%

Someone else / Don't remember......................8%
 

Jim Lane

(11,175 posts)
273. It's more complicated than that.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:14 PM
Feb 2015

Clinton leads the notable GOP contenders by about 10 points -- yes, that's important.

BUT in the poll of the base (i.e., the entire electorate), Clinton is underwater, with unfavorability exceeding favorability. That's also important.

Clinton has been in the national spotlight for more than two decades. At this point people have formed their opinions. She has comparatively little opportunity to win over those who dislike her.

By contrast, some of the Republicans, though trailing now, have much greater upside.

Let's consider Scott Walker. Clinton leads him in the hypothetical matchup (Question 24 on page 4):

Q24 If the candidates for President next time were
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Scott
Walker, who would you vote for?
Hillary Clinton 48%
Scott Walker 40%
Not sure 12%


The worrisome point, though, is that Walker has a positive favorable-unfavorable split, and with a very high "Not sure" group (Question 13 on page 3):

Q13 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Scott Walker?
Favorable 33%
Unfavorable 26%
Not sure 41%


It's striking that Clinton, with a net unfavorable rating, leads Walker, who has a net favorable. The explanation probably lies in that 41% who aren't sure about Walker. They don't know much about him. Clinton beats him because of her name recognition (people are reluctant to trust the Presidency to someone they don't know much about).

The obvious danger for the Democrats is that the campaign will dramatically change this. If Walker is the Republican nominee, we can be confident that, by Election Day, his "Not sure" rating will be far less than 41%. Facts about his conduct in office and his general vacuity will bring some of those 41% into the Unfavorable column. At the same time, though, the corporate media will be pumping him up (to make it more of a race), and the Kochs will be backing him heavily. Many of those 41% will shift to Favorable.

Although the OP badly botched the interpretation of the 45-47 statistic, it is an important and disquieting one. Clinton's current 8-point lead over Walker (along with similar leads over other possible opponents), so long before the voting begins, is not grounds for complacency.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
30. Show us the NUMBER OF DEMOCRATS
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 10:53 AM
Feb 2015

How many Democrats favor Hillary.

Not a percentage, the ACTUAL number of respondents.
Page and table please.

postulater

(5,075 posts)
14. There are a lot of people who vote for the least unfavorable.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 10:44 AM
Feb 2015

Like who is going to screw them the least permanently.

Or who is going to make them puke a little in their mouth the least.

Or who will make them look the least inferior.

Or who is not too much smarter than them.

Mostly they just vote against a candidate, because they don't think anyone is really worth voting for.

I imagine a lot of the people who see Hillary as unfavorable will see her as less unfavorable than most of the others.

pampango

(24,692 posts)
17. Accidental mistake analyzing poll results or something else?
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 10:46 AM
Feb 2015

As others have pointed out that is not what the poll shows.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
34. OH, son ONLY Democrats will vote in 2016??? who knew!
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 10:55 AM
Feb 2015

Care to show us the POLL of ONLY DEMOCRATS

The table cited shows favorable/unfavorable by PARTY.
The 47% is of the BASE

MineralMan

(146,324 posts)
42. I'm not your son, and your use of the word "base"
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:01 AM
Feb 2015

is not accurate. In politics, the "base" of any party is that group that can be counted on to support candidates of that party. It has been modified to a certain degree to sometimes refer to only certain like-minded members of a party, like teabaggers for the GOP and a small percentage on the lift for the Democratic party.

Your use of it is not the standard use of the word in any way,

There is no recognized "base" of voters who are of both parties. Wrong word choice.

I'm more likely to be the age of your father than your son, by the way. Trying to dismiss me in that way is rude.

Response to MineralMan (Reply #42)

MineralMan

(146,324 posts)
76. I'm not talking about either. I'm talking about your language
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:21 AM
Feb 2015

error. I don't know if you're missing the point or what. Your headline, though, is highly misleading.

MineralMan

(146,324 posts)
98. I don't like to characterize posters.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:38 AM
Feb 2015

Perhaps the OP was just confused about how polling works. I don't know.

sharp_stick

(14,400 posts)
23. Were you mistaken
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 10:49 AM
Feb 2015

in your horrible reading of the poll? You're not doing yourself or your cause any good by posting stuff that would barely pass the smell test at World Nut Daily.

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)
130. And the OP cleary does not.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 12:04 PM
Feb 2015

Malicious disruption at its best...

*Comments to a jury, read the whole thread. I am not alone here, and the poster refuses to deal with math and facts.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
168. Sorry, thats very inappropriate
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 01:45 PM
Feb 2015

What exactly do YOU think is being "disrupted"?

There is a PPP poll that readers are citing
as evidence of trends among voters.

Clearly, the trend is that amongst
those polled Hillary has higher
unfavorables than favorables.

It's very relevant and appropriate
for this community to be aware and
discuss such a huge liability of the
"favored candidate"

Discussion is not "Malicious disruption"

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)
171. Unfortunately you aren't willing to discuss.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 01:49 PM
Feb 2015

Your posts consists mostly of this emoji...



Quality discussion at its best eh?

Also as its been pointed out repeatedly by several posters your numbers just don't add up.

And no I'm not just one of those "mindless Hillary supporters", but I'm not going to just sit here and "discuss" outright lies and misrepresentations of data.

If you think my comment is bad, alert. That's what it is there for.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
214. Actually she has the best favorable/unfavorables of all the candidates in that poll except ....
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 02:28 PM
Feb 2015

Actually she has the best favorable/unfavorables of all the candidates in that poll except the Huckster who has also has quite a bit of undecideds...

I don't hang my hat on any one poll and while that poll is a tad bit different than other findings it is not so far off as to be totally discounted.


Cha

(297,494 posts)
269. All this is "teaching" us.. is that you like to ignore the facts and use the :rofl: to show you
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:03 PM
Feb 2015

couldn't care less about reality.

Jeeze. I don't even support Hillary at this point but all of you on DU who are trying to bring her down with propaganda tactics are only hurting yourselves.

jwirr

(39,215 posts)
28. This is in the primary. This does not alarm me since there are at least two other candidates that
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 10:52 AM
Feb 2015

many of us love. If this were just before the general election then I would be worried.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
39. 47% of the whole electorate, yes. Not the base of the party.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 10:58 AM
Feb 2015

Among the base of the party, "very liberal" voters, the unfavorable is 5%. Yes, five.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
55. AND 18% of "somewhat liberal" voters.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:08 AM
Feb 2015

So that's a combined 23% UNFAVORABLY ?!?

BTW, is that the "BASE" or the "base"

whatthehey

(3,660 posts)
47. It would have been better to admit your error
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:03 AM
Feb 2015

Then the normal assumption would have been a simple and common oversight. Keeping digging and pretending you did not make a mistake, especially with unwarranted defensive vitriol, enforces another and much baser interpretation.

 

giftedgirl77

(4,713 posts)
93. Well you're the one that completely distorted the facts to your liking...
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:36 AM
Feb 2015

Apparently you were referring to the entire base of Iowa voters & not democrats as you alluded.

Hence, making your OP a huge fucking FAIL as stated previously.

sendero

(28,552 posts)
41. Just like the other thread..
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:00 AM
Feb 2015

.. selling the idea that "no true Scotsman would fail to like HRC", (from same PPP poll think) I don't know who these folks are and so I take their "polling" results with a very large grain of salt.

ALBliberal

(2,344 posts)
45. She needs to get in the race and state her platform.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:03 AM
Feb 2015

Yes it could develop from past sentiments ala PBO and his position on gay marriage. Seems on DU that HRC is marginalized before the primary even starts. She is a quality candidate. The right has no candidate of her caliber. I personally like Sanders the best at this point and as a senator his views are continually voiced. HRC is a private citizen now. I am interested to see how the Democratic primary develops. But an automatic dismissal of HRC? No thanks. I will vote for the Democratic candidate in the general election.

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)
49. The word base doesn't represent the "democratic base" just FYI...
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:04 AM
Feb 2015


In fact this chart shows 91% of people who self identify as "very liberal" have a favorable opinion of Hillary...

brooklynite

(94,679 posts)
56. I keep getting told we can't win by appealing to the middle, so we should appeal to the liberal left
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:08 AM
Feb 2015

Works for me.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
59. WRONG TABLE! Page 14 by PARTY, NOT ideology!
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:11 AM
Feb 2015

Please post the table on pae 14, bottom right corner...
the one that shows Favor/unfavor by PARTY.

Thanks

sharp_stick

(14,400 posts)
73. You're reading it wrong
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:20 AM
Feb 2015

if it was the base of each party there would be two bases or three (Dem, Rep, Ind). As there is only one base listed while showing the favorability as 79% Democrat, 18% Republican and 31% Independant/Other.

It's impossible to equate the "base" number to the Democratic base.

There is no way that Ted Cruz is facing a 28% - 38% - 36% (fav, nonfav,notsure) on the GOP base.

HappyMe

(20,277 posts)
58. I guess it does include Republicans.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:10 AM
Feb 2015

This does kind of mean something in that some have claimed that even republicans would vote for Clinton over their candidate.

I don't know that polls mean a whole lot this far out. This perpetual election season is pretty tiring and annoying.

HappyMe

(20,277 posts)
205. I'm getting pretty sick of the 'polls say..' posts.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 02:13 PM
Feb 2015

Nothing is going to happen until July, so all of this is pretty useless. As are the demands for people that don't like Clinton to shut up. Election season is far, far too long.

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)
212. Again very few people are telling others to shut up, sure there are a few...
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 02:25 PM
Feb 2015

But from what I can tell it's not the majority of Clinton supporters on this board.

HappyMe

(20,277 posts)
215. I couldn't say really how many it actually is.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 02:30 PM
Feb 2015

It may be a very few. But boy oh boy, they sure are loud and ornery.

I'm just going to start trash canning more threads.

wyldwolf

(43,868 posts)
74. If the OP isn't joking...
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:20 AM
Feb 2015

... this is, by far, the most ludicrous and uninformed reading of poll results ever. It borders on Sarah Palin territory.

herding cats

(19,566 posts)
221. This has to be a tribute to the departed Leslie Nielsen.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 02:53 PM
Feb 2015

Surely you can't be serious?

I am serious, and don't call me Shirley.



DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
66. You are just making stuff up:
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:16 AM
Feb 2015

Her favorable numbers among Democrats are:

Favorable -79%
Unfavorable-13%
Not sure-8%

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
82. Wow!!!!! Negative 79% favorability among Democrats! EVEN WORSE!!!!!!!!!
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:26 AM
Feb 2015

And here's the tag the really belongs on the OP:


DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
87. This board is past the point of being a parody of itself and is now on the precipice ...
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:34 AM
Feb 2015

This board is past the point of being a parody of itself and is now on the precipice of becoming a caricature and the primaries haven't even begun.

Renew Deal

(81,869 posts)
96. It should get more recs
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:38 AM
Feb 2015

So people see what lengths some people will go to make a point. Ignorance or malice. Doesn't matter which one.

 

Hoyt

(54,770 posts)
89. You should delete the OP or change it. Your OP is misleading because you misinterpreted "Base."
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:35 AM
Feb 2015

I understand how you made that mistake, but it is clear the poll includes conservatives -- which you would expect a high percentage to disapprove of any Democrat.

abelenkpe

(9,933 posts)
90. 691 people polled
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:35 AM
Feb 2015

"PPP surveyed 691 registered voters, including 310 Democratic primary voters, from February 20th to 22nd. The margin of error for the overall survey is +/- 3.7%, and for the Democratic primary component it’s +/-5.6%. This survey was conducted through automated telephone interviews and interviews over the internet to voters who don’t have landline phones."


I wouldn't put much faith in this poll. Or really any poll. Polls measure what older voters think. It's difficult to develope a poll that gauges students and those under fifty because they don't have landlines or the time to participate in online polls. That said running Hillary would bring every hater on the republican side to the polls and as the constant fighting on this board illustrates alienate some liberal voters. Not a good recipe for success. Whatever democrats do they need to offer a hopeful vision for the future. Don't run on "We're better than republicans" because that's not going to work.
Personally want a candidate who would fight to stop offshoring jobs...

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
108. Most reputable polls call cell phone users.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:43 AM
Feb 2015

I'm kind of surprised PPP doesn't. In any case their findings are mirrored by other pollsters in the field.

As to your assertion that HRC will bring out the Repugs if the "crypto-Muslim, illegal alien, Kenyan socialist who pals around with terrorists" as his Republican detractors call President Obama didn't bring them out I doubt Hillary will bring any more of them out.

abelenkpe

(9,933 posts)
140. Yeah, it's the no cell phone
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 12:39 PM
Feb 2015

That's really makes this poll worrisome. Still most young people I know refuse to answer a number they don't recognize so even with cell phones polls will tend to skew to an older demographic. Think that's part of the reason why FOX was so surprised by last presidential election.
Moreover, get the impression that Republican pundits want Hillary to run. They've already got their play book against her written. They know she's controversial.
If my republican FOX fed family and hometown friends are indicative of the level of dislike for Hillary then plan on a lot of republicans showing up to vote. Seriously, they're scary. President Obamas election brought forward the ugly racism still prevalent in our country. O it's gonna be so fun getting reacquainted with ugly sexism still festering. But that's beside the point. Fear and dislike motivate republican voters. Hope brings liberal and young voters. Whoever runs needs to be sold as someone who will bring positive change, hope, etc. Last time there wasn't a unified platform or vision offered. It was a message of fear: vote or else republicans. Can't make that mistake again.

SidDithers

(44,228 posts)
97. Yup. The right hates Hillary. The fringe left hates Hillary...
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:38 AM
Feb 2015

and neither, apparently, minds using dishonesty to smear her.

Sid

 

AgingAmerican

(12,958 posts)
232. Obama supporters hated Hillary
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 03:54 PM
Feb 2015

And screamed it from the rooftops during the 2008 primaries. It was a year long orgy of Hillary hatred by Obama supporters. Randy Rhodes was fired for it and Stephanie Miller became completely unlistenable. The last time I listened to Stephanie Miller, she asked her listeners, "Why can't we just use the Ken Starr accusations against Hillary?". She went there, so I have never listened to her since. I didn't like Hillary then, but the Obama supporters were acting like rabid animals, so I really didn't care for Obama either.

Now those same Obama folks are all indignant and in a twist over any critique of their beloved Hil!

Politics is fickle stuff

SidDithers

(44,228 posts)
242. Just curious, is all...
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 04:22 PM
Feb 2015

You were speaking as if you'd experienced the 2008 primary wars at DU, yet you've only been here since 2012.

My apologies if I inferred incorrectly that this isn't your first time on the carousel. DU3 was a fresh start for lots of posters who had left DU2.



Sid

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
100. Really good numbers.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:40 AM
Feb 2015

To have an unfavorable number at 45% with democrats, republicans, and independents with the name recognition she has is pretty good. Only 13% unfavorable from democrats. She is in a strong position. Thanks for pointing it out. Though you shouldn't be surprised that she is very disliked by republicans. To take this poll as you seem to be, Scott Walker is in a much better position than E Warren. But some of us actually have a formal education in statistics and can comprehend what we are looking at.

BlueCaliDem

(15,438 posts)
106. UNREC*. Your OP should be deleted. It's skewed in wording which skews your opinion.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:43 AM
Feb 2015

MIRT...where are you when we need you?

 

B Calm

(28,762 posts)
118. I'm with you. I think the democratic party could find a politician with
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:50 AM
Feb 2015

less baggage. I will vote for her if she ends up being our candidate, but I hate holding my nose when voting.

 

Rex

(65,616 posts)
126. I'm sorry your thread ended up being about something other than the numbers from the poll.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 12:01 PM
Feb 2015

Something blah blah blah something.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
151. These are the numbers from the poll that the original poster intentionally misinterpreted*
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 01:14 PM
Feb 2015





* I only use the word "deliberate" because as it has been pointed out, ad museum and ad infinitum, they are being misinterpreted and he or she ignores them.

NYC Liberal

(20,136 posts)
133. This thread may earn a spot in the DU Hall of Epic Fail.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 12:15 PM
Feb 2015

Put it in there next to the Moon bombing thread.

Don't worry, though. There was a PRO-Hillary thread that was just as bad as this one in 2008: WIPEOUT!!! 35% reporting in Indiana: Clinton up by 14points!

 

Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)
137. You misinterpreted the poll.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 12:24 PM
Feb 2015

The number you're referring to includes Republicans....it's not referring to the base of the party.

You should probably delete this.

frazzled

(18,402 posts)
138. I think the OP is committed to that misinterpretation
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 12:34 PM
Feb 2015

Come hell or high water. Dozens have tried to explain it. The OP wants to believe what (s)he wants to believe about this poll—facts be damned. Almost makes you wish that literacy tests were required for voting. (Just kidding.)

I don't think there's any way of convincing the OP of the wrongness of his/her interpretation. I guess we just have to say:

upaloopa

(11,417 posts)
148. That is about the percent that doesn't vote.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 12:55 PM
Feb 2015

What matters is what likely voters think since they are in the game. The rest are in the stands booing or cheering.

 

Android3.14

(5,402 posts)
152. Misleading OP
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 01:15 PM
Feb 2015

If Cosmic Kitten has any sense, he or she will remove their post. The 47 % number includes Republicans, which makes the results unremarkable and harms CK's credibility.

The MIC and corporatists are spinning these polls like crazy, pushing a damaged candidate on the Democrats who will further divide the country, even if she wins. Even so, that is little justification to double down on an obvious misread of this poll's data.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
155. How is it "misleading"?
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 01:30 PM
Feb 2015

The poll clearly reads that Hillary
has a 47% unfavorable with the BASE.
It's right there... in black and white.

I'm sure readers here don't need to be hand held
to read that the % within parties differs?

Regardless of how closely some people read
the table data.... Hillary has a huge LIABILITY
amongst voters.

If 47% of voters see a candidate unfavorably
why would any sane person INSIST on them running?


Nearly HALF of Voters view Hillary unfavorably...
according to the poll cited.

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)
159. Very few people on DU actually are insisting she run...
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 01:36 PM
Feb 2015

Would you prefer a candidate that republicans like more... That's about the only way you'd get that favor ability number up considering how high her favoriability numbers on the liberal side are?

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
161. Actually, Populist values poll highest generally.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 01:39 PM
Feb 2015

Working class and middle class voters
prefer Populist policies over neo-liberal
or "new democrat" policies

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
162. The "BASE" is all voters.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 01:39 PM
Feb 2015

In your seminal thread you held out the base as being representative of only Democratic voters, ergo:


47% of BASE see Hillary as UNFAVORABLE! [View all]

In the latest PPP poll Hillary is seen
UNFAVORABLY by 47% of the BASE
when measured by PARTY.

That should alarm every Democrat
and "left-leaning independent"!!!11!!1!





""favorable" is only 45% of the base???



"EVERY PICTURE TELLS A STORY..."





[blockquote" If 47% of voters see a candidate unfavorably
why would any sane person INSIST on them running? "

Maybe because her favorables are higher than any of her would be opponents.

It's on Page 21.


 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
167. "BASE" as used in that chart refers to EVERYONE, not the base of the Democratic party.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 01:44 PM
Feb 2015

"Base" as used by people here, refers to the base of the Democratic party.

Clinton has been around 45-47% unfavorable for about two decades now. Zzzzz.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
174. Isn't the "BASE" all voters?
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 01:51 PM
Feb 2015

As to...
[div class="excerpt"]Clinton has been around 45-47% unfavorable
for about two decades now. Zzzzz
.

Why in the world would any sane person nominate
a candidate with the favorable/unfavorables
around 45-47% for two decades???

20 years of being equally disliked and liked?
And that's the BEST the Democratic Party can offer


The problem here isn't MY READING
of the poll data...
It's Hillary supporters INTERPRETATION!
HRC supporters cherry picking stats is the problem.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
177. "Base" normally refers to the most loyal party voters.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 01:55 PM
Feb 2015

No one facing the Citizens United money blitz will poll below 45% unfavorable in this polarized environment.

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)
186. Again...
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 01:59 PM
Feb 2015

To increase the base favorability about the only place oh can pick up higher percentage is from the Republican side...

I don't see how that is good?

Beacool

(30,250 posts)
243. No, it isn't.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 04:23 PM
Feb 2015

The "base" refers to the people who support a political party. The base of the Democratic party has a 79% favorable view of Hillary. THAT's the base. What you posted were the results for ALL voters who responded to this poll. That includes Democrats, Republicans and Independents.

Do you finally get what people have been trying to show you or are you going to continue to insist in your inaccurate OP?

 

Android3.14

(5,402 posts)
222. Actually
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 02:57 PM
Feb 2015

What matters is the truth.

I sent an email to Tom Jensen, the author of the press release.

Here is his response, which shows that "base" refers to the overall results, which includes members of both parties and independents. Your OP is incorrect.

Agnosticsherbet

(11,619 posts)
163. Base in this poll is not Democratic Party Base. It is the raw data from those polled.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 01:40 PM
Feb 2015

Party and ideology are self descriptors by those polled.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
176. Right flipping here
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 01:54 PM
Feb 2015

"In the latest PPP poll Hillary is seen
UNFAVORABLY by 47% of the BASE
when measured by PARTY."

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
192. Is this the Bill Clinton "meaning of is" debate. It was actually charming from the ole rascal.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 02:03 PM
Feb 2015

That being said, here's the graph:

pnwmom

(108,990 posts)
197. No, about extreme distortion. A poll that includes both parties OF COURSE will have
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 02:07 PM
Feb 2015

a high unfavorability rating by members of the other party. But please show me what candidate does better than Hillary.

Agnosticsherbet

(11,619 posts)
202. "Clinton also remains dominant in the Democratic Primary field. 54% of the party's voers want her"
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 02:11 PM
Feb 2015

"Clinton also remains dominant in the Democratic Primary field. 54% of the party's voters want her to be their candidate to 16% for Joe Bide, 12% for Elizabeth Warren, 5% for Bernie Sanders, 2% for Jim Webb, and 1% for martin O'Malley."

This is from the write up of the data From "Public Policy Polling."

Link to the source of he data "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_National_22515.pdf"

 

NYC_SKP

(68,644 posts)
173. It was a terrible poll, automatic and only a few hundred respondents.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 01:51 PM
Feb 2015

Check this out:


PPP surveyed 691 registered voters, including 310
Democratic primary voters, from February 20th to 22nd.

The margin of error for the overall survey is +/- 3.7%, and for the Democratic primary
component it’s +/-5.6%.

This survey was conducted through automated telephone interviews and
interviews over the internet to voters who don’t have landline phones.


Automated telephone surveys of 691 voters, only 310 of whom were Democratic primary voters.

If your n is 310 for a national automatic survey, your results are crap.

Liberals are WAY smarter than that.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
183. mehbee ;~/
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 01:58 PM
Feb 2015

But it doesn't change the numbers.

I'm not so paternalistic to believe DUers
cant read the data and make their own inferences.

It was not stated that her numbers reflected Democratic voters.

Maybe, DU needs to bone up on POLLING, and reading polling results?

The only way we can prevent being mislead is if DU members
can discriminate what people say, versus what POLLS ACTUALLY REPORT!

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
210. Well, if your inference was that only 45% of those Democrats polled ...
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 02:22 PM
Feb 2015

Well, if your inference was that only 45% of those Democrats polled had a favorable opinion of Ms. Clinton you drew the wrong inference.


The poll you cited indicated that of all those polled (Republicans, Democrats, and Independents) forty five percent had a favorable opinion of Ms. Clinton and forty seven percent of those polled had an unfavorable opinion of Ms. Clinton. Among Democrats she had a favorable rating of seventy nine percent and a unfavorable rating of thirteen percent, ergo:







What's being off by nearly three hundred percent among "friends" any way?




 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
206. They did add something.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 02:14 PM
Feb 2015

Your replies throughout are a reflection of the education system in this country. Your post number 55 really made that clear.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
218. Some things I just don't get.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 02:45 PM
Feb 2015

You won't see me post on the topic of GMO's here because I am completely uneducated on them. We only have so much time in our lives to educate ourselves on things and we can't all be experts or even knowledgeable about everything. I have made mistakes at du and been quickly corrected. I would even say I have had my ass handed to me and rightly so. I do try to stick to that which I know. There is nothing wrong with admitting an error. I find it to be a very good thing to admit, as it shows an ability to change and learn, although one doesn't want to find themselves doing it often. When one continues down a path of propping up a thought that has been proven to be incorrect, the word necessary to describe them is no longer uneducated.

Sorry I am as uneducated as I am with respect to GMO's. I only have so much time and that is an area I have yet to jump into. I'm sure I will at some point. Bad Traveler Bad.

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)
219. I there with you, you won't see me in one of those threads... I know better.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 02:48 PM
Feb 2015

And I as well have had my ass handed to me, sometimes it's a good experience.

Thanks for the reply.

 

msanthrope

(37,549 posts)
247. When you have an OP as broken as this one...one as poorly resourced
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 05:24 PM
Feb 2015

and with obvious mathematical flaws?

You have to reach a certain level of erudition before I 'add.'

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
185. What base, the GOP base, if 47% of the GOP base then this should scare the hell out of the GOP.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 01:59 PM
Feb 2015

Kinda misleading on thread name, looks like Hillary being 47% of the GOP base is too much to expect.

Cosmic Kitten

(3,498 posts)
196. I know, right?
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 02:06 PM
Feb 2015

It's very confusing what the poll ACTUALLY reports?!?!

Someone, please, explain polling, and statistics
so that DUers cannot be so easily mislead by
reporting PERCENTAGES!

daredtowork

(3,732 posts)
216. Revamping Hillary's "Brand" is Not Enough
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 02:34 PM
Feb 2015

She either represents you or she doesn't. It's all about the policy/platform and freaking TRIANGULATION!!!

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
217. Well, in this case, it apparently is, because the OP is flat-out wrong about the poll numbers.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 02:37 PM
Feb 2015

The actual number is 14% disapproval among dems, and 5% among "very liberal." The fact that this OP hasn't been self-deleted after this was pointed out, and instead has 22 recs, is a testament to the mindset of the Hillary haters. Facts be damned!

 

Android3.14

(5,402 posts)
223. This should settle this silliness
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 03:00 PM
Feb 2015

I wrote to the author of the press release, and he responded, showing definitively that "base" in this context refers to all the respondents, including Democrats, Republicans and independents.

 

stevenleser

(32,886 posts)
281. This comment of yours should have received more attention. Nothing like hearing it from the horses
Fri Feb 27, 2015, 01:21 AM
Feb 2015

Mouth, so to speak

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)
282. Yup.
Fri Feb 27, 2015, 01:27 AM
Feb 2015

But then the OP switched their stories... Clearly they were never trying to talk about the "democratic base" only an idiot would think so...

So much fail here in this one OP. I'd love to let it sink but good lord.

Hekate

(90,769 posts)
228. My goodness, get a grip on yourself. It's a wide-open primary with lots of choices coming up...
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 03:23 PM
Feb 2015

Why we've got a whole clown car of Democratic candidates jumping up and down at the chance to take on Hillary.

Beacool

(30,250 posts)
234. That's not accurate, it was asked of all respondents.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 04:02 PM
Feb 2015

The "base" would be if only Democrats had participated in the poll. Of all the people who may be potential candidates in 2016, only two had a higher positive v. negative score, Ben Carson and Mike Huckabee. Realistically, neither one will be the Republican nominee. If the question would have been only posed to Democrats do you think that Bush's favorable/unfavorable ratio would only be 1%?

54% of Democrats want Hillary to run for president, 16% want Biden to run and 12% want Warren. Those are the results of the base, not what you proclaimed.

Dislike Hillary all you want, but try not to manipulate results.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
240. Im alarmed how you've totally confused the facts..
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 04:19 PM
Feb 2015

Yet refuse to admit it when clearly explained by several posters above.

 

giftedgirl77

(4,713 posts)
260. This is basic chart reading at this point....
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 07:53 PM
Feb 2015

We aren't even in the realm of math anymore. Hell, you don't even have to read the chart to know you are blatantly wrong you not only have been explained it several times there's now a damn email in the thread explaining what base means.

You're entire OP is complete & total bullshit & you should have the decency to either admit that you were wrong or are intentionally trying to push a false narrative. At this point it is becoming obvious which one it is.

Number23

(24,544 posts)
261. She's lock out of her own thread, gg. So no reply will be forthcoming.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 10:14 PM
Feb 2015

Just take a second, take a deep breath and take it all in. Because this is some world class, Grade A Fail we have all been privy to today.

 

giftedgirl77

(4,713 posts)
262. Ha figures, my first post in this OP blatantly called it
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 10:28 PM
Feb 2015

an epic fuckin fail. This crap should have been shit canned a long time ago. Utter garbage.

Number23

(24,544 posts)
275. Hillary concurs
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:28 PM
Feb 2015


(I like to think this was the face she'd make if she ever read this OP)

And though I do like and respect Hillary, I have my issues with her, particularly during her term as SoS. But this DU anti-Hillary brigade is so full of crap that I find myself defending her more than I want.

JI7

(89,260 posts)
279. she is posting similar things in another thread and refuses to acknowledge
Fri Feb 27, 2015, 12:27 AM
Feb 2015

the failure of this OP

Hekate

(90,769 posts)
295. Oy. Then I guess the cosmic furball didn't make it all the way up yet.
Sat Feb 28, 2015, 06:44 PM
Feb 2015

This has been amazing.

SoapBox

(18,791 posts)
277. This...would not surprise me at all.
Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:57 PM
Feb 2015

I've said it before and will say it again...personally, I feel she is unelectable.

While there is Bush Burn Out, I think there is even a larger Clinton Burn Out.

onenote

(42,737 posts)
278. I've seen some stupid and-or dishonest posts at DU, but this one takes the cake.
Fri Feb 27, 2015, 12:05 AM
Feb 2015

Even Bill O'Reilly couldn't have done a better job misstating that poll's results.

Jamaal510

(10,893 posts)
286. I don't know which is more embarrassing:
Fri Feb 27, 2015, 02:07 AM
Feb 2015

the OP misinterpreting his/her own poll, or the thread getting any recs at all.

Jamaal510

(10,893 posts)
289. It's sad when
Fri Feb 27, 2015, 02:49 AM
Feb 2015

you think about all the wingnuts who infiltrate this site and probably laugh at threads like these.

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