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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums47% of BASE see Hillary as UNFAVORABLE!
In the latest PPP poll Hillary is seen
UNFAVORABLY by 47% of the BASE
when measured by PARTY.
That should alarm every Democrat
and "left-leaning independent"!!!11!!1!
Hilary's "favorable" is only 45% of the base???
Page 14 of the report, favorable/unfavorable by Party
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_National_22515.pdf
Paulie
(8,462 posts)Erich Bloodaxe BSN
(14,733 posts)They measure on all sorts of slices, but what really matters is the people who actually will turn out and vote when the time comes. If you don't vote when push comes to shove, either for one candidate or another, it doesn't really matter how much you like or dislike anyone. They might be 'the base' now, but are they actually showing up to vote every single election? Are they only 'presidential election' voters?
And who cares about 'very liberal' voters? Again, the question is 'Are they going to be voters in Nov 2016?' If not, I don't care how much they love Hillary, or 'how liberal' they are.
former9thward
(32,064 posts)they polled Democratic primary voters.
muriel_volestrangler
(101,347 posts)(Biden 67/15; Warren 48/17).
54% of the Dem primary voters favour Hillary as Democratic candidate for president. 16% Biden, 12% Warren, 5% Sanders, 2% Webb, 1% O'Malley, 10% others.
InAbLuEsTaTe
(24,122 posts)Agschmid
(28,749 posts)hollowdweller
(4,229 posts)I liked her health care plan she put forth when Bill was in.
I don't like her hawkish tendencies I have observed.
However she has not really put out a clear picture as far as the actual things she would pursue as president for me to be able to know whether I like her or not.
She's talking to Warren. That's good.
I'm sort of giving her a chance. There are things about her that make me not like her and some that do in her past, but if she comes out with 4 or 5 things I agree with, like stock transaction tax, mandatory sick leave, alternative energy, increase min wage I'd be for her.
sabrina 1
(62,325 posts)to do so in the mid terms.
The base won everything for them in 2008.
Since then they have destroyed all that work and lost us the Senate and the House by stubbornly refusing to listen to what the voters have been telling them.
Polls don't tell us anything much at this point, but ELECTIONS do.
Eg in the last mid terms, progressives mobilized to support Progressive candidates, incumbents and a few new candidates. They WON those seats.
Had it not been for those Dems working so hard to hold on to those seats, the losses would have been even greater.
What they did not do was to work for Third Way candidates, the ones the Leadership were supporting.
Either the party stops moving to the right each time they lose an election, or it's going to keep happening.
Blaming the voters doesn't win elections. LISTENING to them does.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)In reality, these numbers are miniscule.
DanTex
(20,709 posts)up into segments. Either the OP is a joke, or the OP doesn't know how polls work.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)titaniumsalute
(4,742 posts)47% of ALL Respondents...not Dems. This includes everyone.
Look at every candidate likely to run for the high office on that list. They have have crappy fav versus unfavs. Remember this also...most people aren't even thinking about 2016 like we do here on DU.
pnwmom
(108,990 posts)She was less popular among less liberal voters, despite how some people here view her.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)is it 91% of the 14% of the total 691 or ...
is it 91% of the 14% of the 301 Democrats???
Either way were talking about...
LESS THAN 100 PEOPLE
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)You are coming off quite foolish.
SidDithers
(44,228 posts)This thread is all kind of awesome.
Sid
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)And you are correct it is some kind of awesome...
but not for the reasons you probably want to believe ;~/
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)pnwmom
(108,990 posts)pnwmom
(108,990 posts)is very significant.
It would be one thing if the 91% didn't fit with the rest of the table. But instead, there was a clear and steady decrease in her popularity as the voters got more conservative.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)Citing a "trend" among 300 people is absurd?
No, it's surreal given the inherent variables in polling.
But don't let that stop others from cherry picking
how GREAT it is for Hillary
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)Try it out yourself. If you don't trust the Internet calculator we can walk through the math here as well...
pnwmom
(108,990 posts)differences beyond that are significant. And her standing among the most liberal is far greater than among the most conservative -- way, way beyond the margin of error.
SidDithers
(44,228 posts)You're arguing that one part of the poll that you created the thread about isn't valid because it's a small sample.
And yet you won't acknowledge that you've completely misrepresented what the numbers in the poll mean.
This is too fucking funny.
Sid
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)Number23
(24,544 posts)giftedgirl77
(4,713 posts)pnwmom
(108,990 posts)L0oniX
(31,493 posts)Helen Borg
(3,963 posts)Response to Cosmic Kitten (Original post)
Agschmid This message was self-deleted by its author.
Octafish
(55,745 posts)Last edited Thu Feb 26, 2015, 11:10 AM - Edit history (1)
No offense to the possible candidate, the former Secretary of State, Senator, and First Lady of the United States and Arkansas.
Scuba
(53,475 posts)That number includes republicans.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)How many people EXACTLY are included in the percentages?
EXACTLY how many people polled SUPPORT HILLARY?
This poll is being held up ar PROOF that Hillary is INEVITABLE!!!11!
So why don't you run some numbers and tell us EXACTLY
how many people out of 691 support Hillary
You will also NOTICE, the breakout is BY PARTY!
brooklynite
(94,679 posts)What people said is that Hillary is POPULAR.
Once again, the ONLY people pushing the "inevitability" meme are the anti-Hillary folks.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)That sounds like great news, right!
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)Funny how they are great when we like the results
not so much when they are unfavorable?
DU needs an education on READING POLL RESULTS
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Her favorable numbers among Democrats are:
Favorable -79%
Unfavorable-13%
Not sure-8%
according to the poll you cited.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)79% of 300 people = 238
238 people favor Hillary
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)I would use emoticons to hide the paucity of thought that went into my thread but since I don't have the I Q of a palm tree I won't.
#lol@me
Renew Deal
(81,869 posts)Where do you fall?
Renew Deal
(81,869 posts)The number of people polled represent a sample of the entire population.
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)EXACTLY How many DEMOCRATS
have a favorable opinion of Hillary?
Page, percent and actual count, please.
BlueCaliDem
(15,438 posts)in that poll - and a few Neo-confederate traitors, too.
Q5: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Ben Carson?
Favorable........................................................35%(???)
Unfavorable.....................................................17%
Not sure..........................................................48%
Do you know any Democrat who'd think nutter Ben Carson's unfavorable numbers should be LOWER than than VP Biden's?
karynnj
(59,504 posts)Here, I suspect that the 42% of people who have enough information to know what they think on Carson is highly concentrated on the right. He is a hero of talk show radio and Fox News. On the left, he is likely known mostly to people with a very healthy interest in politics -- and they are most of the 17% unfavorable.
I suspect (though obviously could not prove) that the vast majority of the 48% unsure would become "unfavorable" if they received information (from BOTH sides) on Carson.
Biden on the other hand is known to nearly everyone. I suspect that almost all Republicans, in this politically charged world, are giving him an "unfavorable". If you go to pollingreport.com and look back at past politicians, you would see that things were far less polarized. I suspect that Biden might also suffer from some Democrats knowing he has not ruled out running for President - and some of rating unfavorable or not sure (though he has been VP for 6 years).
BlueCaliDem
(15,438 posts)divide and conquer - even in this Democratic Party supporting community, and the OP poster is a clear example of that.
muriel_volestrangler
(101,347 posts)compared with Biden 67%/15%, and Warren 48%/17%.
For 'very liberal' Demo primary voters:
H. Clinton: 91%/6%; Biden: 88%/4%; Warren: 70%/5%.
You're welcome.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)muriel_volestrangler
(101,347 posts)IS THERE A POINT TO THAT POST? OR TO THIS WHOLE MISBEGOTTEN THREAD?
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)AND IN ALL CAPS, TOO!
How about Name Recognition
in the context of polling.
Does name recognition impact poll results?
Maybe you could explain the biases and variables
that effect polling data, the impact of "weighting"
to reflect population demographics, when the sample
is not representative of the general populous?
muriel_volestrangler
(101,347 posts)After an OP in which you hadn't the faintest clue what the words in a poll mean, and after many people had to post before you even started to admit how misleading your OP was, now you're suddenly concerned about weighting?
IT WAS ALL IN CAPS BECAUSE YOUR POST WAS ALL IN CAPS. AND YOU HAVE BEEN SHOUTING AT PEOPLE THROUGHOUT THIS THREAD.
What about name recognition? State your concern.
'Populus', not 'populous'. You may as well learn something from this misbegotten thread.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)Hekate
(90,769 posts)...of cosmic size and import.
Art_from_Ark
(27,247 posts)Warren is just now starting to make a name for herself.
How would those numbers look if Hillary had a national face-to-face debate with Warren?
I'm pretty sure that Warren's favorable numbers would rise among "very liberal" primary voters.
muriel_volestrangler
(101,347 posts)but her unfavourable numbers are already at Hillary's level, among Democrats. At best, she'd get close to Hillary's (and Biden's) positive numbers. Warren doesn't have such unfavourable numbers among conservatives as Hillary, yet, but, if she did run (and she's said she's not going to), that would change. The 'independent' figures are Hillary 31% favourable/56%; Warren 21%/34%. The ratio is roughly the same.
If we take this poll seriously (as opposed to the farce the thread starter is trying to make of it), then Warren might, with further exposure, get the same sort of numbers that Hillary has. But she's not running.
Art_from_Ark
(27,247 posts)Hillary hasn't declared, neither has Biden. Sanders is considering running. Warren has said she isn't running (present progressive tense), but then again so did Bobby Kennedy until early 1968.
muriel_volestrangler
(101,347 posts)No.
http://fortune.com/2015/01/13/elizabeth-warren-sheila-bair/
William769
(55,147 posts)Oops.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)Page, percent, and specific breakout....
If you are so confident
show us the CORRECT numbers.
William769
(55,147 posts)Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)This is supposed to be the poll
that SHOWS Hillary is INEVITABLE!!!!11!
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)pnwmom
(108,990 posts)That "base" doesn't refer to the "Democratic base" at all.
yeoman6987
(14,449 posts)If you did, your statement is moot. If your for? didn't, who did you got
pnwmom
(108,990 posts)Democrats were heavily in her favor.
Renew Deal
(81,869 posts)The number is 13% of Democrats.
William769
(55,147 posts)GusBob
(7,286 posts)"TRIED to be USED as MISLEADING"
maybe that will register?
BeyondGeography
(39,377 posts)Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)Just putting up a number is bogus.
Show us the page, table and real numbers.
Renew Deal
(81,869 posts)Base is being used in place of "total"
Beacool
(30,250 posts)It won't matter, though. They already made up their minds that 47% of Democrats have an unfavorable opinion of Hillary and damn accuracy.
Number23
(24,544 posts)Base is being used in place of "total"
Whether intentional or deliberate, this is the OP of the year right here, folks!!!
One of the 99
(2,280 posts)Renew Deal
(81,869 posts)When in fact it's malice.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)That is very clear after the ops responses and their feigning ignorance. This poster if fully aware of what they are doing. Dead on by calling it malice.
FSogol
(45,514 posts)Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)has CHERRY PICKED RESULTS...
from the very same poll!
FSogol
(45,514 posts)Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)THis is the Poll that shows how STRONG
Hillary's support is among voters.
It seems to hardly show that?
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)Page 14, bottom right corner
Thanks
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)All this table shows is that 79% of the party views her favorably.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)Yikes, not someone I want to run in the Primary!
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)You should self delete the OP it is quite foolish.
Renew Deal
(81,869 posts)The word "base" has a meaning and I don't think you understand it.
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)You want someone who will be approved by those responding as republicans. This makes such little sense.
progressoid
(49,992 posts)If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat........................................................40%
Republican......................................................34%
Independent / Other........................................26%
In the last presidential election, did you vote for
Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Barack Obama................................................49%
Mitt Romney...................................................43%
Someone else / Don't remember......................8%
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)Jim Lane
(11,175 posts)Clinton leads the notable GOP contenders by about 10 points -- yes, that's important.
BUT in the poll of the base (i.e., the entire electorate), Clinton is underwater, with unfavorability exceeding favorability. That's also important.
Clinton has been in the national spotlight for more than two decades. At this point people have formed their opinions. She has comparatively little opportunity to win over those who dislike her.
By contrast, some of the Republicans, though trailing now, have much greater upside.
Let's consider Scott Walker. Clinton leads him in the hypothetical matchup (Question 24 on page 4):
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Scott
Walker, who would you vote for?
Hillary Clinton 48%
Scott Walker 40%
Not sure 12%
The worrisome point, though, is that Walker has a positive favorable-unfavorable split, and with a very high "Not sure" group (Question 13 on page 3):
of Scott Walker?
Favorable 33%
Unfavorable 26%
Not sure 41%
It's striking that Clinton, with a net unfavorable rating, leads Walker, who has a net favorable. The explanation probably lies in that 41% who aren't sure about Walker. They don't know much about him. Clinton beats him because of her name recognition (people are reluctant to trust the Presidency to someone they don't know much about).
The obvious danger for the Democrats is that the campaign will dramatically change this. If Walker is the Republican nominee, we can be confident that, by Election Day, his "Not sure" rating will be far less than 41%. Facts about his conduct in office and his general vacuity will bring some of those 41% into the Unfavorable column. At the same time, though, the corporate media will be pumping him up (to make it more of a race), and the Kochs will be backing him heavily. Many of those 41% will shift to Favorable.
Although the OP badly botched the interpretation of the 45-47 statistic, it is an important and disquieting one. Clinton's current 8-point lead over Walker (along with similar leads over other possible opponents), so long before the voting begins, is not grounds for complacency.
whatthehey
(3,660 posts)Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)What's your contention?
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)How many Democrats favor Hillary.
Not a percentage, the ACTUAL number of respondents.
Page and table please.
postulater
(5,075 posts)Like who is going to screw them the least permanently.
Or who is going to make them puke a little in their mouth the least.
Or who will make them look the least inferior.
Or who is not too much smarter than them.
Mostly they just vote against a candidate, because they don't think anyone is really worth voting for.
I imagine a lot of the people who see Hillary as unfavorable will see her as less unfavorable than most of the others.
pampango
(24,692 posts)As others have pointed out that is not what the poll shows.
MineralMan
(146,324 posts)Nice try, though.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)Care to show us the POLL of ONLY DEMOCRATS
The table cited shows favorable/unfavorable by PARTY.
The 47% is of the BASE
MineralMan
(146,324 posts)is not accurate. In politics, the "base" of any party is that group that can be counted on to support candidates of that party. It has been modified to a certain degree to sometimes refer to only certain like-minded members of a party, like teabaggers for the GOP and a small percentage on the lift for the Democratic party.
Your use of it is not the standard use of the word in any way,
There is no recognized "base" of voters who are of both parties. Wrong word choice.
I'm more likely to be the age of your father than your son, by the way. Trying to dismiss me in that way is rude.
Response to MineralMan (Reply #42)
Post removed
MineralMan
(146,324 posts)error. I don't know if you're missing the point or what. Your headline, though, is highly misleading.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)Fun isn't it?
MineralMan
(146,324 posts)Perhaps the OP was just confused about how polling works. I don't know.
BlueCaliDem
(15,438 posts)Agschmid
(28,749 posts)You've gone off the deep end here.
OKNancy
(41,832 posts)try again
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)sharp_stick
(14,400 posts)in your horrible reading of the poll? You're not doing yourself or your cause any good by posting stuff that would barely pass the smell test at World Nut Daily.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)Teach us ALL here how to properly
read POLLING RESULTS
sharp_stick
(14,400 posts)but only in the case of those that actually want to learn.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)Malicious disruption at its best...
*Comments to a jury, read the whole thread. I am not alone here, and the poster refuses to deal with math and facts.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)What exactly do YOU think is being "disrupted"?
There is a PPP poll that readers are citing
as evidence of trends among voters.
Clearly, the trend is that amongst
those polled Hillary has higher
unfavorables than favorables.
It's very relevant and appropriate
for this community to be aware and
discuss such a huge liability of the
"favored candidate"
Discussion is not "Malicious disruption"
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)Your posts consists mostly of this emoji...
Quality discussion at its best eh?
Also as its been pointed out repeatedly by several posters your numbers just don't add up.
And no I'm not just one of those "mindless Hillary supporters", but I'm not going to just sit here and "discuss" outright lies and misrepresentations of data.
If you think my comment is bad, alert. That's what it is there for.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Actually she has the best favorable/unfavorables of all the candidates in that poll except the Huckster who has also has quite a bit of undecideds...
I don't hang my hat on any one poll and while that poll is a tad bit different than other findings it is not so far off as to be totally discounted.
aquart
(69,014 posts)IOWA? Six electoral votes? Quaking in my Uggs, I am.
Cha
(297,494 posts)couldn't care less about reality.
Jeeze. I don't even support Hillary at this point but all of you on DU who are trying to bring her down with propaganda tactics are only hurting yourselves.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)At least not in this thread.
Cha
(297,494 posts)Agschmid
(28,749 posts)jwirr
(39,215 posts)many of us love. If this were just before the general election then I would be worried.
DanTex
(20,709 posts)Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)DanTex
(20,709 posts)Among the base of the party, "very liberal" voters, the unfavorable is 5%. Yes, five.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)So that's a combined 23% UNFAVORABLY ?!?
BTW, is that the "BASE" or the "base"
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)In his situation 5% + 18% DOES NOT EQUAL 23%.
DanTex
(20,709 posts)giftedgirl77
(4,713 posts)Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)You are gifted
whatthehey
(3,660 posts)Then the normal assumption would have been a simple and common oversight. Keeping digging and pretending you did not make a mistake, especially with unwarranted defensive vitriol, enforces another and much baser interpretation.
closeupready
(29,503 posts)Populated with English Ph.D.'s.
giftedgirl77
(4,713 posts)Apparently you were referring to the entire base of Iowa voters & not democrats as you alluded.
Hence, making your OP a huge fucking FAIL as stated previously.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Post Of The Year
sendero
(28,552 posts).. selling the idea that "no true Scotsman would fail to like HRC", (from same PPP poll think) I don't know who these folks are and so I take their "polling" results with a very large grain of salt.
ALBliberal
(2,344 posts)Yes it could develop from past sentiments ala PBO and his position on gay marriage. Seems on DU that HRC is marginalized before the primary even starts. She is a quality candidate. The right has no candidate of her caliber. I personally like Sanders the best at this point and as a senator his views are continually voiced. HRC is a private citizen now. I am interested to see how the Democratic primary develops. But an automatic dismissal of HRC? No thanks. I will vote for the Democratic candidate in the general election.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)In fact this chart shows 91% of people who self identify as "very liberal" have a favorable opinion of Hillary...
brooklynite
(94,679 posts)Works for me.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)Please post the table on pae 14, bottom right corner...
the one that shows Favor/unfavor by PARTY.
Thanks
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)sharp_stick
(14,400 posts)if it was the base of each party there would be two bases or three (Dem, Rep, Ind). As there is only one base listed while showing the favorability as 79% Democrat, 18% Republican and 31% Independant/Other.
It's impossible to equate the "base" number to the Democratic base.
There is no way that Ted Cruz is facing a 28% - 38% - 36% (fav, nonfav,notsure) on the GOP base.
HappyMe
(20,277 posts)This does kind of mean something in that some have claimed that even republicans would vote for Clinton over their candidate.
I don't know that polls mean a whole lot this far out. This perpetual election season is pretty tiring and annoying.
pnwmom
(108,990 posts)HappyMe
(20,277 posts)Nothing is going to happen until July, so all of this is pretty useless. As are the demands for people that don't like Clinton to shut up. Election season is far, far too long.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)But from what I can tell it's not the majority of Clinton supporters on this board.
HappyMe
(20,277 posts)It may be a very few. But boy oh boy, they sure are loud and ornery.
I'm just going to start trash canning more threads.
William769
(55,147 posts)We have this thread!
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)William769
(55,147 posts)Mass hysteria isn't my thing.
wyldwolf
(43,868 posts)... this is, by far, the most ludicrous and uninformed reading of poll results ever. It borders on Sarah Palin territory.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)herding cats
(19,566 posts)Surely you can't be serious?
I am serious, and don't call me Shirley.
JI7
(89,260 posts)Giving me a good laugh
Number23
(24,544 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Her favorable numbers among Democrats are:
Favorable -79%
Unfavorable-13%
Not sure-8%
DanTex
(20,709 posts)And here's the tag the really belongs on the OP:
SidDithers
(44,228 posts)Edit: And at the Recs.
Sid
William769
(55,147 posts)SidDithers
(44,228 posts)Sid
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)Thanks for participating
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)This board is past the point of being a parody of itself and is now on the precipice of becoming a caricature and the primaries haven't even begun.
Beacool
(30,250 posts)Renew Deal
(81,869 posts)So people see what lengths some people will go to make a point. Ignorance or malice. Doesn't matter which one.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)the BFEE.
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)Tarheel_Dem
(31,237 posts)Hoyt
(54,770 posts)I understand how you made that mistake, but it is clear the poll includes conservatives -- which you would expect a high percentage to disapprove of any Democrat.
abelenkpe
(9,933 posts)"PPP surveyed 691 registered voters, including 310 Democratic primary voters, from February 20th to 22nd. The margin of error for the overall survey is +/- 3.7%, and for the Democratic primary component its +/-5.6%. This survey was conducted through automated telephone interviews and interviews over the internet to voters who dont have landline phones."
I wouldn't put much faith in this poll. Or really any poll. Polls measure what older voters think. It's difficult to develope a poll that gauges students and those under fifty because they don't have landlines or the time to participate in online polls. That said running Hillary would bring every hater on the republican side to the polls and as the constant fighting on this board illustrates alienate some liberal voters. Not a good recipe for success. Whatever democrats do they need to offer a hopeful vision for the future. Don't run on "We're better than republicans" because that's not going to work.
Personally want a candidate who would fight to stop offshoring jobs...
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)I'm kind of surprised PPP doesn't. In any case their findings are mirrored by other pollsters in the field.
As to your assertion that HRC will bring out the Repugs if the "crypto-Muslim, illegal alien, Kenyan socialist who pals around with terrorists" as his Republican detractors call President Obama didn't bring them out I doubt Hillary will bring any more of them out.
abelenkpe
(9,933 posts)That's really makes this poll worrisome. Still most young people I know refuse to answer a number they don't recognize so even with cell phones polls will tend to skew to an older demographic. Think that's part of the reason why FOX was so surprised by last presidential election.
Moreover, get the impression that Republican pundits want Hillary to run. They've already got their play book against her written. They know she's controversial.
If my republican FOX fed family and hometown friends are indicative of the level of dislike for Hillary then plan on a lot of republicans showing up to vote. Seriously, they're scary. President Obamas election brought forward the ugly racism still prevalent in our country. O it's gonna be so fun getting reacquainted with ugly sexism still festering. But that's beside the point. Fear and dislike motivate republican voters. Hope brings liberal and young voters. Whoever runs needs to be sold as someone who will bring positive change, hope, etc. Last time there wasn't a unified platform or vision offered. It was a message of fear: vote or else republicans. Can't make that mistake again.
uponit7771
(90,348 posts)giftedgirl77
(4,713 posts)stevenleser
(32,886 posts)SidDithers
(44,228 posts)and neither, apparently, minds using dishonesty to smear her.
Sid
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)AgingAmerican
(12,958 posts)And screamed it from the rooftops during the 2008 primaries. It was a year long orgy of Hillary hatred by Obama supporters. Randy Rhodes was fired for it and Stephanie Miller became completely unlistenable. The last time I listened to Stephanie Miller, she asked her listeners, "Why can't we just use the Ken Starr accusations against Hillary?". She went there, so I have never listened to her since. I didn't like Hillary then, but the Obama supporters were acting like rabid animals, so I really didn't care for Obama either.
Now those same Obama folks are all indignant and in a twist over any critique of their beloved Hil!
Politics is fickle stuff
SidDithers
(44,228 posts)Sid
AgingAmerican
(12,958 posts)Is that the best comeback you got?
SidDithers
(44,228 posts)You were speaking as if you'd experienced the 2008 primary wars at DU, yet you've only been here since 2012.
My apologies if I inferred incorrectly that this isn't your first time on the carousel. DU3 was a fresh start for lots of posters who had left DU2.
Sid
AgingAmerican
(12,958 posts)In poker we call it a 'tell'
SidDithers
(44,228 posts)Sid
AgingAmerican
(12,958 posts)It's all you got
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)To have an unfavorable number at 45% with democrats, republicans, and independents with the name recognition she has is pretty good. Only 13% unfavorable from democrats. She is in a strong position. Thanks for pointing it out. Though you shouldn't be surprised that she is very disliked by republicans. To take this poll as you seem to be, Scott Walker is in a much better position than E Warren. But some of us actually have a formal education in statistics and can comprehend what we are looking at.
BlueCaliDem
(15,438 posts)MIRT...where are you when we need you?
Autumn
(45,120 posts)B Calm
(28,762 posts)less baggage. I will vote for her if she ends up being our candidate, but I hate holding my nose when voting.
William769
(55,147 posts)Do you agree or disagree with the OP's assessment of the numbers?
Autumn
(45,120 posts)msanthrope
(37,549 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)zappaman
(20,606 posts)NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Shine some light on this CDS crap.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Agschmid
(28,749 posts)Rex
(65,616 posts)Something blah blah blah something.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)* I only use the word "deliberate" because as it has been pointed out, ad museum and ad infinitum, they are being misinterpreted and he or she ignores them.
Godhumor
(6,437 posts)Bookmarking for endless entertainment!
NYC Liberal
(20,136 posts)Put it in there next to the Moon bombing thread.
Don't worry, though. There was a PRO-Hillary thread that was just as bad as this one in 2008: WIPEOUT!!! 35% reporting in Indiana: Clinton up by 14points!
Bobbie Jo
(14,341 posts)You're really doubling down with this?
Amateur hour, part II.
Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)The number you're referring to includes Republicans....it's not referring to the base of the party.
You should probably delete this.
frazzled
(18,402 posts)Come hell or high water. Dozens have tried to explain it. The OP wants to believe what (s)he wants to believe about this pollfacts be damned. Almost makes you wish that literacy tests were required for voting. (Just kidding.)
I don't think there's any way of convincing the OP of the wrongness of his/her interpretation. I guess we just have to say:
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)L0oniX
(31,493 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)upaloopa
(11,417 posts)What matters is what likely voters think since they are in the game. The rest are in the stands booing or cheering.
Android3.14
(5,402 posts)If Cosmic Kitten has any sense, he or she will remove their post. The 47 % number includes Republicans, which makes the results unremarkable and harms CK's credibility.
The MIC and corporatists are spinning these polls like crazy, pushing a damaged candidate on the Democrats who will further divide the country, even if she wins. Even so, that is little justification to double down on an obvious misread of this poll's data.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)The poll clearly reads that Hillary
has a 47% unfavorable with the BASE.
It's right there... in black and white.
I'm sure readers here don't need to be hand held
to read that the % within parties differs?
Regardless of how closely some people read
the table data.... Hillary has a huge LIABILITY
amongst voters.
If 47% of voters see a candidate unfavorably
why would any sane person INSIST on them running?
Nearly HALF of Voters view Hillary unfavorably...
according to the poll cited.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)Would you prefer a candidate that republicans like more... That's about the only way you'd get that favor ability number up considering how high her favoriability numbers on the liberal side are?
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)Working class and middle class voters
prefer Populist policies over neo-liberal
or "new democrat" policies
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)In your seminal thread you held out the base as being representative of only Democratic voters, ergo:
47% of BASE see Hillary as UNFAVORABLE! [View all]
In the latest PPP poll Hillary is seen
UNFAVORABLY by 47% of the BASE
when measured by PARTY.
That should alarm every Democrat
and "left-leaning independent"!!!11!!1!
""favorable" is only 45% of the base???
"EVERY PICTURE TELLS A STORY..."
[blockquote" If 47% of voters see a candidate unfavorably
why would any sane person INSIST on them running? "
Maybe because her favorables are higher than any of her would be opponents.
It's on Page 21.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)"Base" as used by people here, refers to the base of the Democratic party.
Clinton has been around 45-47% unfavorable for about two decades now. Zzzzz.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)As to...
[div class="excerpt"]Clinton has been around 45-47% unfavorable
for about two decades now. Zzzzz.
Why in the world would any sane person nominate
a candidate with the favorable/unfavorables
around 45-47% for two decades???
20 years of being equally disliked and liked?
And that's the BEST the Democratic Party can offer
The problem here isn't MY READING
of the poll data...
It's Hillary supporters INTERPRETATION!
HRC supporters cherry picking stats is the problem.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)No one facing the Citizens United money blitz will poll below 45% unfavorable in this polarized environment.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)To increase the base favorability about the only place oh can pick up higher percentage is from the Republican side...
I don't see how that is good?
Beacool
(30,250 posts)The "base" refers to the people who support a political party. The base of the Democratic party has a 79% favorable view of Hillary. THAT's the base. What you posted were the results for ALL voters who responded to this poll. That includes Democrats, Republicans and Independents.
Do you finally get what people have been trying to show you or are you going to continue to insist in your inaccurate OP?
Android3.14
(5,402 posts)Do you think it means the "party base"?
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)What does DU think
Android3.14
(5,402 posts)What matters is the truth.
I sent an email to Tom Jensen, the author of the press release.
Here is his response, which shows that "base" refers to the overall results, which includes members of both parties and independents. Your OP is incorrect.
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Agschmid
(28,749 posts)Tarheel_Dem
(31,237 posts)Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)Party and ideology are self descriptors by those polled.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)"In the latest PPP poll Hillary is seen
UNFAVORABLY by 47% of the BASE
when measured by PARTY."
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)That being said, here's the graph:
pnwmom
(108,990 posts)a high unfavorability rating by members of the other party. But please show me what candidate does better than Hillary.
Renew Deal
(81,869 posts)Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)"Clinton also remains dominant in the Democratic Primary field. 54% of the party's voters want her to be their candidate to 16% for Joe Bide, 12% for Elizabeth Warren, 5% for Bernie Sanders, 2% for Jim Webb, and 1% for martin O'Malley."
This is from the write up of the data From "Public Policy Polling."
Link to the source of he data "http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_National_22515.pdf"
NYC_SKP
(68,644 posts)Check this out:
PPP surveyed 691 registered voters, including 310
Democratic primary voters, from February 20th to 22nd.
The margin of error for the overall survey is +/- 3.7%, and for the Democratic primary
component its +/-5.6%.
This survey was conducted through automated telephone interviews and
interviews over the internet to voters who dont have landline phones.
Automated telephone surveys of 691 voters, only 310 of whom were Democratic primary voters.
If your n is 310 for a national automatic survey, your results are crap.
Liberals are WAY smarter than that.
taught_me_patience
(5,477 posts)Clearly "Base" = "Total".
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)But it doesn't change the numbers.
I'm not so paternalistic to believe DUers
cant read the data and make their own inferences.
It was not stated that her numbers reflected Democratic voters.
Maybe, DU needs to bone up on POLLING, and reading polling results?
The only way we can prevent being mislead is if DU members
can discriminate what people say, versus what POLLS ACTUALLY REPORT!
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Well, if your inference was that only 45% of those Democrats polled had a favorable opinion of Ms. Clinton you drew the wrong inference.
The poll you cited indicated that of all those polled (Republicans, Democrats, and Independents) forty five percent had a favorable opinion of Ms. Clinton and forty seven percent of those polled had an unfavorable opinion of Ms. Clinton. Among Democrats she had a favorable rating of seventy nine percent and a unfavorable rating of thirteen percent, ergo:
What's being off by nearly three hundred percent among "friends" any way?
msanthrope
(37,549 posts)Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Your replies throughout are a reflection of the education system in this country. Your post number 55 really made that clear.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)Last time I checked that's not quite how math works...
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)You won't see me post on the topic of GMO's here because I am completely uneducated on them. We only have so much time in our lives to educate ourselves on things and we can't all be experts or even knowledgeable about everything. I have made mistakes at du and been quickly corrected. I would even say I have had my ass handed to me and rightly so. I do try to stick to that which I know. There is nothing wrong with admitting an error. I find it to be a very good thing to admit, as it shows an ability to change and learn, although one doesn't want to find themselves doing it often. When one continues down a path of propping up a thought that has been proven to be incorrect, the word necessary to describe them is no longer uneducated.
Sorry I am as uneducated as I am with respect to GMO's. I only have so much time and that is an area I have yet to jump into. I'm sure I will at some point. Bad Traveler Bad.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)And I as well have had my ass handed to me, sometimes it's a good experience.
Thanks for the reply.
msanthrope
(37,549 posts)and with obvious mathematical flaws?
You have to reach a certain level of erudition before I 'add.'
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)Kinda misleading on thread name, looks like Hillary being 47% of the GOP base is too much to expect.
Cosmic Kitten
(3,498 posts)It's very confusing what the poll ACTUALLY reports?!?!
Someone, please, explain polling, and statistics
so that DUers cannot be so easily mislead by
reporting PERCENTAGES!
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)Several times now.
99Forever
(14,524 posts)As more Democrats become enlightened, the pace will quicken.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)It will only upset him.
daredtowork
(3,732 posts)She either represents you or she doesn't. It's all about the policy/platform and freaking TRIANGULATION!!!
DanTex
(20,709 posts)The actual number is 14% disapproval among dems, and 5% among "very liberal." The fact that this OP hasn't been self-deleted after this was pointed out, and instead has 22 recs, is a testament to the mindset of the Hillary haters. Facts be damned!
McCamy Taylor
(19,240 posts)Android3.14
(5,402 posts)I wrote to the author of the press release, and he responded, showing definitively that "base" in this context refers to all the respondents, including Democrats, Republicans and independents.
stevenleser
(32,886 posts)Mouth, so to speak
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)But then the OP switched their stories... Clearly they were never trying to talk about the "democratic base" only an idiot would think so...
So much fail here in this one OP. I'd love to let it sink but good lord.
Android3.14
(5,402 posts)Oh well. Lies spread while the truth is getting its shoes on.
BklnDem75
(2,918 posts)All the percentages are 'based' on that number.
Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)Because DU does not have a like button.
Hekate
(90,769 posts)Why we've got a whole clown car of Democratic candidates jumping up and down at the chance to take on Hillary.
muriel_volestrangler
(101,347 posts)If this is what reform produces, we are screwn.
Tarheel_Dem
(31,237 posts)Beacool
(30,250 posts)The "base" would be if only Democrats had participated in the poll. Of all the people who may be potential candidates in 2016, only two had a higher positive v. negative score, Ben Carson and Mike Huckabee. Realistically, neither one will be the Republican nominee. If the question would have been only posed to Democrats do you think that Bush's favorable/unfavorable ratio would only be 1%?
54% of Democrats want Hillary to run for president, 16% want Biden to run and 12% want Warren. Those are the results of the base, not what you proclaimed.
Dislike Hillary all you want, but try not to manipulate results.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Yet refuse to admit it when clearly explained by several posters above.
34th Avenue
(19 posts)PPP would commit suicide by coming up with pro - Hillary numbers.
Number23
(24,544 posts)http://www.democraticunderground.com/10026282138
Not that they needed your help, mind you. But it was so wonderful that you decided to do so anyway.
JI7
(89,260 posts)Aerows
(39,961 posts)against Satan.
JI7
(89,260 posts)Obama 49 Romney 40 TIE
OBama 45 romney 46 Romney leading
giftedgirl77
(4,713 posts)We aren't even in the realm of math anymore. Hell, you don't even have to read the chart to know you are blatantly wrong you not only have been explained it several times there's now a damn email in the thread explaining what base means.
You're entire OP is complete & total bullshit & you should have the decency to either admit that you were wrong or are intentionally trying to push a false narrative. At this point it is becoming obvious which one it is.
Number23
(24,544 posts)Just take a second, take a deep breath and take it all in. Because this is some world class, Grade A Fail we have all been privy to today.
giftedgirl77
(4,713 posts)an epic fuckin fail. This crap should have been shit canned a long time ago. Utter garbage.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)I skimmed but don't see it...
ETA: Found it... Yikes.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Agschmid
(28,749 posts)zappaman
(20,606 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Agschmid
(28,749 posts)And it's not pleasant.
Number23
(24,544 posts)(I like to think this was the face she'd make if she ever read this OP)
And though I do like and respect Hillary, I have my issues with her, particularly during her term as SoS. But this DU anti-Hillary brigade is so full of crap that I find myself defending her more than I want.
Cha
(297,494 posts)JI7
(89,260 posts)the failure of this OP
Hekate
(90,769 posts)This has been amazing.
SoapBox
(18,791 posts)I've said it before and will say it again...personally, I feel she is unelectable.
While there is Bush Burn Out, I think there is even a larger Clinton Burn Out.
onenote
(42,737 posts)Even Bill O'Reilly couldn't have done a better job misstating that poll's results.
Jamaal510
(10,893 posts)the OP misinterpreting his/her own poll, or the thread getting any recs at all.
Tarheel_Dem
(31,237 posts)Jamaal510
(10,893 posts)you think about all the wingnuts who infiltrate this site and probably laugh at threads like these.
Tarheel_Dem
(31,237 posts)SidDithers
(44,228 posts)Sid
Aerows
(39,961 posts)Liberals don't like opportunists, because we have been burned before by them.