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RandySF

(60,241 posts)
Wed May 1, 2024, 12:58 PM May 1

London mayoral election race electrified by final poll showing Sadiq Khan lead over Susan Hall smallest so far

London’s mayoral race was electrified in its last 48 hours by a final poll showing Sadiq Khan’s lead over Susan Hall closing to the smallest since their campaigns started.

The Savanta survey for the Centre for London put the Labour mayor on 42 per cent and Tory candidate 32 per cent.

The gap of ten percentage points is down from 13 points in a Savanta poll published last week.

Chris Hopkins, political research director at Savanta said: “Our final poll before Londoners choose their next Mayor suggests that the race has tightened in the last few days before polling day.


https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/london-mayoral-election-race-latest-poll-sadiq-khan-susan-hall-b1154884.html

14 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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London mayoral election race electrified by final poll showing Sadiq Khan lead over Susan Hall smallest so far (Original Post) RandySF May 1 OP
I'm honestly shocked about that Polybius May 1 #1
Tomorrow. RandySF May 1 #2
It's about the economy which is really bad in UK following the pandemic and JCMach1 May 1 #6
I stay there part of the year GenThePerservering May 2 #10
The Standard is a Conservative Paper, so... DJ Synikus Makisimus May 1 #3
The pollster continued: muriel_volestrangler May 1 #4
Do you think people are ready for the photo ID requirement? RandySF May 2 #11
We had it last year, just for local elections muriel_volestrangler May 2 #13
Minister 'sorry' as veterans find ID card not valid for English elections muriel_volestrangler May 2 #14
Yes, on balance, but they did endorse Khan Celerity May 1 #7
Yeah I agree about DJ Synikus Makisimus May 1 #8
New Labour (the Blairites) slammed Labour to the right in the 1990s and the Noughties Celerity May 2 #12
He's still well ahead, and the variation is within the polling margin of error. Emrys May 1 #5
10 points is a gigantic margin in politics Takket May 1 #9

JCMach1

(27,593 posts)
6. It's about the economy which is really bad in UK following the pandemic and
Wed May 1, 2024, 05:16 PM
May 1

Brexit. When I visited a year ago, it was shocking to see how far things had fallen.

GenThePerservering

(1,925 posts)
10. I stay there part of the year
Thu May 2, 2024, 12:23 AM
May 2

and have since 1999. Problems, yes, but things are ticking along despite everything.

I doubt London is going to want Liz Truss's mini-me in charge.

3. The Standard is a Conservative Paper, so...
Wed May 1, 2024, 03:06 PM
May 1

if you want the Labour viewpoint, see The Guardian. They haven't seemed especially worried. There was an editorial by Labour Party Leader Keir Stamer today, "Vote for my friend Sadiq Khan. Don’t let toxic, incompetent Tory rule ruin our capital" (https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/may/01/vote-for-my-friend-sadiq-khan-dont-let-toxic-incompetent-tory-rule-ruin-london). BTW, the LibDems (closest thing to most U.S. Democrats) are a nonentity in this election, as are the Official Monster Raving Loony Party (sadly).

muriel_volestrangler

(101,450 posts)
4. The pollster continued:
Wed May 1, 2024, 03:55 PM
May 1

"we still predict a broadly comfortable victory for Khan over Hall". The Standard just wanted a headline out of it.

muriel_volestrangler

(101,450 posts)
13. We had it last year, just for local elections
Thu May 2, 2024, 08:29 AM
May 2

I expect the turnout will be a little higher this year, with more high profile mayoral elections as well, and maybe since the media is talking about it a bit more since there has to be a general election in under a year. So I expect there will be some more people turned away.

The unfair thing (for Tory advantage?) is that old age photo IDs are accepted, but student photo IDs aren't (and it's not that uncommon for young people to not have yet got a driving licence, and some won't have a passport either (which costs money, so if you're not planning to go abroad you might not have one)). There were ways of getting an accepted ID specifically for voting, but that meant planning ahead.

muriel_volestrangler

(101,450 posts)
14. Minister 'sorry' as veterans find ID card not valid for English elections
Thu May 2, 2024, 11:28 AM
May 2
The minister, Johnny Mercer, was responding to a complaint from a veteran who said he had been turned away at a polling station. “I am sorry about this. The legislation on acceptable forms of ID came out before the veterans ID cards started coming out in January this year. I will do all I can to change it before the next one,” Mercer tweeted.

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/may/02/minister-sorry-as-veterans-find-id-card-not-valid-for-english-elections

But not sorry about young people not being able to use their travel passes.

A Tory MP, Tom Hunt, had apparently "mislaid" his form(s) of identification, which he blames on his dyspraxia (body coordination difficulties). I'm not sure if he's saying he thinks he dropped his driving licence or passport somewhere recently, or what, but he's pissed off that people are taking the piss.

Celerity

(43,939 posts)
7. Yes, on balance, but they did endorse Khan
Wed May 1, 2024, 06:14 PM
May 1


also

you said this

BTW, the LibDems (closest thing to most U.S. Democrats)


Fuck the Lib Dems

those bastards propped up Cameron and the fucking Tories and helped bring in their austerity regime for 5 years and also they ran on a 'lets have a vote to leave the EU' platform years before the actual referendum threw a monstrous spanner in our works


Prime Minister David Cameron and Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg hold a joint press conference in the garden of Downing Street. 12 May 2010, Crown copyright.


from 2008:

8. Yeah I agree about
Wed May 1, 2024, 09:04 PM
May 1

"fuck the LibDems," well except their position on Brexit which seems uncharacteristically spot-on (but then, so is that of the SNP), but I was referring to the political spectrum. Sorry if I was unclear. The closest thing the Democrats have to Labour is the DSA, who are to the right of Labour. And yeah I know that the chatter in the International is that Labour itself has moved too far to the right, but that's not my fight.

Celerity

(43,939 posts)
12. New Labour (the Blairites) slammed Labour to the right in the 1990s and the Noughties
Thu May 2, 2024, 02:47 AM
May 2

I personally find myself betwixt and between the third way projections of the post Blairites and the too overt on too many occasions socialism of the Corbynites.

My being (besides being a British and an American citizen) a Swedish citizen allows me to vote for a Party (Social Democrats) that is fairly close to own ideological make-up (other than a couple issues, but there is no such thing as a perfect party, lolol).

Emrys

(7,293 posts)
5. He's still well ahead, and the variation is within the polling margin of error.
Wed May 1, 2024, 04:01 PM
May 1

Another headline looking for a story.

Takket

(21,758 posts)
9. 10 points is a gigantic margin in politics
Wed May 1, 2024, 10:37 PM
May 1

If you has a 13 run lead in a baseball game and the other team scored three you would not be worried about losing

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