Israel threatens to bomb nuke sites as Iran backs down from direct attack - report

[ripcord]

https://www.timesofisrael.com/israel-threatens-to-bomb-nuke-sites-as-iran-backs-down-from-direct-attack-report/amp/

Iran is going to have othere do their fighting for them because they are afraid of Israel.

[Voltaire2]

1. Israel has a deployed nuclear capability.

So of course Iran is not going to directly attack them. The theocracy is horrible, but not stupid.

[EX500rider]

2. link not working for me

[ripcord]

4. Try it now

[EX500rider]

5. thanks

[PCIntern]

3. Iran would've launched an invasion years ago

But they know what would happen. Annihilation and dare I say it…eradication.

[EX500rider]

6. Not to mention the many countries in the way

Iraq, Syria, Jordan & Saudi Arabia, none to keen on large Iranian armies passing through.

[Voltaire2]

7. Would they drive across Iraq or use their vast Navy and the Suez canal?

I'm a bit confused as to the logistics of Iran invading Israel.

[EX500rider]

9. And after Iraq you still have Jordan or Syria or Saudi Arabia to cross

And Syria has a small border with Israel, only 40m or so

[Voltaire2]

14. Indeed. But I'm sure the Iranian Army is formidable.

A more likely scenario is a drone attack from some proxy on some diplomatic facility somewhere. An unfortunate blowback from Ukraine is that war has morphed again. For example I'm not convinced anyone's navy is safe within drone range.

[EX500rider]

8. And besides their nuclear bomb program, their oil industry is super vulnerable to air attack

Leaving their economy is utter ruins.
2023:
The government's budget this year totals 22,630 trillion rial (approximately $45 billion at the free-market USD rate, with the government's share of total oil export revenues standing at 6,200 trillion rials ($12.5 billion), representing 42.5%.

[brush]

10. I figured Iran would retaliate by air, just as Israel attacked in Syria by jet.

I thought it would be pinpoint strikes as well. No dumb bombs.

Now that they've backed down, it leaves Israel with the upper hand.

[EX500rider]

11. IRBM's are their only choice, their Air Force is decrepit

Last edited Tue Apr 9, 2024, 04:41 PM - Edit history (1)

And that opens them up to the Israeli Air Force bombing all high value targets and they want no part of that I bet

[brush]

12. I didn't know they had a sub-par airforce.

You'd think with all their oil money, and partnering with Putin, they've have up-to-date Russian Migs.

No. They've been exposed as vulnerable and not that much help to Hamas...which puts Israel in the driver's seat.

[EX500rider]

13. They were rumored to be trading the weapons to Russia for some late model MIG's but have received none so far

To put in perspective just how decrepit, they have 0 bombers and the type of fighter they have the most of are the 63 Phantom F-4's they got from the US back in the 70's, followed by the 40 or so F-14 Tomcats, also 70's vintage, neither any match for the IAF's F-35's and I would guess mostly held together by duct tape and baling wire and more a danger to their pilots then Israel.

[brush]

15. Wow! They are behind. F-4's are vintage '60s aircraft.

And the others are no match for the 5th Gen. F-35.

[EX500rider]

16. They have 30 or so MIG-29's, but all early models from the '80's

Specifically:
MiG-29 (Product 9.12B) 'Fulcrum-A'
MiG-29 variant of the 9.12 for non-Warsaw Pact pact countries which included a further downgraded radar and avionics.