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Pototan

(1,266 posts)
Fri Jan 5, 2024, 08:31 AM Jan 2024

I think I understand the Biden campaign election strategy

President Joe Biden has an overwhelming amount of material to blast Trump in TV and online ads. Trump's E Jean Carrol case writes itself. His dictator comments, his absurd tweets are explosive political ammunition. But the Biden campaign is keeping its powder dry.

Since all the polls (and I assume Biden's internals, also) indicate that the weakest opponent he'll face is Trump. The polls, which everyone thinks are currently bad for Biden, actually indicate a very reasonable path to an easy victory. All he has to do, in the end, is convince voters who mostly agree with him and have the most to lose from a Trump Presidency. Biden's weakness is among Blacks, Latinos and young people (18-34).

I think (and this is speculation) that the campaign feels, why should we do the dirty work for Trump's Republican challengers? If we spend money now and are successful in defeating Trump now, we have less resources for the General and a more difficult path to victory.

If, as it appears, Trump becomes the presumptive Republican nominee for President on Super Tuesday in March, his campaign, or more likely, Biden's and Trump hating independent superPACs, will lower the boom. Then you will see a demonstrable change in the polling. Following the Democratic convention, I predict, Joe Biden will have a commanding lead in the national polls and a comfortable lead in the key swing states, on the way to an overwhelming victory.

P.S. I didn't always feel this way. I was as frightened as most of you have been of a dictator taking over the US Government. But, as every day passes, I am becoming more and more optimistic.

12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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rampartc

(5,474 posts)
1. while you may be correct about the "strategy"
Fri Jan 5, 2024, 08:51 AM
Jan 2024

they need to reevaluate that strategy. trump must be defeared at all costs

we need to fight him on the ballots, the primaries and put a stake through hi heart before things can again "get wuld,"

InAbLuEsTaTe

(24,133 posts)
2. That's clearly Joe's strategy... the best one we've got. Once dipshit is the Rethug nominee, then go after him big-time.
Fri Jan 5, 2024, 09:11 AM
Jan 2024

The American people will soon recognize the immense threat to democracy that lunatic poses and the polls will swing heavily in our favor, just watch. ZERO chance the ex-Nazi-in-Chief gets back into the oval, as long as we remain vigilant and take nothing for granted.

KS Toronado

(17,645 posts)
3. Wonder if Joe will ask to see his tax returns?
Fri Jan 5, 2024, 09:34 AM
Jan 2024

"Hey Тяцмp, I checked with the IRS they finished their audit"

NNadir

(33,621 posts)
5. It's a reasonable analysis.
Fri Jan 5, 2024, 10:39 AM
Jan 2024

It may or may not be accurate, but it's reasonable.

I don't put much credence in polls, particularly this early in the game.

As for late in the game, we were sure Hilliary Clinton could not lose to a racist buffoon, but the slave holder's artifact in the constitution, the electoral college, made us wake up to a nightmare in 2016.

The older I get, the less I'm impressed by soothsaying. We have a right wing media looking for click bait to sell advertisements. Trump's alleged support among African Americans and Latinos may be less reasonable than your estimate of Biden's strategy.

RedSpartan

(1,693 posts)
6. Here's the problem:
Fri Jan 5, 2024, 10:40 AM
Jan 2024

"Biden's weakness is among Blacks, Latinos and young people (18-34)."

That is a HUGE portion of the Democratic base, whose support pushed Biden to victory in 2020.
We have an uphill climb, and unfortunately I don't have much hope.
But I will still fight, campaign, and vote. Our nation literally depends on it.

JT45242

(2,360 posts)
8. Agreed Project 2025 is Rethugluican plan regardless of the candidate...look who paid for it
Fri Jan 5, 2024, 10:43 AM
Jan 2024

If ANY (R) wins the white house and they control the congress for the first time they will actually have a governing agenda -- which will be to undo everything since the Progressive era of the eraly 20th century and make a totalitarian government of patronage jobs to serve the billionaire oligarchy.

War Criminal DeSantis will do it. Haley will do it. PERIOD! Because the Thiels, Kochs, and other megadonors of the party paid for that plan.

If Liz Cheney some how sweeps into the convention to become the nominee if TFG is convicted and in prison or house arrest. She will enact it as well -- the only difference is that she will put competent people and throw out the MAGATs.

This MUST be an election that the (R) party goes all in on MAGA and is destroyed for it.

Pototan

(1,266 posts)
11. No kidding?
Fri Jan 5, 2024, 10:58 AM
Jan 2024

Every time I hear "it's all about turnout" it reminds me of the football coach who says, "we'll win if we score more points than the other team."

No kidding.

Butterflylady

(3,573 posts)
12. I don't believe that at all. Blacks, young people and Latino
Fri Jan 5, 2024, 11:43 AM
Jan 2024

Will not disappoint when they overwhelming vote for Biden. They know what's In store for them with a gop contender.
Biden will make sure of that.

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