Message auto-removed

[Name removed]

[malaise]

1. Huh?

That is all

[NJCher]

2. I'd say this is good news

Esp. since West and RFK Jr are factored in.

[NJCher]

4. yikes

I did indeed mis-read this.

[rso]

5. Polls

Swing State polls would be far more pertinent than national polls.

[rso]

10. Polls

Actually, the swing state polls have been mixed.

[Fiendish Thingy]

22. You're right

Any polls taken now have absolutely zero predictive value for next November.

Go back and look at the polls for Obama in fall 2011; he was losing to Rand Paul, Newt Gingrich, and Herman Cain.

[brush]

27. Yep. And with trump's legal problems and women still upset over him bragging...

about finally getting rid of Roe v Wade, these results can go right into the round file.

[shrike3]

7. Another newbie posting a "we're doomed" poll.

[Prairie Gates]

9. Ticket for one?

[Prairie Gates]

12. I love how

you're so brave, but also unorthodox, clear-sighted, and fearless.



Who's ignoring? I bought the ticket and I'm taking the ride, my dear.

[shrike3]

15. Someone fearless showed up? I didn't notice.

Everything s/he said has been brought up on DU, many times, in fact. And will be brought up again. You're new yourself, so maybe you didn't notice. Or maybe you're just here to eat popcorn.

Meanwhile, I'll be on the lookout for someone really fearless.

[shrike3]

14. You obviously have spent little to no time at all on DU.

Every one of your "points" has already been discussed, in great detail, in many other discussions. Try again.

Surprised you didn't mention the economy. That's usually a go-to. But I get that young voters and the plight of Palestinians is the new thing that's supposed to bring Biden down.

[AZSkiffyGeek]

13. Nailed the last poll with 0% error

2020:
Last poll: Biden +4
Result: Biden +2

Math is hard.

[shrike3]

17. Indeed it is.

[rso]

18. Polls

Not only that, but dems have been winning or over performing in elections since 2018, just last month proving polls wrong in several states. I’d rather win elections than do well in polls one year out, but that’s me. With this said, this poll, like all the others, should be taken into consideration by dem strategists to chart and fine-tune dem strategy going forward.

[getagrip_already]

16. You cant compare a "last poll" and one a year out

They simply don't relate.

All pollsters, even the crappy ones, will bring their poll results within the margin of error for their last polls. Watch, the polls will tighten as the election draws to a close. Happens every cycle, and the polls always end up being right at the last poll within their margin of error.

That way they can point back snd say they were right.

Go back and try again. This dog doesn't hunt. It's asleep on the porch.

[edhopper]

19. I have a hard time believing that independents

who went for Biden by 10% will now go to Trump by 13%.

[senseandsensibility]

20. So you're comparing last polls taken before an election

with polls taken a year out?

[Fiendish Thingy]

21. Apples to Oranges

Why would you compare their last polls before the 2016 and 2020 elections, with one 11 months away?

You’re new here, please don’t mistake us for a bunch of hysterical, easily manipulated rubes.

[SWBTATTReg]

23. Good for f**king them. For something to be really of an impact, it needs to be timely, not 1 year out.

These polls and those that publish them I think have some ulterior motives involved. Why else would they publish something so far out, and what is their purpose in doing this? The only thing I can think of is that they want to dampen a candidate's supporters.

Added: And remember what all of the naysayers were saying, that the democrats were going to lose seats in Congress galore, and doomsday was upon us. Nothing of the sort happened.

And FYI, I never do polls, since they're subject to manipulation so much.

[dpibel]

25. Check out "Not Sure"

On the "Overall" bar, check what percentage respond "not sure."

See if you can tell how that number relates to the Trump/Biden spread.

[GoneOffShore]

26. Welcome to DU - Mostly.

What do you want on your pizza?

[Sneederbunk]

28. Did they nail it a year out?

[dpibel]

29. Interesting source

When you click on the link you've provided, the first thing you see is a popup that includes the following totally nonhysterical language

Using these vague “policy violations,” Google is now threatening to demonetize us. It’s part of Big Tech’s effort to silence conservative voices.

Or how about the first sentence in their donations pitch?

Help us fight for honesty in journalism and against the tyranny of the left.

As they say: Welcome to DU!

[maptap22]

30. This is an online poll...

Online polls are garbage in my opinion.