Sherrod Brown(D-OH) won his last two US Senate Races by a 6 percent margin.

[nkpolitics1212]

Is he going to continue that trend for his 3rd US Senate Race in 2024?
Trump won OH in 2016 and 2020 by an 8 percent margin.

[sheshe2]

1. I believe he will.

💙💙💙

[dsc]

2. I doubt he will win by 6

but I do think he will win. Biden won't win Ohio, Obama did when Brown won in 2012 and 2018 was a non Presidential year, this time he will be on the ballot with a President of his party who will lose. I think he will win by maybe 3.

[OAITW r.2.0]

3. Not from the State, but I think he will benefit from the same voters that supported Issue 1.

I believe he did.

[BlueCheeseAgain]

4. He's had good luck so far.

His elections were in 2006, 2012, and 2018. Both 2006 and 2018 were Dem wave years, and 2012 was Obama's re-election, when Obama won Ohio.

This will be his toughest race yet.

[Midwestern Democrat]

5. While 2018 was a Dem wave year, it wasn't much of one for Democratic senators in red states.

Nelson went down in Florida; McCaskill went down in Missouri; Heitkamp went down in North Dakota; Donnelly went down in Indiana. Brown in Ohio, Tester in Montana, and Manchin in West Virginia survived - with Brown winning convincingly, while Tester barely cracked 50% and Manchin didn't quite crack 50%. I agree that this will be Brown's toughest race yet and don't know if he can continue to buck the GOP tilt of the state, but his performance in 2018 compared to other red state Democrats gives some hope.