Right on cue, the Atlantic tropical season is ramping up

[Cheezoholic]

Last edited Sat Aug 19, 2023, 06:00 AM - Edit history (1)

4 areas have decent chances over the next week. Anything in the GOM or western Caribbean will be especially concerning as those areas are over absolute rocket fuel hot water.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

[Tetrachloride]

1. Gulf of Mexico

[Liberal In Texas]

2. The one in the Gulf looks like a big nothing burger.

NOAA now says 0% chance of cyclone formation for the next 48 hours.

[Cheezoholic]

5. More of a post for awaremess

That graphic is probabilities out to 7 days. The wave referenced there isn't expected to develop (50%) until after it crosses South Fl. over the weekend and gets into the GOM.
Living next to the ocean for 30 years makes me a bit hyper sensitive lol. Not trying to falsely hype. It's been a rather "unremarkable" season so far and I usually post something as we enter peak season to non weather boards I'm on just to remind folks not paying much attention. I've seen some misleading posts like where's the storms and the usual El Nino means there will be no storms BS out there. Andrew was during an El Nino. It only takes one!

[2naSalit]

3. Surface water temps...

Are going to make those things roil up and get mean.

[getagrip_already]

4. None look like anything more than soakers right now....

Tropical tidbits discussed them tonight. Said the one in the gulf might hit the tx Mexico coast as a ts or depression, maybe, but not much more.

Of the other 3, only the western most one looks like it has a track to threaten land, but probably not as a strong storm.

But, anything can happen. Just not getting worked up quite yet.

[Cheezoholic]

6. No reason to get worked up

Wasn't trying to hype. Just was posting for awareness as we enter peak season. A lot of folks believe the El Nino means no storms BS.