Welcome to DU!
The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards.
Join the community:
Create a free account
Support DU (and get rid of ads!):
Become a Star Member
Latest Breaking News
General Discussion
The DU Lounge
All Forums
Issue Forums
Culture Forums
Alliance Forums
Region Forums
Support Forums
Help & Search
General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsBlue Va.: Polls Open Tuesday 6 am; Here Are Some Thoughts on the Senate Democratic Primaries
SD04 (Roanoke Valley): Trish White-Boyd vs. Luke Priddy vs. DA Pierce (Id say this one leans to White-Boyd due to her money advantage and name ID, plus the fact that women tend to do very well against men in Virginia Democratic primaries for General Assembly seats).D11 (Cville/Nelson/Amherst): Sen. Creigh Deeds vs. Del. Sally Hudson (Tossup. This one really comes down to the demographics of voters, including their average age, gender, etc. a younger, more diverse electorate helps Hudson and whether theyre disproportionately from Charlottesville/Albemarle or not the more theyre from the core blue areas, the better for Hudson)
SD13 (Henrico/Petersburg/Hopewell): Sen. Joe Morrissey vs. Del. Lashrecse Aird (Given her money advantage and endorsements, plus the fact that shes a woman and women tend to do very well against men in Virginia Democratic primaries for General Assembly seats and that Morrissey has received nothing but bad publicity the past few months, Aird is likely to win this one unless Republicans turn out in droves for Morrissey, but thats unlikely)
D14 (Richmond/Henrico): Sen. Lamont Bagby vs. Katie Gooch (Sen. Bagby is very likely if not 100% certain to win this one)
SD18 (Chesapeake/Portsmouth): Sen. Louise Lucas vs. Sen. Lionell Spruill (Tossup on this one, although my gut tells me that Lucas will eke it out)
SD21 (Norfolk): Del. Angelia Williams-Graves vs. Andria McClellan (Im thinking this one leans towards Williams-Graves, in part due to the fact that its a majority-minority district, Williams-Graves endorsements by former Gov. Ralph Northam and VA House Dems Leader Don Scott, etc.)
SD27 (Fredericksburg area): Joel Griffin vs. Ben Litchfield (Based on the fact that he has a huge cash advantage, Id say Griffin is favored here, unless Litchfields ground game can overcome that)
SD29 (Prince William/Stafford): Sen. Jeremy McPike vs. Del. Elizabeth Guzman (Theres been some leaked internal polling indicating that Guzman is leading, but take those with a grain of salt of course; a bigger factor is that this is a majority-minority district, including 25% Hispanic/Latino; plus women tend to do well against men in Virginia Democratic primaries for General Assembly, so Id guess this one is a tossup or even leans Guzman, as long as she manages to get her voters out, which can be easier said than done in odd/off-year elections like this one)
SD31 (Loudoun/Fauquier): Russet Perry vs. Zach Cummings (Strongly leans Perry due to her big cash advantage, as well as far more endorsements and the fact that women tend to do well against men in Virginia Democratic primaries for General Assembly)
SD32 (Loudoun): Del. Suhas Subramanyam vs. former Del. Ibraheem Samirah (Likely Subramanyam due to a big cash advantage, many more endorsements, etc.)
SD33 (Prince William/Fairfax): Former Del. Hala Ayala vs. former Del. Jennifer Carroll Foy (Likely Carroll Foy due in part to a big cash advantage)
SD35 (Fairfax): Sen. Dave Marsden vs. Heidi Drauschak (Drauschak has outraised Marsden, $770k to $188k, in 2023, plus women tend to beat men in Virginia Democratic primaries for General Assembly, but Marsden works very hard, has received some big endorsements Sen. Tim Kaine, Sen. Mark Warner, Rep. Gerry Connolly, etc. and supposedly has knocked on tons of doors in this district personally although so has Drauschak so tossup or maybe even leans Drauschak?)
SD36 (Fairfax): Sen. George Barker vs. Stella Pekarsky (Leans Pekarsky for a bunch of reasons, including: 1) the district is overwhelmingly new to Barker, while Pekarsky represents much of it on the Fairfax County School Board; 2) Pekarsky is competitive in terms of $$$; 3) women tend to beat men in Virginia Democratic primaries for General Assembly. On the other hand, Barker has been endorsed by many of his colleagues in the VA Senate, plus former Governors Northam and McAuliffe, so all of that will help him.)
SD37 (Fairfax/Falls Church): Sen. Chap Petersen vs. Saddam Salim (Leans Petersen due to his cash advantage, more than anything, plus the fact that hell get some Republicans voting for him although what percentage, its hard to say. But Salim still has a shot in this highly diverse district, much of which is new to Petersen)
SD40 (Arlington): Sen. Barbara Favola vs. James DeVita (100% safe for Favola, given massive advantages in name ID, endorsements, cash, etc.)
https://bluevirginia.us/2023/06/virginia-polls-open-tuesday-6-am-here-are-some-thoughts-ratings-on-the-senate-democratic-primaries
InfoView thread info, including edit history
TrashPut this thread in your Trash Can (My DU » Trash Can)
BookmarkAdd this thread to your Bookmarks (My DU » Bookmarks)
0 replies, 309 views
ShareGet links to this post and/or share on social media
AlertAlert this post for a rule violation
PowersThere are no powers you can use on this post
EditCannot edit other people's posts
ReplyReply to this post
EditCannot edit other people's posts
Rec (3)
ReplyReply to this post