What is the chance for the Nevada Senate seat?

[exboyfil]

A lot of vote outstanding but the Repug has the lead. I would love to go into the Georgia runoff at 50 and not 49 (it looks like WI is a loss).

[Claustrum]

1. Ralston thinks there might be enough outstanding votes to take the lead.

But everything has to line up well with the right ratio to take the lead. It will be close either way.

[angrychair]

2. I'd say 60% in favor of Dems

Of the vote outstanding, like Clark County, the vote is favoring Dems 2 to 1. Same with Washoe County (Reno).

[JohnSJ]

5. I hope so, and since no one is calling it, it appears your assessment is right on

[JohnSJ]

3. Who wouldn't. If we get Nevada, it would take so much pressure off us. I won't say anything

too negative, but I don't think the take over of the Nevada Democratic party by the DSA helped us very much in Nevada.

Nevada should have been an easy one for us with an incumbent, and the Reid machine in place, but I think what happened with the DSA situation, confused a lot of people

[Claustrum]

6. We've definitely been losing ground in NV in recent years.

I hope the democratic party there will do some research and find out what the problem is.

[honest.abe]

4. Ralston seems a bit optimistic.

From twitter (puke)..

Here's the math, folks:
If there are 100K mail ballots left in Clark, which would make sense based on turnout there, and the Dems win by the 2-to-1 margin they have so far, CCM could come back to win.