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Polybius

(15,592 posts)
Sat Oct 29, 2022, 01:00 PM Oct 2022

538 Senate forecast

538 has the Senate winning percentage 52-48 in our favor, which they classify as a dead heat. July 27th was the last time it was this low, while July 21st was the last time Republicans were in the lead. Our peak was 71%, from September 13th to 19th. Hovering over each state will tell you that state's candidate's chances of winning.

I personally don't agree with some, such as GA where they give Walker a 53% chance of winning. Others I think they have way too high, such as Lee winning in Utah (95%), and Vance in Ohio (78%).

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/?cid=rrpromo

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Indykatie

(3,702 posts)
1. Dems at 63% to Win Senate in 538's Polls Only Projection
Sat Oct 29, 2022, 01:40 PM
Oct 2022

You need to look at all 3 models that 538 uses for their projections.

Stuart G

(38,480 posts)
2. I think we will win in a landslide. Women will come out and vote for their right to have abortions.
Sat Oct 29, 2022, 01:48 PM
Oct 2022

That means voting for us. The Pukes don't have a clue. It is that simple.

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