General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums538 Senate forecast
538 has the Senate winning percentage 52-48 in our favor, which they classify as a dead heat. July 27th was the last time it was this low, while July 21st was the last time Republicans were in the lead. Our peak was 71%, from September 13th to 19th. Hovering over each state will tell you that state's candidate's chances of winning.
I personally don't agree with some, such as GA where they give Walker a 53% chance of winning. Others I think they have way too high, such as Lee winning in Utah (95%), and Vance in Ohio (78%).
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/?cid=rrpromo
Indykatie
(3,702 posts)You need to look at all 3 models that 538 uses for their projections.
Stuart G
(38,480 posts)That means voting for us. The Pukes don't have a clue. It is that simple.
Polybius
(15,592 posts)I couldn't find them.