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A HERETIC I AM

(24,389 posts)
Wed Sep 28, 2022, 02:09 AM Sep 2022

Ian Satellite loop from the NOAA website. WOW. (Updated with new image)

Last edited Wed Sep 28, 2022, 05:07 PM - Edit history (2)



https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/floater.php?stormid=AL092022#navLink

An explosion of T-storms over the south eastern coast, from Miami up through WPB early this morning spawned a Tornado that went through a GA Airport in Pembroke Pines;





I'm in Jacksonville and the Weather Channel app says winds no higher than about 27 MPH through Thursday, so once again, Jax may dodge a bullet.

I lived in Fort Myers from '06 though '09 and Port Charlotte for a couple years after that, so my thoughts are with those residents in Lee and Charlotte Counties tonight and tomorrow.

To all the fellow DU'ers in the path of this storm, stay safe.
13 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Ian Satellite loop from the NOAA website. WOW. (Updated with new image) (Original Post) A HERETIC I AM Sep 2022 OP
My niece and sister in law might have lucked out Historic NY Sep 2022 #1
Y'all be careful out there... ultralite001 Sep 2022 #2
Good grief, that is a nightmare. crickets Sep 2022 #3
Looks like it's having an eye-wall replacement.... SergeStorms Sep 2022 #4
Wow! Is right! Rhiannon12866 Sep 2022 #5
Yes, I saw that report on Cuba as well. A HERETIC I AM Sep 2022 #6
Well, I happen to know that he has three kids, so probably wants to wait until after Christmas Rhiannon12866 Sep 2022 #7
Ian Doppler from KTBW BumRushDaShow Sep 2022 #8
Will it blow over Florida and continue as a hurricane? kentuck Sep 2022 #9
It has strengthened Johnny2X2X Sep 2022 #10
FLA DU'ers. Please find a safe place! lindysalsagal Sep 2022 #11
This website has some live graphics of the storm. Swede Sep 2022 #12
Kicked for new image. A HERETIC I AM Sep 2022 #13

ultralite001

(895 posts)
2. Y'all be careful out there...
Wed Sep 28, 2022, 02:31 AM
Sep 2022

The minimum central pressure was 953 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 120 mph.

Still plenty of time for the wind up...


That is all...

SergeStorms

(19,208 posts)
4. Looks like it's having an eye-wall replacement....
Wed Sep 28, 2022, 03:49 AM
Sep 2022

which is not a good thing at this point. The storm will weaken slightly while this is going on, but the new eye-wall will intesify the hurricane right before landfall. It will probably have 12-16 hours to intensify over some very warm water.

Whatever happens is not going to be good. It's a massive, slow moving storm that will slow down even more after landfall.

I think it will make a right-hand turn into the Port Charlotte/Fort Myers area. Tampa/Sarasota will be spared a direct hit, but will still suffer extreme damage from water: both storm surge and rainfall, and 75 - 100 mph. winds.

That's my best guess anyway, but there will be enough widespread damage to keep people busy for the next 8 - 12 months. Depending on how many people evacuated, there will still be loss of life. Hopefully it's minimal, but people being people, it could reach 50 -100 souls lost.

Rhiannon12866

(207,768 posts)
5. Wow! Is right!
Wed Sep 28, 2022, 04:00 AM
Sep 2022

I ran into a former coworker today who said that he now spends winters in Florida. I said that I wouldn't recommend going now and he said they're waiting until January! And I also heard on the news that Cuba's entire power grid is down.

A HERETIC I AM

(24,389 posts)
6. Yes, I saw that report on Cuba as well.
Wed Sep 28, 2022, 04:06 AM
Sep 2022

Here's that story from Yahoo;

https://www.yahoo.com/news/cuba-dark-hurricane-knocks-power-040120806.html

If your friend is going to wait till January, that's pretty late in the season! For most of the "Snowbirds" the signal to head south is usually the first hard freeze! I've met people who say they pack up and come down the first time frost is on their grass up north!

Rhiannon12866

(207,768 posts)
7. Well, I happen to know that he has three kids, so probably wants to wait until after Christmas
Wed Sep 28, 2022, 04:18 AM
Sep 2022

But I also know another lady who's a longtime snowbird - and I worried about her a couple of years ago when Covid was raging there, so I'm betting that she's postponed her departure too.

And thanks for the news story - I cringed when I first heard it. My heart goes out to anyone currently in Ian's path. Here in the North, people talk about Sandy, but we only got horizontal rain from that, the one which devastated my part of Northeastern New York and nearby Vermont was Hurricane Irene. And it was more than longtime power outages, there was a lot of destruction and some loss of life.

Johnny2X2X

(19,416 posts)
10. It has strengthened
Wed Sep 28, 2022, 08:26 AM
Sep 2022

Sustained wins of 155 mph as of a couple hours ago, 2 mph away from CAT 5.

This is going to be really bad.

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