Let's talk about what they had to do to get that search warrant, what it means, and what we'll be ab

[IcyPeas]

Okay. Seems solid that the FBI searched Mar-A-Lago, based on multiple sources, including a very angry shouty man who is liveblogging it.

Let's talk about what they had to do to get that search warrant, what it means, and what we'll be able to find out about the investigation. /1

Here's this entire thread:
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1556777965937037312.html

Link to tweet

[dalton99a]

1. It is fair to assume the info was scrutinized by higher-ups

"Are you sure about this? ARE YOU SURE? How do you know?" etc. etc.

[Ohio Joe]

2. It would not be an easy ask of any judge...

I have a lot of trouble seeing any judge signing it unless it was solid.

[bucolic_frolic]

3. Any campaign cash?

Hope they look in any suitcases.

[Corgigal]

4. I'm going with a national security issue,

The Saudi’s, and Jared Kushner with 2 billion dollars.

[royable]

5. Kushber with the bone saw in the conservatory. n/t

[Grasswire2]

6. Harry Litman says it had to be approved at least with Lisa Monaco level. nt

[Johnny2X2X]

7. There has to be a ton to go on

This has to be more than just classified documents. They had to know he was selling it. Just my opinion.

[Tickle]

8. They came after the

15 boxes he stole at the wh

He should have returned them months ago. He created this environment

[Hermit-The-Prog]

9. Thanks for the threadreaderapp link. I have confidence in Popehat's analysis.

[GusBob]

10. #s 17 and 19 are huge

They have to be sure what is specified in the warrant is there

[IcyPeas]

12. Yes, they have to be pretty sure there is evidence there NOW....

/17 The other thing about searching for misappropriated documents is the lapse of time from 1/20/21 until now. One thing federal magistrates tend to scrutinize is "what's the evidence that these items are at the location NOW." So they'd have to have some fresh intel.

/19 The more I think about it, the more I suspect recent, highly actionable intelligence, possibly from a cooperator, drove this and its timing. The need for freshness -- proof that the evidence is there NOW -- is key.

[Hermit-The-Prog]

11. This part is interesting ...

/12 But we'll only know that if someone leaks the warrant form, or, hypothetically, if someone emotionally unregulated releases it and starts shouting at Tucker Carlson about its contents. Hypothetically.

/13 Anyway, the warrant his hugely, historically significant. The feds do not seek search warrants lightly. It's a very major commitment to the case, an indication that they believe they have evidence that they think may well lead to indictment.

/14 A search doesn't ensure they will charge Trump -- or anyone --but it suggests they've found the political will to do so if necessary and overcome any policy or legal theory reasons not to move forward.

The very unlikely (Trump being charged) has become fully plausible.