New GEORGIA POLL: Presidential Race TIED Among Early Voters

[Segami]

Is the once bright red state of Georgia trending blue? According to recent polling and voter registration statistics, the answer is yes.



According to a just-released 20/20 Insight survey for Better Georgia, among people who say they have already voted, the race for President is a statistical tie. The survey, conducted October 30-31, asked voters their opinions in the election for President, 12th District Congressman (Rep. John Barrow (D) vs. Lee Anderson (R)), and other key state-level races and ballot issues. According to Georgia Secretary of State Brian Kemp (R), this year, for the first time in history, white voters will comprise less that 60% of active, registered voters in Georgia. A more diverse electorate tends to be more progressive, as illustrated in the results of the survey released today.

http://bettergeorgia.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/SurveyNovember2012.pdf


http://blogs.ajc.com/political-insider-jim-galloway/2012/10/30/white-voter-registration-in-ga-dips-below-60-percent/






Here’s a snapshot of other results:

PRESIDENT

Despite a minimal investment in Georgia from either campaign, President Obama appears to be positioned to exceed expectations in the Peach State on election day. For President, 52 percent of respondents supported Mitt Romney (R), 46 percent supported Barack Obama (D) and 2 percent were either undecided or planned to vote for another candidate. Among people who say they have already voted, the race for President is a statistical tie – Barack Obama gets 49 percent and Mitt Romney gets 50 percent. (1,316 Likely Voters, Margin of Error 2.7%)




12th DISTRICT CONGRESSMAN


Among those surveyed, Rep. John Barrow, the last white Democratic Congressman in the Deep South, is leading his Republican challenger, Lee Anderson. 50 percent of respondents supported Barrow (D), while 44 percent supported Anderson (R), and 6 percent were undecided. Barrow is leading by 6 percentage points in a district that Obama is losing by 11 percentage points. (450 Likely Voters, Margin of Error 4.6 percent)




REPRODUCTIVE CHOICE


The majority of respondents, 52 percent, agreed that abortion is a choice that usually should be left to the pregnant woman to decide. Fully 90% of respondents agreed that there were some circumstances where abortion should be allowed. Only 6% believed abortion should never be permitted. Obviously, this does not bode well for the chances of getting Georgia voters to support the promised “personhood amendment” and shows that the Republican majority is out of touch with the electorate on this bellwether issue. (1,316 Likely Voters, Margin of Error 2.7%)

What does this mean going forward? While Mitt Romney will carry the state on Tuesday, the Republicans who now occupy every stateside office in Georgia should not bolt their furniture to the floor just yet. Georgia progressives are rapidly building the infrastructure needed to take advantage of Georgia’s emerging progressive electorate. There is work to do, no doubt, but in the not-too-distant future, signs point to a Georgia that is not red or purple, but instead, bright blue.

http://www.politicususa.com/georgia-poll-presidential-race-tied-early-voters.html


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[Iris]

1. I had my suspisions about the 2008 vote

This makes them even stronger.

[AlinPA]

2. Encouraging for future elections in GA.

[BlueToTheBone]

3. To pick up a House seat in Georgia

would be incredible.

[Segami]

5. On election night...

If Georgia is somehow "too close to call", its a pretty bad sign for Romney, meaning that he could be in trouble in North Carolina, which is a state pretty much everyone believes that he has a fairly solid three to five point lead in. If it's called right at the closing, its a good sign.

http://www.redracinghorses.com/diary/2670/early-election-night-clues-about-the-presidential-race

[Kber]

4. Both GA ans SC will be"official" battle ground states by 2020, if not 2016.

[LondonReign2]

7. Yup, probably a couple of cycles away

from becoming a true swing state, but defintiely trending in the correct direction. It will be amazing to see when the entire East Coast is reliably blue

[rbrnmw]

6. I lived in South Carolina for many years

I just recently moved back to my native Ohio. There is an undercurrent there that I believe will change the demographics a bit more blue in the next few election cycles. They know Joe Wilson and Jim DeMint are crazy and say what you will about the very suspicious Senate primaries of 2010 There were shenanigans and Vic Rawl was a respected man who could have beaten DeMint instead we got Alvin Greene from out of nowhere and it's still never been properly investigated.

[bluestateguy]

8. To me this is about making a respectable showing so we can make a real race out of GA in 2016

Many Yankee transplants in Georgia could make it like North Carolina---next time.

[aikoaiko]

9. Democratic Georgians have been working hard, really hard.

Kudos to my fellow Georgia Obama voters, Democratic politicians and volunteers for the good side.