16 Primaries To Watch In Iowa, Mississippi, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico and South Dakota
On Monday we ran through the 20 key races to watch in California today, but now we’re back with a preview of 16 key races in the six other states holding primaries today. And the big races headed into tonight are high-profile Republican primaries that could affect the GOP’s chances in a number of competitive House seats. Additionally, a number of incumbents from both parties face primary challenges in deep blue or red seats, and Democrats have a competitive Senate primary in Iowa.
So let’s dig into the interesting primaries in Iowa, Mississippi, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico and South Dakota, starting with the states whose polls close earliest today. And make sure to join us at 7:30 p.m. Eastern for our live blog of the results!
New Jersey
Races to watch: 3rd Congressional District, 4th Congressional District, 5th Congressional District, 7th Congressional District, 8th Congressional District, 10th Congressional District, 11th Congressional District
Polls close: 8 p.m. Eastern
When the tiebreaker on New Jersey’s redistricting commission chose the Democrats’ congressional map in December 2021, the new lines boosted the survival chances for three of the state’s four vulnerable Democratic House incumbents. But the odd-man out was Democratic Rep. Tom Malinowski, whose 7th District in the affluent suburbs west of Newark shifted from D+4 to R+3, according to FiveThirtyEight’s partisan lean metric.1 Even before redistricting, though, Malinowski was already in danger, having barely survived the 2020 general election. He’s also attracted scrutiny since then for failing to disclose hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of stock transactions. Tom Kean Jr., a former state Senate Minority Leader and Malinowski’s 2020 opponent, is now seeking a rematch, and he’s favored to win the Republican primary.
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https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/16-primaries-to-watch-in-iowa-mississippi-montana-new-jersey-new-mexico-and-south-dakota/
