Ukrainian Army Is On The Attack

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The Ukrainian Army Is On The Attack. This Is How The War With Russia Could End.

The Ukrainian army reportedly has gone on the offensive in the country’s war-torn east. For the faltering Russian war effort, this is very, very bad news.

Ukrainian formations—apparently including the battle-hardened 92nd and 93rd Mechanized Brigades—in recent days began pushing north and east from Kharkiv, in northeastern Ukraine just 25 miles from the Russia-Ukraine border. Russian troops retreated east across the Donets River, blowing up bridges behind them as they fled toward the border.

The Russian army is advancing, too—seizing a few villages along the axis running southwest through Izium, 60 miles south of Kharkiv.

But the Izium offensive might be a prelude to disaster for the Russians. Ten weeks into Russia’s wider war on Ukraine, the Russian army is exhausted. Its best battalions are shattered. A dozen of its top commanders are claimed by the Ukrainians to be dead. Tens of thousands of Russian and allied troops have been killed, wounded or captured.

All that is to say, the Russian advance is fragile. And it might get more fragile as the Russians keep pushing past Izium, thinning out their forces and stretching their supply lines. For the Ukrainians, that’s an opportunity. A potentially war-winning one.

If the Ukrainian brigades currently pushing north and east from Kharkiv can consolidate their gains and turn south, they might be able to sever the logistical tail of the Russian army around Izium. That maneuver could encircle many of Moscow’s best remaining battalions.

Full Article: https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2022/05/05/an-advancing-ukrainian-army-just-showed-us-how-the-war-with-russia-could-end/?sh=2924886143c5

[GoldandSilver]

1. Armchair generals....

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2. Makes KBG Putin look weak.

His days may be numbered.

[modrepub]

3. All Wars Are Wars of Attrition

The longer this drags out, the more dire the situation becomes for the Russian Army. While they are loosing men and materials, the Ukraine army continues to get western weapons and supplies. At some point, if Ukraine can maintain the will to fight and develop more offensive capabilities, the tables will flip. Russia's best chance for victory disappeared early in the war. At some point they are going to have to face a reality they will not like.

Saying that, I'll add there are no winners in war only shades of losing.