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JT45242

(2,267 posts)
Fri Apr 15, 2022, 02:14 PM Apr 2022

Suggestions for first primaries

I'll start by saying the state must be big enough to have at least 9 electoral votes -- less than that is too small and likely not as representative of the country as a whole. I would also lop off CA, NY, and TX because we will win CA and NY with any competent democratic candidate in the general. TX is too large to go first from a geography stand point. Missouri, Alabama, Tennessee and Indiana will go to a dead Republican over any Democrat so they can be eliminated. Eliminate states that are more than 75% white (national average is 61.6%) so that eliminates Ohio, MN, WI. So anything not bolded is a possibility based on my quick criteria as someone who has lived mostly in Ohio and Iowa.

California 55
Texas 38

New York 29
Florida 29
Pennsylvania 20
Illinois 20
Ohio 18
Michigan 16
Georgia 16
North Carolina 15
New Jersey 14
Virginia 13
Washington 12
Tennessee 11
Massachusetts 11
Indiana 11
Arizona 11
Wisconsin 10
Missouri 10
Minnesota 10
Maryland 10
South Carolina 9
Colorado 9
Alabama 9

There is a list of 'swingy' states with a large and diverse enough population to go first. Ideally, there would be several that all go on the same day in different parts of the country.

Using tiny and virtually all white Iowa (84.5%) that votes normally for (R) candidates like Grassley or NH (88.3% white) that always votes for (D) is not helping us getting a candidate that appeals across the country. Just imagine if Joe Biden did not have enough money to make it to SC.

Just one man's ramblings on how to pick the best candidate for the general election rather than some tradition that makes the Iowa State fair an important political stump for Democrats

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Suggestions for first primaries (Original Post) JT45242 Apr 2022 OP
Another idea... Thunderbeast Apr 2022 #1

Thunderbeast

(3,406 posts)
1. Another idea...
Fri Apr 15, 2022, 02:29 PM
Apr 2022

Five regional primaries two weeks apart. First sequence determined by lot, with sequence starting on a rotating basis for each presidential election cycle.

No state should "self select" to be advantaged in selecting the President. The rationalizations used to justify the importance of Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina use tortured logic to make us believe that these conservative voters are somehow inherently more capable to select a candidate.



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