Soooo....will this FINALLY move the polls strongly into our favor?

[ProudToBeBlueInRhody]

Or do you expect more of the 47-47 bullshit?

[reformist2]

1. I expect a small bump, followed by a steadily growing gap to election day.

I'm still going with a 53/47 split in the popular vote come November 6.

[Kalidurga]

3. Same split I was thinking...

As near as I can tell after eliminating outliers Obama is ahead by 2-3 points in the popular vote. He is ahead by that margin or higher in all the swing states except 2 I believe. I think he will gain at least 3 pts with this debate.

[CCJORDAN]

2. Help for Obama

The last debate rocked and so does this,
check this out!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

&feature=youtu.be

[yellowcanine]

4. I don't know about strongly but I expect to see Obama's leads in battleground states to solidify a

bit. And I expect several of the true tossup states to move into his column. I suspect he helped himself in Virginia, Florida and Colorado, for example.

[Egalitarian Thug]

5. Is there something confusing about the fact that there's at least $500,000,000 left unspent in

this campaign? Mitt could rape a nun and then eat a puppy on live TV and the pollsters, consultants, pundits, and the media would all report that the race is still too close to call.

[Tagart Wales]

6. Where did you get the...

half billion $ number from? This is no where near what I have read what each campaign has cash on hand. Obama did good tonight, but it is hard to say what the daily poll tracking will do especially since this debate conflicted with football and baseball coverage. More women watching the debate than men?

[krawhitham]

9. True, because it is all about raitings. Close race = ratings

They are in the bag for ratings not rMoney

[phasma ex machina]

7. The polls were always in our favor since the beginning.

Obama's ahead in four of the big six states: New York, California, Pennsylvania, and Ohio.

Myth's ahead in the remaining two of the big six: Texas and Florida.

The rest of the states only matter when candidates evenly split the big six.

The irrelevance of the other fourty-four states is a crying shame, but polls in Timbuktu don't matter, the big six DO matter.

Mass media uses polls to try to promote elections as an exciting horse race.

[spanone]

8. horse race-horse race-horse race-horse race-horse race-horse race-horse race-horse race-horse race-h

[AndyTiedye]

13. They Want the Horse's Ass to 'Win' the Race

Talking up the Gallup poll that has Mittens way ahead, while all the others say 'tied' kind of gives it away.

[JI7]

10. doesn't matter, the Media will take even that 1 poll which claims it's close or Romney leading

and run with that one.

[kelly1mm]

11. Honestly????? I don't think so. Most of the undecided voters are low information voters

(or else they would not be undecided with the differences in the candidates) and the reason Romney got a bounce from the 1st debate was that 1) the President was off his game, and 2) Romney reanimated the 'moderate Romney' which was a stark contrast to what ads they had been seeing on the TV between episodes of The Voice. In tonights debate, Romney tried to again make himself moderate on FP issues, trying to deflect the charges that he is a warmonger/GW Bush II. I did not see anything that either side said/did that would make former 'decided' voters switch to the other candidate so, unfortunately, it is back to the 4-6% of the low information voters that we are fighting for.

So, while I think the President won the debate easily, Romney's "me too" approach makes it a little difficult to portray his ideas on FP as out there in lala land. I think Romney was somewhat effective in hammering his economic message again, which may be enough sway some undecideds.

Just my opinion.

[Pbs1914]

17. Only thing

I kept wishing for was for Obama to repeat a few times, and with emphasis, that 17 out of 22 foreign policy advisors for Romney were also advisors to GWB. That would have taken off the moderation veil and reveiled Romney to be the true extremist that he is.

[tarheelsunc]

12. The only roadblock in the road to reelection now is Trump

[Adenoid_Hynkel]

15. and I think that will backfire on Romney

anything that dipshit comes up with will be discredited within 15 minutes

[Quixote1818]

14. A one or two point jump for Obama. It will then level off near where it was today. Obama wins

taking Ohio by 3, Iowa by 4, Colorado by 3, Nevada by 4, Wisconsin by 3, and losing Virginia, Florida and N. Carolina.

Thats my guess though Virgina and Florida could end up in Obama's column if everything comes together. If so it would be by around a point in each state.

By the way, I predicted Obama to get the Dem nomination early and I posted McCain would come back and win and everyone said I was nuts. So, have a pretty good track record when it comes to predictions.

[ibegurpard]

16. the polls are not going to move strongly in our favor.

get over that notion and convince everyone you can to vote.

[CCJORDAN]

18. Getting the word out

That would be awesome but I am having trouble getting the work out there, DU won't let me post my own thread yet because I am new. Can you post a thread about the work and the link to it if possible:

&feature=youtu.be