Forbes: Texas Gov. Abbott Leads Beto O'Rourke By Just 1 Point In Potential Matchup, Poll Suggests

[onetexan]

https://www.forbes.com/sites/nicholasreimann/2021/11/01/texas-gov-abbott-leads-beto-orourke-by-just-1-point-in-potential-matchup-poll-suggests/?sh=1eb799b95515

https://www.forbes.com/video/6279810682001/new-poll-shows-bad-news-for-gov-greg-abbott-in-texas-governors-race/?sh=6cc70ca337f4


Well THIS is now setting up the TX Gov's race to be VERY INTERESTING!!!

[jimfields33]

1. These polls drive me crazy

I was sure Beto was going to win against cruz. All the polls showed it. But alas not even that close.

[ColinC]

3. I don't think he ever broke 50% in the polls

But still came within 2% on election day. He did better than any Democrat was expected to do. And the same will happen with Abbott. Doesn't mean he will win, but he is reminding the republican party that they don't alhave a free pass in Texas anymore.

[Torchlight]

8. Can you refer us to these polls? I followed that election closely

and never saw any polling data that showed O'Rourke in front, let alone to the amount that "all polls showed it".

Thanks in advance!

[jimfields33]

10. Here's a sampling

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.houstonpublicmedia.org/articles/news/politics/2018/09/19/304748/one-poll-shows-cruz-beating-orourke-and-another-indicates-the-democrat-would-win/amp/

[jimfields33]

11. Another

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.texastribune.org/2018/09/19/beto-orourke-leads-cruz-new-poll-texas-senate-race/amp/

[Torchlight]

14. And two polls lead you to assert "almost all polls"?

[jimfields33]

21. I'm not doing more examples. I gave you two out of many

Google is very easy. I did the work for you. But you can take over and find others.

[Torchlight]

22. Of course.

'almost all'

[jimfields33]

23. Glad I could help you. I take that as a thank you.

[Torchlight]

24. No. Not really.

The phrase 'almost all' was never given any substantiation, so until given any, I'll see it as an empty assertion.

[jimfields33]

25. Says you. Please just be appreciative of the hard work I did for you.

Appreciation goes a long way. Have a great day! I feel freaking great helping out a fellow DUer. You made my day!

[Torchlight]

26. Anecdotal evidence is not data

But to save time, I'll go with your insistence 'almost all polls' said O'Rourke was ahead as just another thing someone says.

[BannonsLiver]

12. I'm keeping my expectations low.

Not because of any past polling but because it’s Texas and there’s still more than enough Trump style knuckle draggers there to give Abbott the win.

[jimfields33]

13. Sadly you are right. Frustrating.

[Drunken Irishman]

28. Most polls did not show this. In fact, Beto outperformed the polls.

The final average had him losing by seven. He lost by just three:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/tx/texas_senate_cruz_vs_orourke-6310.html

[Elessar Zappa]

29. False.

[ColinC]

2. Despite the gun thing, I do think O Rourke will do the best against Abbott

Than any democrat against any sitting republican in the last few decades. I don't know that he would win, but he would certainly do very well.

[In It to Win It]

4. I agree

I hope that he can gin the same energy that his 2018 campaign did. Ted Cruz barely eeked out that victory.

Beto made his campaign about Texas, and he didn't need to bring up Trump at all. His opponent was the boogeyman. That's the kinda campaign we need. It's still gonna be an uphill battle but Beto's the best shot.

[onetexan]

6. +1 K&R

[pandr32]

5. Go Beto!!!

[Metaphorical]

7. This would certainly be payback for Virginia :-)

I think if anyone has a chance against Abbott, Beto does.

[JustAnotherGen]

9. Voting Rights Act has to pass

It's that simple.

And without any 1877 compromise type of agreements.

[ananda]

15. Last week Abbott was ahead by 8, and I thought...

Beto's stance on guns was going to lose the election
for him.

I was thinking McConaughey would be better than
Abbott.

It's Texas, y'all.

[onetexan]

16. mcconaughey has no governing experience, not to mention he was a conservative

we have no idea what he's running as. I hope he meant it when he said if Beto runs that he w back out.

[jcgoldie]

17. McConaughey would run as a narcissist who knows nothing about politics

Seems like a frighteningly familiar scenario.

[LeftInTX]

18. Neither McConoughey nor Beto are running at this time.

[jcgoldie]

19. edited

.

[ananda]

27. I'm just saying McC would be better than Abbott.

Beto would be better than both of them... but I'm
worried that his stance on guns will cost him the
election.

It's Texas.

[LeftInTX]

20. Beto is not running yet...

I hate these polls because Beto is not running....

He absolutely MUST file before Dec 13th.

[tritsofme]

30. Based on my liking of the result, I find this poll to be credible!

/DU