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Mon Nov 8, 2021, 12:57 PM

Forbes: Texas Gov. Abbott Leads Beto O'Rourke By Just 1 Point In Potential Matchup, Poll Suggests

https://www.forbes.com/sites/nicholasreimann/2021/11/01/texas-gov-abbott-leads-beto-orourke-by-just-1-point-in-potential-matchup-poll-suggests/?sh=1eb799b95515

https://www.forbes.com/video/6279810682001/new-poll-shows-bad-news-for-gov-greg-abbott-in-texas-governors-race/?sh=6cc70ca337f4


Well THIS is now setting up the TX Gov's race to be VERY INTERESTING!!!

30 replies, 953 views

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Reply Forbes: Texas Gov. Abbott Leads Beto O'Rourke By Just 1 Point In Potential Matchup, Poll Suggests (Original post)
onetexan Nov 2021 OP
jimfields33 Nov 2021 #1
ColinC Nov 2021 #3
Torchlight Nov 2021 #8
jimfields33 Nov 2021 #10
jimfields33 Nov 2021 #11
Torchlight Nov 2021 #14
jimfields33 Nov 2021 #21
Torchlight Nov 2021 #22
jimfields33 Nov 2021 #23
Torchlight Nov 2021 #24
jimfields33 Nov 2021 #25
Torchlight Nov 2021 #26
BannonsLiver Nov 2021 #12
jimfields33 Nov 2021 #13
Drunken Irishman Nov 2021 #28
Elessar Zappa Nov 2021 #29
ColinC Nov 2021 #2
In It to Win It Nov 2021 #4
onetexan Nov 2021 #6
pandr32 Nov 2021 #5
Metaphorical Nov 2021 #7
JustAnotherGen Nov 2021 #9
ananda Nov 2021 #15
onetexan Nov 2021 #16
jcgoldie Nov 2021 #17
LeftInTX Nov 2021 #18
jcgoldie Nov 2021 #19
ananda Nov 2021 #27
LeftInTX Nov 2021 #20
tritsofme Nov 2021 #30

Response to onetexan (Original post)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 12:58 PM

1. These polls drive me crazy

I was sure Beto was going to win against cruz. All the polls showed it. But alas not even that close.

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Response to jimfields33 (Reply #1)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 01:01 PM

3. I don't think he ever broke 50% in the polls

But still came within 2% on election day. He did better than any Democrat was expected to do. And the same will happen with Abbott. Doesn't mean he will win, but he is reminding the republican party that they don't alhave a free pass in Texas anymore.

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Response to jimfields33 (Reply #1)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 01:55 PM

8. Can you refer us to these polls? I followed that election closely

and never saw any polling data that showed O'Rourke in front, let alone to the amount that "all polls showed it".

Thanks in advance!

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Response to jimfields33 (Reply #11)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 02:36 PM

14. And two polls lead you to assert "almost all polls"?

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Response to Torchlight (Reply #14)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 03:32 PM

21. I'm not doing more examples. I gave you two out of many

Google is very easy. I did the work for you. But you can take over and find others.

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Response to jimfields33 (Reply #21)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 03:34 PM

22. Of course.

'almost all'

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Response to Torchlight (Reply #22)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 03:36 PM

23. Glad I could help you. I take that as a thank you.

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Response to jimfields33 (Reply #23)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 03:36 PM

24. No. Not really.

The phrase 'almost all' was never given any substantiation, so until given any, I'll see it as an empty assertion.

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Response to Torchlight (Reply #24)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 03:38 PM

25. Says you. Please just be appreciative of the hard work I did for you.

Appreciation goes a long way. Have a great day! I feel freaking great helping out a fellow DUer. You made my day!

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Response to jimfields33 (Reply #25)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 03:43 PM

26. Anecdotal evidence is not data

But to save time, I'll go with your insistence 'almost all polls' said O'Rourke was ahead as just another thing someone says.

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Response to jimfields33 (Reply #1)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 02:24 PM

12. I'm keeping my expectations low.

Not because of any past polling but because itís Texas and thereís still more than enough Trump style knuckle draggers there to give Abbott the win.

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Response to BannonsLiver (Reply #12)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 02:25 PM

13. Sadly you are right. Frustrating.

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Response to jimfields33 (Reply #1)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 04:33 PM

28. Most polls did not show this. In fact, Beto outperformed the polls.

 

The final average had him losing by seven. He lost by just three:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/tx/texas_senate_cruz_vs_orourke-6310.html

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Response to jimfields33 (Reply #1)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 04:35 PM

29. False.

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Response to onetexan (Original post)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 12:59 PM

2. Despite the gun thing, I do think O Rourke will do the best against Abbott

Than any democrat against any sitting republican in the last few decades. I don't know that he would win, but he would certainly do very well.

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Response to ColinC (Reply #2)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 01:06 PM

4. I agree

I hope that he can gin the same energy that his 2018 campaign did. Ted Cruz barely eeked out that victory.

Beto made his campaign about Texas, and he didn't need to bring up Trump at all. His opponent was the boogeyman. That's the kinda campaign we need. It's still gonna be an uphill battle but Beto's the best shot.

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Response to In It to Win It (Reply #4)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 01:22 PM

6. +1 K&R

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Response to onetexan (Original post)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 01:17 PM

5. Go Beto!!!

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Response to onetexan (Original post)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 01:52 PM

7. This would certainly be payback for Virginia :-)

I think if anyone has a chance against Abbott, Beto does.

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Response to onetexan (Original post)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 01:59 PM

9. Voting Rights Act has to pass

It's that simple.

And without any 1877 compromise type of agreements.

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Response to onetexan (Original post)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 02:37 PM

15. Last week Abbott was ahead by 8, and I thought...

Beto's stance on guns was going to lose the election
for him.

I was thinking McConaughey would be better than
Abbott.

It's Texas, y'all.

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Response to ananda (Reply #15)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 03:06 PM

16. mcconaughey has no governing experience, not to mention he was a conservative

we have no idea what he's running as. I hope he meant it when he said if Beto runs that he w back out.

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Response to onetexan (Reply #16)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 03:09 PM

17. McConaughey would run as a narcissist who knows nothing about politics

Seems like a frighteningly familiar scenario.

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Response to jcgoldie (Reply #17)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 03:17 PM

18. Neither McConoughey nor Beto are running at this time.

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Response to LeftInTX (Reply #18)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 03:18 PM

19. edited

.

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Response to onetexan (Reply #16)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 04:31 PM

27. I'm just saying McC would be better than Abbott.

Beto would be better than both of them... but I'm
worried that his stance on guns will cost him the
election.

It's Texas.

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Response to onetexan (Original post)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 03:20 PM

20. Beto is not running yet...

I hate these polls because Beto is not running....

He absolutely MUST file before Dec 13th.

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Response to onetexan (Original post)

Mon Nov 8, 2021, 04:37 PM

30. Based on my liking of the result, I find this poll to be credible!

/DU

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