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albacore

(2,412 posts)
Tue Apr 6, 2021, 02:56 PM Apr 2021

Mini-rant... 538 has Biden at 53.6% approval.... 39.6% disapproval....

Fucking Rasmussen has 47% approval... 51% disapproval.

A Marist/NPR poll shows 84% of Repubs disapprove of the job Biden is doing.

WTAF is wrong with people? (That's a rhetorical question...I KNOW what's wrong with those people.)

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Mini-rant... 538 has Biden at 53.6% approval.... 39.6% disapproval.... (Original Post) albacore Apr 2021 OP
ignore, elleng Apr 2021 #1
I hate it when people say xx% of republicans ... anything. getagrip_already Apr 2021 #2
Pollsters like 538 have a major problem..they are no longer accurate PortTack Apr 2021 #3
I disagree that this is proven Hugh_Lebowski Apr 2021 #4
Well, from what I know the 40% who disapprove are about the percentage of the reTHUG abqtommy Apr 2021 #5

getagrip_already

(15,134 posts)
2. I hate it when people say xx% of republicans ... anything.
Tue Apr 6, 2021, 03:04 PM
Apr 2021

Look, registered republicans were only 24% of all registered voters before the last election, and they have been bleeding support since jan 6th. People are only leaving the party. Plus, a lot of those left are only-trump voters, and won't show up to vote for anyone else.

So even at the 24% number, 86% of those is only 20% of registered voters.

And 538 is just an aggregator of polls. The real question is why does he continue to weight rasmussen and other putrid pollsters like gallup in the poll averages at all?

PortTack

(32,850 posts)
3. Pollsters like 538 have a major problem..they are no longer accurate
Tue Apr 6, 2021, 03:07 PM
Apr 2021

The last 3 election cycles prove that

 

Hugh_Lebowski

(33,643 posts)
4. I disagree that this is proven
Tue Apr 6, 2021, 03:25 PM
Apr 2021

Furthermore, 'approval' polls are inherently different (and more likely accurate) from predicting election results, because you are just measuring 'how someone answered' as opposed to relying on people 'following through with something' ... such as 'actually voting' rather than just 'being likely to vote'.

Final 538 odds of Hillary winning the morning of the 2016 election was about 7-3 odds. That absolutely does mean their polling was inaccurate because she didn't win. Things with 30% chance of happening ... obviously can happen.

This is especially so given that the election was decided basically on a mere 80K votes over 3 states.

abqtommy

(14,118 posts)
5. Well, from what I know the 40% who disapprove are about the percentage of the reTHUG
Tue Apr 6, 2021, 04:20 PM
Apr 2021

fascist insurrectionist base. Of course it appears that many of them are under indictment,
have been arrested and will soon be serving time. Buh bye!

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