Exclusive: Fresh data reveal how Trump made inroads with Latinos

[DonViejo]

Jonathan Swan

A new analysis of U.S. voters suggests — counterintuitively — that the coronavirus pandemic may have helped drive former President Donald Trump's surprising increase in support from Latinos last November.

The big picture: By shifting Trump's rhetoric from immigration to fears around the economic impact of shutdowns, the virus gave conservative and low-information Latino voters a permission structure to back Trump even if they shunned him in 2016, according to preliminary findings by research firm Equis that were reviewed by Axios.

Some of these voters favor "the wall" and restrictive immigration policies, but drew a line at Trump's 2016 reference to Mexican immigrants as "rapists" or kids in cages and separating children from their parents, researchers said.

Some feared economic damage from school and business closures more than getting sick.

more
https://www.axios.com/trump-data-latino-support-49a0f0ed-b244-4b27-86b3-ee022e21f8c1.html

[Scrivener7]

1. Latino people are often devout Catholics, thus conservative in their hearts. We need to

be VERY present in Latino media and communities and constantly showing how Democrats are the moral choice. We need to also be constantly demonstrating how republiQans are actually the farthest thing from conservative, they are actually quite radical and in favor of overturning Democracy.

[speak easy]

2. Yeah, and Biden is a devout Catholic.

No sale.

[Scrivener7]

3. How do you mean? Are you saying they are already unreachable? I don't believe that's true.

[speak easy]

4. No I am saying that if religion was a big deal,

why would they be less likely to vote for a devout Catholic than HRC?

[Scrivener7]

5. I'm not saying that religion is a big deal. I'm saying that conservativism is a big deal.

That's small "c" conservativism, and many Catholics by definition tend toward conservative. And conservative people often believe the propaganda that republiQans are the more conservative party. We need to begin to fight that notion, because it is patently untrue.

RepubliQans are are good at this kind of spreading of lies. For example, it seems that the republiQans were able to exploit the loathing for socialism in Venezuelan communities by saying the Democrats want to usher in socialism.

If we are losing Latino votes, there could be no clearer indication that we are not doing good enough messaging in those communities (and keeping in mind there is no Latino bloc, there are many different source nationalities and motivations, we are not distinguishing those communities sufficiently)

I think the one thing you can say about "the Latino community" as a whole is that republiQans do not wish them well and do not want to see them thrive. We need to make that message clear and relentless.

This is an enormous number of voters. If we can appeal to the majority of them, we are set for years. How we treat them and how we court them could determine our success for a generation to come.

[speak easy]

6. Hillary Clinton was radioactive to conservatives.

Yes, socialism cost votes, So did fossil fuels, and the scare campaign about Dems shutting the economy. But no, I won't give an inch about conservatism in 2020. Latino conservatism always costs Democrats votes - 2020 was no different, but no worse than average.

[Scrivener7]

8. I think you think I am saying WE should be more conservative to appeal to them. I'm not.

I'm saying that republiQans are actually quite radical, and that we are actually the more conservative party, with a small "c," as we stand. We don't have to change where we sit on the spectrum. We just need to get the truth out.

RepubliQans want to fundamentally change how the American government works. They want to change the power structure. They want to override the Constitution. They want to enact laws that are not supported by the voters.

And they want to do some very radical things to make sure the Latino communities, among others, cannot vote or thrive. But for some reason, this message was missed by some Latino communities in this past election. That means we need to message it better.

And we really MUST do this because if either party can harness the Latino vote, that almost guarantees them success for many years to come.

[speak easy]

9. Oh. Sorry. No I'm not saying that at all.

I've always thought the way to appeal to people is to listen with respect, describe how an Dem Administration can make a difference to everyday life - for the better. AND deliver. And perhaps most of all, explain how the kids can have a pathway to a better life than their folks.

The Biden Administration, has made an excellent start on that score.

But no way am I suggesting compromising principles. Sorry.

[Scrivener7]

10. No, no problem. That was just my interpretation of what you said and I thought, given what I had

said, it was a reasonable conclusion on your part. So I wasn't bothered at all by it and just wanted to clarify my position.

But I think we have come to the realization that we pretty much agree.

Have a good day. The weather's beautiful where I am. I hope it is where you are too!

[Captain Zero]

7. A number of Jan 6 indictees are Latinos

Who support T666p, So that corresponds to some of this increased vote for him as well.

[snowybirdie]

11. My take

is Latino voters are people who are working citizens. They feel part of this country. They see the influx of poor, undocumented people from Mexico and Central America as threats to their jobs and way of life. Trump's position on immigration appealed to them.

[Livluvgrow]

12. Rural urban divide

Many latinos work in fossil fuels and agriculture. They are pro 2nd amendment and staunchly Catholic. Sprinkle some machisimo in and you have a perfect recipe for a republican voter.