OK. Supposing HR.1 passes via a limited exception to the filibuster.

[speak easy]

Last edited Wed Mar 17, 2021, 10:07 PM - Edit history (1)

How much of it will be stayed by cases that will ultimately end up with SCOTUS?

I.E. - what will be the impact in 2022?

Asking for a friend

EDIT: If you can't say (off the top of your head) how HR.1 will make a difference, how can you sell it?

[speak easy]

1. No relies? Kick.

[WarGamer]

2. One, it won't pass.

Manchin, Sinema and probably Feinstein won't nuke the filibuster for HR1.

Better chance of passing Infrastructure, Background checks and Tax Reform.

Two... What do you think Barf, Hand Maiden, GoodHair, Sleepy, Scalito and JR will do with it?

[speak easy]

3. It is going to pass. I'll put money on it.

Manchin and Sinema are in negotiation right now - and Mitch knows it.

[WarGamer]

4. Interesting. We'll see. Don't hold your breath, though...

[speak easy]

7. Budget reconciliation rules allow the Dems into introduce another big bill this year.

That will be the BDF Build Back Better Bill, which includes tax increases on the wealthy. No surprise to anyone, least of all Mitch. Everyone knew it was on. the cards.

What was a surprise is the silence that followed Jim Clyburn's statement on March 6.

There’s no way under the sun that in 2021 that we are going to allow the filibuster to be used to deny voting rights. That just ain’t gonna happen. That would be catastrophic. If Manchin and Sinema enjoy being in the majority, they had better figure out a way to get around the filibuster when it comes to voting and civil rights.

https://amp.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/mar/07/james-clyburn-interview-filibuster-voting-rights

That's what's going on now. Manchin and Sinema are figuring out a way way to get around the filibuster, and Mitch has got word of it.

[RussBLib]

5. If it passes...

Red states will sue, sue, sue for injunctions to tie it up in courts, and I don't have any confidence in the current makeup of the SCOTUS.

[dsc]

6. I doubt there will be all that many injunctions early on

the only stuff that would be sued over quickly are the public financing, which are clearly constitutional. The rest wouldn't be sued over until they are used and that would likely take redistricting or suits over state laws.

[speak easy]

8. Automatic voter registration?

[uponit7771]

9. HR1 "essentially" puts NATIONAL ELECTION RULE directly in congress's hands and no longer on

... totally controlled by states by constitution.

Therefore we can set a floor against voting supression laws