General Discussion
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(34,386 posts)cwydro
(51,308 posts)No doubt thats why theyre getting so much attention now.
Smerconish was talking about this today too.
catbyte
(34,386 posts)cwydro
(51,308 posts)Im not a huge fan of Smerconish, but he did a fair job on that today.
Spazito
(50,338 posts)He doesn't include all polls in his statistical analysis so he must have a rationale for why he selects the polls he decides to use.
jimfields33
(15,801 posts)I doubt many would exempt them.
Spazito
(50,338 posts)Here is a good article on the polls from 2016:
Which was the most accurate national poll in the 2016 presidential election?
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/12/05/which-was-the-most-accurate-national-poll-in-the-2016-presidential-election/
When I did a search, it was primarily right wing sites that were touting the Trafalgar Group and, given it's bias, I am not surprised.
Hyper_Eye
(675 posts)They exclude pollsters that are known or suspected to have used fake data. People can argue about how ridiculous the Trafalgar method for arriving at their likely voter model is. That's why they are a C grade pollster at 538. They do make calls and record the answers that they are given accurately. That's why 538 includes them.
Spazito
(50,338 posts)and I wasn't able to find the answer on his site so your post is very helpful to me.
Hyper_Eye
(675 posts)Spazito
(50,338 posts)and didn't look further. I appreciate the link and am off the read more from it.
Hugin
(33,144 posts)Is a typical Trumpian MO. (Frequent, in other GrOPper efforts over the years, too.)
Also, substantiated by the Hate Pumpkin's ongoing obsession with the polls being so, "unfair".