General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsPardon by Pence and Flight by Trump scenarios
1. Pardon by Pence is not a sure thing. What would a pardon for Trump do for Pence ? I cant see any benefit for Pence. Would Trump pay Pence $ 100 Million ? Campaign for Pence ? Lifetime membership at Trump casinos ?
Pence will have to live with what Joe, Kamala, Nancy, Schumer and America in general.
There are only 3 reasons that Trump will get a Pence Pardon: 1) Pence is in the real Trump cult deeper than a black hole. 2) Trump has some unknown threat to Pence that Pence will not stand up to. 3) Pence cuts a complicated deal with Joe and Kamala for his own reasons and somehow a pardon is part of this.
2. Trump escape to one of these: Russia, China, Saudi Arabia or a smaller country, probably in Middle East.
Why would one of those countries accept Trump ?
Possibility: They will demand and get all of Trumps money.
Possibility: They will be able to score PR points against USA.
Possibility: They will get American national security secrets.
3. Who would transport Trump ?
1. Possibility: Air Force One while Trump is still President
2. Possibility: Private transport of John Doe Corporation / Billionaire
3. Possibility: Russia, China, Saudi Arabia or other country ?
4. Tracking:
1. Law enforcement, intelligent services, private individuals and every world president will know where Trump is.
2. Trump cant keep a secret too long. He wants to project his fears and he wants to be in the spotlight.
5. The Trump Bubble:
1. Trump stays in America because he thinks he will not be arrested or can cut a deal with Joe and Kamala. Essentially, Trump bubble.
2. Trump cannot resist the media attention and blabs where is he.
6. Getting Trump out of his bubble. Set some bait that he cant resist.
7. New extradition treaties can be made.
8. My confidence in the Democratic leadership on these issues is fairly good. The ways Speaker Pelosi, Joe Biden , Kamala Harris, .... and some news people Kristin Welker, Lesley Stahl, (sorry, I am missing so many prominent news women that deserve mention) were able to corral and bait Trump and get the admiration of blue voters is better than I imagined.
Okay, enough editing. Lets hear what you all have to say.
TEB
(12,928 posts)I doubt he would pardon
exboyfil
(17,865 posts)Which I don't think we would do.
Claustrum
(4,846 posts)Trump still has deep hold onto the Trumpist. He will milk money out of them for as long as he could. He is not going anywhere.
C_U_L8R
(45,027 posts)to fleece the flock and begin a media business. OAN lies plus Limbaugh hate plus Whackadoodle Jones multilevel marketing schemes.
Laelth
(32,017 posts)What was the UAE/Israel treaty really about, and why did Trump need to be involved, unless Bibi agreed to protect UAE so that Trump would have a safe (and militarily protected) place to land (with a lot of money, development property, and tourism) that appealed to him and would welcome him? An autocracy with no extradition treaty? All the better.
Pure speculation, mind you, but I can see Trump going there. Trump could charter the flight if he doesnt own his own plane.
-Laelth
sarisataka
(18,839 posts)Where an alien lands on the White House lawn and tells the people of earth we must learn to live in peace or face obliteration by a force of invincible robots? I'd say the odds of that happening are not much less.
Laelth
(32,017 posts)You start.
-Laelth
sarisataka
(18,839 posts)A saucer lands on the WH lawn and the traveler speaks to Trump in private.
-Trump announces he has an agreement with his friend Klaatu to limit the use of invincible robots
-Trump is going to speak with alien leaders to have them pay their share of intergalactic security. They have been relying on US Space Forces to do most of the work for too long
-he will also ask SCOTUS to rule on the legality of mail-in ballots. We don't know if any aliens are eligible to vote and the post office doesn't deliver to other planets. We may have to throw out all mailed ballots and delay the election until we can arrange voting procedures for Americans off planet
-Barr will submit a memo that the President is immune to prosecution by all intergalactic agencies.
BainsBane
(53,093 posts)So we can actually defeat Trump?
JCMach1
(27,581 posts)He's going to jail, or Dubai... so, he will flee
PJMcK
(22,059 posts)First, Trump isn't going to run away. He can't since he needs his business to survive. Keep in mind that Trump is cash-poor. His "empire" is a cash-flow operation. He has to keep the money coming in to cover the expenses of his holdings. Additionally, just because he'll be out of the White House won't mean he'll shut up or that his cult won't continue to follow him.
Second, your Pence pardon scenario assumes that Trump makes a deal with Pence then resigns the presidency. Do you really think Trump will resign? It seems like a stretch to me but if he did, Pence's pardon could be crafted and sold as something "good for healing the country" or some such bullshit. It worked for Ford/Nixon.
Russia won't want Trump around. If he remains in the U.S., he could continue to sow chaos and distrust which destabilizes our nation and economy. Those are Putin's goals. He doesn't want to baby-sit the man-child.
China won't want Trump. Why would they? Same for Saudi Arabia. If they were to give the Trump's asylum, they would be ostracized by most of the world. Those countries need acceptance in the world's markets. Trump would be an impediment for them. Besides, why would they reward him? They think he's as big an ass as do you and I!
The new president won't make a deal with Trump. Why would/should he let Trump off the hook? His election will be largely due to his opposition to Trump. He would jeopardize his support if Biden were to go easy on Trump. Actually, I think Biden will keep his hands clean of any future Department of Justice investigations or prosecution of any of the Trumps or their enablers. Biden will probably let the DOJ resume its independence.
Regarding your suggestion that Trump may be able to trade national security details has some merit but you neglect an important point. Trump's brain is a sieve. Half the time, he doesn't even remember what day it is! He won't be able to remember any specific details (if he ever knew them). His potential to trade American secrets for his own security would also probably be criminal and could result in even more legal trouble.
A Pence pardon would remove any Federal crimes Trump may face. This would lift a significant amount of legal trouble for him. He'll still have trouble from NY State and other prosecutors around the country but maybe he thinks he can weather those storms.
Sorry to go on so long but your OP was thoughtful and I wanted to give you the respect of a complete reply.
Upthevibe
(8,088 posts)Wow. Thank you for your well thought out summary. I've been trying to figure out what the various scenarios might be. I'm the friend in my circle who people come to with their questions (in other words, I'm the "political nerd" .
I'm bookmarking this to come back to once I'm more awake and am able to think about what you've written.
Towlie
(5,328 posts)By the way, what does "Pence will have to live with what Joe, Kamala, Nancy, Schumer and America in general" mean? The sentence doesn't diagram well.
Baked Potato
(7,733 posts)When Trump falls, his support will evaporate.
Trump will be like on the Transporter pad when it malfunctions. He will be a pile of steaming matter.
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)Baked Potato
(7,733 posts)not_the_one
(2,227 posts)He has his own plane, and wouldn't get ANYONE'S approval for departure...
As long as he has internet and twitter, he can continue to be the center of the spotlight, sow division an discord, AND raise money from his humpers, no matter where he is (my bet would be SA).
I agree Biden will take a hands off approach, allowing the DOJ to revert to what it is supposed to be, but he WILL insist on in-depth investigations as to all the corruption that actually occurred. My only worry would be regarding all the embedded Putinists/Trumpists that are still there. THEY need to be purged.
Buckeyeblue
(5,504 posts)This allows him to continue to raise money. Trump is not going anywhere. He will try to start a TV network. He will continue to play the con game. That's all he knows.