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Tue Oct 27, 2020, 09:35 PM

Blue Wave

If this year is a blue wave, and I sure hope it is, should we be seeing signs of it already? I know the polling has been encouraging, but we have a lot of votes already cast. Is it too early to know yet?

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Response to idziak4ever1234 (Original post)

Tue Oct 27, 2020, 09:38 PM

1. It is too early to know who the votes have been cast for

But there are several threads here almost daily giving the vote totals by party affiliation.

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Response to mercuryblues (Reply #1)

Tue Oct 27, 2020, 10:01 PM

6. Not all states list votes by party affiliation...

Most of those that do say that more Dems have early/mail voted than Repubs.

Hopeful thing to remember is that when turnout is high, it tends to favor Dems. That has been true for quite a few cycles. Case in point: 2018 had some record turnout in many areas and there was the first part of the blue wave we all hope is continuing now.

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Response to idziak4ever1234 (Original post)

Tue Oct 27, 2020, 09:39 PM

2. Dave Wasserman from Cook Political says it's a fool's errand to try and predict races from

Early voting.

But ...he also has pretty much said he is very sure that Biden will win. Hes fairly conservative in those kinds of calls, more so than other pollsters, so was happy to have read that!

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Response to Thekaspervote (Reply #2)

Tue Oct 27, 2020, 09:40 PM

4. God God! I needed to hear something like that! I'm a wreck.

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Response to Thekaspervote (Reply #2)

Tue Oct 27, 2020, 10:02 PM

7. That is based on history in which fewer votes were cast early than were cast on election day.

This year may flip that.

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Response to idziak4ever1234 (Original post)

Tue Oct 27, 2020, 09:39 PM

3. Too early to know for sure

But it sure looks good. Knowing the kind of ratfuckery trump and his GOPricks are capable of, I won't rest easy until Biden is the certified president-elect and is sworn in. Only then can we begin to get back to normal.

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Response to idziak4ever1234 (Original post)

Tue Oct 27, 2020, 09:48 PM

5. The signs are good, but the most important thing...

...is to make sure that every blue vote is cast in a way that ensures no court will be able to invalidate it.

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