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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsThese states tell us the GOP is in deep trouble
Washington PostI cannot recall the last time Georgia and South Carolina were both in play for Democrats. A Democratic president last won South Carolina in 1976; the last Democratic senator was elected there in 1998. A Democratic president, Southerner Bill Clinton, last won Georgia in 1992, and its last Democratic senator won a regular election in 1996. President Trump won Georgia by about 5 points in 2016 and South Carolina by about 14 points; this year, he is down 1.2 points in Georgia and leads by only about 7 points in South Carolina, according to FiveThirtyEight.
The South Carolina Senate race is effectively a dead heat; the Democrat leads in the Georgia special election Senate race by almost 8 points (though thats far shy of the 50 percent needed to avoid a runoff), while the other Senate race is within the margin of error.
It is stunning for those who have followed politics over the past few decades to think a Democratic president could win Georgia and three Democrats could be elected to the Senate from two deep-red states. That Georgia is even competitive presents a gobsmacking problem for Trump given that former vice president Joe Biden does not need it to win the presidency, nor does the Democratic Party need any of those three seats to win the Senate majority.
We are talking about these states and some other red states because Biden is comfortably ahead in the states he really does need to win (Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania). Biden is narrowly ahead (within the margin of error) in Iowa, Florida, Arizona and North Carolina. Democratic Senate candidates have small leads in the North Carolina and Iowa races and a bigger one in the Arizona race.
The South Carolina Senate race is effectively a dead heat; the Democrat leads in the Georgia special election Senate race by almost 8 points (though thats far shy of the 50 percent needed to avoid a runoff), while the other Senate race is within the margin of error.
It is stunning for those who have followed politics over the past few decades to think a Democratic president could win Georgia and three Democrats could be elected to the Senate from two deep-red states. That Georgia is even competitive presents a gobsmacking problem for Trump given that former vice president Joe Biden does not need it to win the presidency, nor does the Democratic Party need any of those three seats to win the Senate majority.
We are talking about these states and some other red states because Biden is comfortably ahead in the states he really does need to win (Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania). Biden is narrowly ahead (within the margin of error) in Iowa, Florida, Arizona and North Carolina. Democratic Senate candidates have small leads in the North Carolina and Iowa races and a bigger one in the Arizona race.
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These states tell us the GOP is in deep trouble (Original Post)
brooklynite
Oct 2020
OP
exboyfil
(17,865 posts)1. Throw some money at Iowa
Right now it is non-stop Hinson, Ernst, and Trump on the commercials I do get (ad supported Hulu, Youtube, and local broadcast NFL games).
apnu
(8,759 posts)2. WI, MI, and PA. Hold those and Biden is POTUS.
They're raking in campaign dough, I don't see why they can't drop cash on TX, IA, FL, NC, and AZ. Anything that keeps the R's on the back foot is good. Taxing the R's time and money in TX and AZ, is a great strategy.