General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums21 days to go...my nightly election update
Last night -
538 - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/
today's end of day numbers - Joe 86/100 chance of winning, 346 EVs, 53.5% of popular vote.
Sam Wang Princeton - https://election.princeton.edu/
today's end of day numbers - Joe metamargin +6.3, estimate 369 EVs.
The Economist - https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president
today's end of day numbers - Joe 91/100 chance of winning, 345 EVs, currently at 54.2% of popular vote (predicting 53.9% on 11/3)
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Tonight -
538 end of day numbers Joe 87/100 chance of winning, 346 EVs. 53.5% popular vote
Princeton end of day - Joe metamargin +5.9, est 359 EVs
The Economist - end of day 91/100 chance of winning, 343 EVs, currently at 54.3% of popular vote.
Essentially holding stable. Stable is good.
Let's see where we are tomorrow night.
sleep well, friends.
rso
(2,273 posts)Great numbers, thanks.
Thekaspervote
(32,796 posts)Biden has run an impeccable campaign! Of course, when you start with an impeccable candidate, hire the best campaign mngrs and staff, have a bazillion happy warriors to volunteer... it isnt that hard. Or, maybe they just make it look that way
Kudos to Biden/Harris