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ProSense

(116,464 posts)
Thu Sep 27, 2012, 07:16 PM Sep 2012

(NBC/WSJ/Marist) Polls: Obama leads in N.H. (up 7 points), tighter in Nev., N.C.

Polls: Obama leads in N.H., tighter in Nev., N.C.

By NBC's Domenico Montanaro

President Barack Obama leads Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney in New Hampshire, and the two are locked in tight contests in Nevada and North Carolina, according to a new series of NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls released Thursday.

Obama is ahead of Romney, 51 percent to 44 percent, among likely voters in New Hampshire. He also edges Romney in Nevada and North Carolina, but within the margin of error.

In Nevada, Obama gets the support of 49 percent of likely voters and Romney gets 47 percent. In North Carolina, it’s Obama at 48 percent and Romney at 46 percent. (Among registered voters in all three states, Obama’s lead expands to 8 points in New Hampshire, 4 points in North Carolina, and a wider 7 points in Nevada.)

“New Hampshire seems to be following the similar trends we’re seeing elsewhere,” said Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion, of the race in the Granite State, where Romney owns a home, and which borders Massachusetts, where the GOP nominee served a term as governor.

- more -

http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/09/27/14128100-polls-obama-leads-in-nh-tighter-in-nev-nc

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(NBC/WSJ/Marist) Polls: Obama leads in N.H. (up 7 points), tighter in Nev., N.C. (Original Post) ProSense Sep 2012 OP
Kick to ProSense Sep 2012 #1
Good for NH! North Carolina will come down to GOTV and given that Nevada among all WI_DEM Sep 2012 #2
Romney will lose all 4 of his home states Botany Sep 2012 #3
I think that must be a world record...in fact two world records. Auntie Bush Sep 2012 #5
What about his home state of Utah? ProSense Sep 2012 #7
he sold his park city "starter home" a few years ago Botany Sep 2012 #8
. ProSense Sep 2012 #9
Holy crap that really is his house. Just looked it up. Arugula Latte Sep 2012 #10
Seven points in NH? I lived there for ten years. Who would have thunk? HopeHoops Sep 2012 #4
Good to hear about all of them. Last time I looked at NH, I swear Romney was up. nt BenzoDia Sep 2012 #6
The Nevada poll is really weird. Mr.Turnip Sep 2012 #11

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
2. Good for NH! North Carolina will come down to GOTV and given that Nevada among all
Thu Sep 27, 2012, 07:32 PM
Sep 2012

voters Obama is up by 7 it means we got to work our asses off to get those voters to the polls.

Botany

(70,501 posts)
3. Romney will lose all 4 of his home states
Thu Sep 27, 2012, 07:47 PM
Sep 2012

N.H., Michigan, Mass., and California

BTW just for fun play around at this site.

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map

Click on any state even the red ones and look @ any of the graphs Obama is
tracking up and Romney is hitting the skids. Indiana, Tennessee, and Missouri
have gone from solid red to "leans for Romney."

Auntie Bush

(17,528 posts)
5. I think that must be a world record...in fact two world records.
Thu Sep 27, 2012, 07:58 PM
Sep 2012

1. The only one to lose ALL his home states.
2. The only one to even own 4 homes.
That's quite a record!

 

Arugula Latte

(50,566 posts)
10. Holy crap that really is his house. Just looked it up.
Thu Sep 27, 2012, 10:50 PM
Sep 2012

It's like one massive ski chalet wasn't enough for him; he had to cobble an entire Thomas Kinkade village together and call it a house.

 

HopeHoops

(47,675 posts)
4. Seven points in NH? I lived there for ten years. Who would have thunk?
Thu Sep 27, 2012, 07:51 PM
Sep 2012

When I was there, it was anti-tax anti-Dem anti-Librul anti-education anti-everything country. WTF HAPPENED? I know Shaheen had her time, but still. It's a red state in general. When and why is it considered blue now?

My wife was elected to a 3-year school board term. Everyone on the right derided her for being "A LIBERAL", "A TEACHER", and most importantly, "A PARENT"! Two years into her term, a guy who spent all of his campaign time telling people he would lower their taxes got elected by 13 votes (yes, 13) over a guy who didn't bother to campaign. The first thing he did was propose increasing the stipend for school board members. My wife (the liberal) was the only one of the five to vote against that move. We used the extra money to buy even more books from Scholastic (100 books for $99) for the elementary schools (3 of them, all dilapidated).

The loudest opponent of the school board was a rather, ahem, "substantially-sized" woman who was married to the richest guy in town. Their primary address was in a no-school lake area (meaning "no taxes&quot . They kept a tiny "secondary" house in town so their kids could go to school. My view on it was, "The meeting's never over until the fat lady screams". She ran for school board and was soundly defeated. Her quote in the paper was, "I'll be back. Me and Patton." (It was MacArthur who said that).

Something must have radically changed in NH since we last lived there about 13 years ago. I don't know what, but it doesn't fit with my recollection of the region. On a side note, our midwife encouraged my wife to run (while pregnant). She gave birth to two of our three daughters and nursed them during meetings while serving her term. It was a thankless job and she decided not to run again. I agreed. The third was born a year later.

I guess times change.

Mr.Turnip

(645 posts)
11. The Nevada poll is really weird.
Thu Sep 27, 2012, 10:50 PM
Sep 2012

Significantly closer than nearly every other pollster, Obama is apparently leading bigger around Reno than Vegas (which let me tell you, won't happen) and a pretty huge RV-LV gap.

also Obama isn't going to be winning NC by close to or the same number as Nevada.


And the poll shows Romney out performing McCain among Hispanics by around 12 points, which won't happen.

and Obama having higher approval in NC than NV is silly.

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