HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » General Discussion (Forum) » The primitive thought pro...

Mon Oct 21, 2019, 07:22 PM

The primitive thought processes of Donald Trump and his allies

In his book “Thinking, Fast and Slow,” Nobel laureate Daniel Kahneman invites us to consider the following person:

An individual has been described by a neighbor as follows: “Steve is very shy and withdrawn, invariably helpful but with little interest in people or in the world of reality. A meek and tidy soul, he has a need for order and structure and a passion for detail.” Is Steve more likely to be a librarian or a farmer?

Set your answer aside for a moment and consider the following task: without recourse to a calculator, multiply the numbers 17 and 24.

If you are like most people, you concluded, without much effort, that Steve is more suited to the job of librarian than farmer and therefore that is his likelier employment. The number you came up with when multiplying 17 by 24, after some not inconsiderable effort, was 408. You probably found the first task pleasant and easy, the second task at least a bit difficult. It may surprise you to learn that most people are wrong about Steve. There are 20 times more male farmers in the United States than male librarians, and since a “meek and tidy soul” is not a disqualifying qualification for a farmer, Steve was much more likely, statistically speaking, to be a farmer than a librarian. Chances are you got the multiplication problem right because you know the method for multiplying numbers together and, even if you didn’t like the process, whether you did it in your head or with a pencil, you arrived at the correct conclusion.


This explains the reason we can't get through to Trump and his cult45: they think like preschool children!

0 replies, 384 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Reply to this thread