The 10 counties that will decide the 2020 election

[brooklynite]

The Hill

Both President Trump’s campaign and the Democrats vying to replace him are scrutinizing a political map in flux, one in which attitudes and alignments are shifting and new regions are coming into play.As many as a dozen states could be up for grabs next year as economic and international uncertainty pairs with a cauldron of domestic discontent in government.

Interviews with two dozen strategists, political scientists and observers show the 10 counties across the country that will determine the outcome of the 2020 presidential election.

The critical tipping points are as diverse as the American electorate. Some are suburban neighborhoods where both Trump and former President Obama won. Others are longtime Republican strongholds that show signs of slipping. Still others have voted Democratic since the New Deal, only to be broken by Trump’s historic campaign.

Here are the 10 counties that will determine whether Trump gets a second term:

Erie County, Pa.

Sauk County, Wis.

Muskegon County, Mich.

Maricopa County, Ariz.

Tarrant County, Texas

New Hanover County, N.C.

Peach County, Ga.

Washington County, Minn.

Hillsborough County, N.H.

Lincoln County, Maine

[SHRED]

1. That is awful

I wish we had a straight popular vote for the presidency.
Every vote should count as one vote.

[Paladin]

2. Keep your fingers crossed for Tarrant Co., TX.

That's where Ft. Worth is, and Ft. Worth is just about the last major city in Texas that hasn't already gone Democratic.

[dchill]

3. Whatabout Putin County, Russia?

[Mister Ed]

4. And one of them is mine.

Trump will not take Washington County, MN. He didn't quite make it here against Hillary Clinton in 2016, and I think he has less support in this county now. The college-educated white suburban women that the polls say are turning against Trump are a significant factor here.

[in2herbs]

5. One of them is mine, too. Go Blue! eom

[TheRealNorth]

9. I agree.

But maybe the point is that if a Democrat loses Washington Co, they are probably not going to win MN. I would regard Dakota and St. Louis as more competitive, but maybe not as integral to the Dem winning MN.

Boy, we're in trouble if WI rests on Sauk Co. That county has Baraboo, where you had the high school with kids doing Hitler salutes. Personally, I would regard Kenosha Co. as the tipping point in WI.

[dalton99a]

6. Beto flipped Tarrant County last year

[Initech]

7. Orange County not on there?

We've been hard republican since the Nixon days (he's from here, after all) and last year, all six Congressional districts flipped - all six of them. I hope that this is a good sign of things to come!

[mnhtnbb]

8. About New Hanover County, NC

It's purple. Trump only took the county by 4365 votes out of 111,905 cast for Office of President.

However, the Dem candidate for Governor, Roy Cooper, took the county by 5265 votes over the incumbent Republican scumbag, McCrory.



Obama took New Hanover County in the 2008 election by 14,177 votes but lost New Hanover County in 2012 by 92,004 votes.

[Joe941]

10. Its actually probably smaller than that list. Tx and Ga are not going blue.

Mn is not going red either. But ya so much for democracy.

[LeftInTX]

11. Tarrant won't determine outcome of presidential

Although it went for Beto in 2018, it couldn't flip Cruz's seat.

[struggle4progress]

12. meh