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General Discussion

kstewart33

(6,551 posts) Tue Nov 6, 2018, 08:43 PM Nov 2018

18

538 - Nate Silver has just predicted a 94% chance of Dems taking the House.

Estimated pickup - 43 seats.

Prediction posted at 7:40 pm ET.

UPDATE: It's now at 95%. Also: no change in the Senate.

20 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

538 - Nate Silver has just predicted a 94% chance of Dems taking the House. (Original Post) kstewart33 Nov 2018 OP

Yessssss!!! InAbLuEsTaTe Nov 2018 #1

Holy shit!!!! octoberlib Nov 2018 #2

Not good enough, waiting for 100%. johnnyrocket Nov 2018 #3

Yes: not counting chickens until they hatch... appal_jack Nov 2018 #14

Be still my heart!!! llmart Nov 2018 #4

Coolness OhZone Nov 2018 #5

Woohoo! berni_mccoy Nov 2018 #6

Wowww! Thx. nt spooky3 Nov 2018 #7

Make it 95% Awsi Dooger Nov 2018 #8

Senate chances are inching up too sweetloukillbot Nov 2018 #9

Dems running strong so far!! workinclasszero Nov 2018 #10

Now down to 91.7% and senate down to 12% Awsi Dooger Nov 2018 #11

Remember You Can't See Most of the Blue Wave Until It Breaks Stallion Nov 2018 #12

Meanwhile, Comrade Fishlips is wolfing down his eighth Big Mac. Buns_of_Fire Nov 2018 #13

81.1% krawhitham Nov 2018 #15

It's dropping a lot. :( This is bad news. OliverQ Nov 2018 #16

No it isn't budkin Nov 2018 #17

This is going to be a great night. +50 in the house! Joe941 Nov 2018 #18

Bad shifts all over the place Awsi Dooger Nov 2018 #19

This has a familiar, sickening feeling.... NT Adrahil Nov 2018 #20

InAbLuEsTaTe

(24,128 posts)

1. Yessssss!!!

Reply to kstewart33 (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2018, 08:44 PM

Nov 2018

octoberlib

(14,971 posts)

2. Holy shit!!!!

Reply to kstewart33 (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2018, 08:44 PM

Nov 2018

johnnyrocket

(1,773 posts)

3. Not good enough, waiting for 100%.

Reply to kstewart33 (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2018, 08:44 PM

Nov 2018

appal_jack

(3,813 posts)

14. Yes: not counting chickens until they hatch...

Reply to johnnyrocket (Reply #3)

Tue Nov 6, 2018, 08:54 PM

Nov 2018

Keep voting, western Dems!

-app

llmart

(15,580 posts)

4. Be still my heart!!!

Reply to kstewart33 (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2018, 08:44 PM

Nov 2018

42 pickups would be wonderful!!!

OhZone

(3,212 posts)

5. Coolness

Reply to kstewart33 (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2018, 08:44 PM

Nov 2018

Oh Yeah!

berni_mccoy

(23,018 posts)

6. Woohoo!

Reply to kstewart33 (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2018, 08:45 PM

Nov 2018

spooky3

(34,564 posts)

7. Wowww! Thx. nt

Reply to kstewart33 (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2018, 08:45 PM

Nov 2018

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)

8. Make it 95%

Reply to kstewart33 (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2018, 08:45 PM

Nov 2018

Now let's hold onto the two Florida statewide races

sweetloukillbot

(11,228 posts)

9. Senate chances are inching up too

Reply to kstewart33 (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2018, 08:45 PM

Nov 2018

Still pretty narrow, but they've moved up a couple percentage points...

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)

10. Dems running strong so far!!

Reply to kstewart33 (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2018, 08:45 PM

Nov 2018

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)

11. Now down to 91.7% and senate down to 12%

Reply to kstewart33 (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2018, 08:46 PM

Nov 2018

Just win Florida baby

Stallion

(6,476 posts)

12. Remember You Can't See Most of the Blue Wave Until It Breaks

Reply to kstewart33 (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2018, 08:46 PM

Nov 2018

Buns_of_Fire

(17,226 posts)

13. Meanwhile, Comrade Fishlips is wolfing down his eighth Big Mac.

Reply to kstewart33 (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2018, 08:50 PM

Nov 2018

Would you like some more gravy on that, dear?

krawhitham

(4,651 posts)

15. 81.1%

Reply to kstewart33 (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2018, 09:07 PM

Nov 2018

OliverQ

(3,363 posts)

16. It's dropping a lot. :( This is bad news.

Reply to kstewart33 (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2018, 09:09 PM

Nov 2018

budkin

(6,738 posts)

17. No it isn't

Reply to OliverQ (Reply #16)

Tue Nov 6, 2018, 09:10 PM

Nov 2018

Chill out.

Joe941

(2,848 posts)

18. This is going to be a great night. +50 in the house!

Reply to kstewart33 (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2018, 09:11 PM

Nov 2018

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)

19. Bad shifts all over the place

Reply to kstewart33 (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2018, 09:11 PM

Nov 2018

538 now down to 75.6%

Gad. I didn't think this would happen, once we busted above 90%

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)

20. This has a familiar, sickening feeling.... NT

Reply to Awsi Dooger (Reply #19)

Tue Nov 6, 2018, 09:14 PM

Nov 2018

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