HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » General Discussion (Forum) » Ron Baiman (Ph. D.): U.S....

Sun Mar 11, 2018, 09:01 PM

Ron Baiman (Ph. D.): U.S. 2016 Unadjusted Exit Poll Discrepancies.... (Affadavit)

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/319205877_Updated_Expanded_and_Corrected_Affidavit_Version_US_2016_Unadjusted_Exit_Poll_Discrepancies_Fit_Chronic_Republican_Vote_-_Count_Rigging_not_Random_Statistical_Patterns

You should really read this. It's findings are startling for both the Presidential and Senate races.

10 replies, 1816 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 10 replies Author Time Post
Reply Ron Baiman (Ph. D.): U.S. 2016 Unadjusted Exit Poll Discrepancies.... (Affadavit) (Original post)
triron Mar 2018 OP
cloudbase Mar 2018 #1
Igel Mar 2018 #2
triron Mar 2018 #3
RandomAccess Mar 2018 #4
rgbecker Mar 2018 #7
RandomAccess Mar 2018 #9
RandomAccess Mar 2018 #5
triron Mar 2018 #6
brush Mar 2018 #8
triron Mar 2018 #10

Response to triron (Original post)

Sun Mar 11, 2018, 09:07 PM

1. I'd like to see the data confirmed by

a panel of other statisticians.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to cloudbase (Reply #1)

Sun Mar 11, 2018, 09:22 PM

2. I suspect the data are good.

I suspect that the interpretation isn't.

The key is the word "unadjusted." In the absence of a random sample, you need to adjust the data. Just declaring what's known to be non-random to be random doesn't cut it.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Igel (Reply #2)

Sun Mar 11, 2018, 10:12 PM

3. 'Adjust' it to what? How would that make it more random?

The author is trained in mathematics and statistics. Why don't you address your criticism to him?

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Igel (Reply #2)

Sun Mar 11, 2018, 10:31 PM

4. Read it.

 

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Igel (Reply #2)

Sun Mar 11, 2018, 11:47 PM

7. The term Unadjusted in this case refers to the fact that the exit polling outfit

adjusts their numbers, as the election evening goes along, to reflect the actual Vote Count.

Biggest problem that I see is that the polling company does not release their unadjusted numbers and the professor must rely on getting screen shots of polling results during the evening.

It is so crazy. Why doesn't somebody with some integrity conduct an exit poll and really let people know what is going on. Some how the UN or US government conducts such polling in numerous foreign countries but we get nothing and are supposed to trust the Media and State govenrments to give us honest results.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to rgbecker (Reply #7)

Mon Mar 12, 2018, 05:47 PM

9. That actually began with the 2000 Presidential election

 

when media news outlets determined they apparently couldn't admit to election fraud right here in the U.S. and so started adjusting their exit polling "results" to fit the actual election results. It's been downhill ever since.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to triron (Original post)

Sun Mar 11, 2018, 10:32 PM

5. Thank you, thank you, thank you

 

THANK YOU, THANK YOU, THANK YOU, THANK YOU!!

Did I say "thank you" yet?

THANK YOU, THANK YOU, THANK YOU, THANK YOU!!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to RandomAccess (Reply #5)

Sun Mar 11, 2018, 11:08 PM

6. You are very welcome.

You said it: "Read it".

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to RandomAccess (Reply #5)

Mon Mar 12, 2018, 12:00 AM

8. To your "THANK YOU, THANK YOU, THANK YOU" I assume you're confirming "STOLEN, STOLEN, STOLEN"?

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to triron (Original post)

Tue Mar 13, 2018, 01:12 AM

10. knr

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink

Reply to this thread