General Discussion

applegrove

(119,050 posts) Sun Feb 4, 2018, 08:38 PM Feb 2018

Generic Ballot Lead Comes Mostly from Strongholds

https://politicalwire.com/2018/02/04/democratic-generic-ballot-lead-comes-mostly-strongholds/

"SNIP.........

“Democrats lead by 14 points among likely voters in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, a result reported previously. But that reflects a vast 38-point Democratic lead in districts already held by Democratic members of Congress. In districts the Republican Party holds, by contrast, it’s a tight 45% to 51% Democratic vs. Republican contest.”

“The Democrats’ lead in their districts, 64% to 26%, marks the extent of potential Democratic overvoting in areas where they’re already in control – which partly reflects a Democratic concentration in urban areas, and possibly also gerrymandering of district lines.”

...........SNIP"

2 replies

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Generic Ballot Lead Comes Mostly from Strongholds (Original Post) applegrove Feb 2018 OP

Ill take the any advantage in REPUBLICAN DISTRICTS beachbum bob Feb 2018 #1

I'm willing to surmise that a lot of those people spilled over to neighboring republican districts. Tiggeroshii Feb 2018 #2

beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)

1. Ill take the any advantage in REPUBLICAN DISTRICTS

Reply to applegrove (Original post)

Sun Feb 4, 2018, 08:55 PM

Feb 2018

bodes well for democrats

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

2. I'm willing to surmise that a lot of those people spilled over to neighboring republican districts.

Reply to applegrove (Original post)

Sun Feb 4, 2018, 09:02 PM

Feb 2018

I don't think it's easy for polling like that to pinpoint voters in specific districts.

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