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Looks like the WI counting has been stopped inttentiionally

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itsrobert Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 07:48 AM
Original message
Looks like the WI counting has been stopped inttentiionally
So Prosser and the Media can claim a Prosser win this morning. Despite all indications that Kloppenburg will eventually end up with a higher total.
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onenote Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 07:50 AM
Response to Original message
1. really? Because there were additional precincts reported this morning
between the time I woke up and a few minutes ago.
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itsrobert Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 07:51 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. I see it now
something fishy going on
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onenote Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 07:56 AM
Response to Reply #2
4. what is fishy?
Some of the precincts in WI use hand counted paper ballots, other use optical scanned paper ballots. It can take time to tabulate. The figures that AP is reporting are not "official" numbers (which is how you can end up with a temporary mistake like the misreporting of 10K votes).

Also, has Prosser or any of the MSM in WI declared a winner, cause I haven't seen it yet.
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itsrobert Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 07:59 AM
Response to Reply #4
5. Here is one slant
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onenote Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 08:28 AM
Response to Reply #5
9. Did you watch the whole thing.
Prosser himself declined to declare victory. The fact that his campaign spokesperson publicly tried to spin it as a victory is as shocking as the sun rising in the east and setting in the west. The media quite clearly isn't saying Prosser has won.
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blogslut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 07:54 AM
Response to Original message
3. The relatively latest count
As of 7:50 AM CST:

Prosser 736,878/Kloppenburg 736,043

3606 of 3630 precincts reporting

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_co...
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Scuba Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 08:00 AM
Response to Reply #3
6. And the missing precincts lean a bit left. n/t
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karynnj Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 08:04 AM
Response to Reply #6
8. Great news!
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FBaggins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 08:35 AM
Response to Reply #6
10. I assumed so too... but it doesn't look that way now.
The remaining precincts "lean" very slightly left except for Dane/Milwaukee counties. The problem is that the two precincts yet to report in Milwaukee are in red areas and there is some hint that the remaining Dane precinct doesn't actually have many votes.

Had they been like the average in those counties, they would have closed about 650-750 votes of the remaining gap and my estimate was that we would enter the recount within 100-200 votes.

Now it looks like the current gap may hold.

Then we get to any remaining ballots (provisionals, etc) and the recount. Still very winnable... but not what we had hoped for.
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Scuba Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 08:44 AM
Response to Reply #10
11. Dunn County leans left (Madison suburbs) as does Crawford..,
...which is rural western part of the state. Same with Sauk.

Only Jefferson and Taylor lean right.

With Milwaukee and Madison both with votes outstanding, I'm predicting JoAnne by a nose.
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FBaggins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 09:00 AM
Response to Reply #11
12. "last two Milwaukee County precincts are in West Allis, which gave Prosser 63% in the 1st round"
According to Swing-State.

Dunn "leans" left, but she won the rest of the county by only 10%. That's a net of 45 votes at the current rates. 60 in Crawford by the same measure (but at 60/40).

Sauk is the remaining potential mine, but that's because they have more precincts left. if the 55-45 split remains, that's 350-400 additional votes.

We lose about 85 in Jefferson and 45 in Taylor.

This assumes that all of the precincts are similar in size and composition to the average in their counties... that's a big "if".

But IF that's true, we're left with the three Dane/Milwaukee counties and a gap of about 450 votes. If SSP is correct that they're in West Allis and those precincts go as their neighbors did, we probably "lose" (prematurely) by pretty close to the current margin.
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Scuba Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 09:11 AM
Response to Reply #12
15. Thank you. n/t
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L. Coyote Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 09:02 AM
Response to Reply #3
13. That precinct count is wrong. More here:
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karynnj Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 08:04 AM
Response to Original message
7. All of the media is reporting a dead heat - which is the case
It appears that however the final votes go, there will be a recount. the margin will be below the limit - so the recount will be free - so the loser will likely ask for it.

The media is also reporting that in the primary - open to all - in February, he got 55% to her 25%.
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Takket Donating Member (89 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 09:08 AM
Response to Original message
14. strange
Something VERY strange happened this morning. Prosser was up by about 500 votes but as others have noted, almost EVERY precinct left to count was in a country that was already leaning blue. Yet when the next (and most recent) update came, Prosser's lead actually INCREASED to almost 900, something exteremly strange considering, if you go country by country, he had only maybe 1 county left where he logically could have made any gains, let alone almost 400 votes.

Unless someone can show that it just so happens by dumb luck (or careful planning if you ask me) that the remaining precincts in blue counties just so happen to be red themselves, something really fishy is going on.
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MiniMe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 10:13 AM
Response to Original message
16. Kloppenburg is ahead now
By about 500 votes
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FBaggins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 10:34 AM
Response to Reply #16
17. 309 now... with five precincts left.
A real nail-biter.
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