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Ouch - Stiglitz rips the Geithner plan - calls it "robbery"

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kpete Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-24-09 10:11 AM
Original message
Ouch - Stiglitz rips the Geithner plan - calls it "robbery"
Stiglitz rips the Geithner plan - calls it "robbery"
by Chris in Paris on 3/24/2009 10:20:00 AM
Ouch.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/29848741

The U.S. government plan to rid banks of toxic assets will rob American taxpayers by exposing them to too much risk and is unlikely to work as long as the economy remains weak, Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz said on Tuesday.

"The Geithner plan is very badly flawed," Stiglitz told Reuters in an interview during a Credit Suisse Asian Investment Conference in Hong Kong....

"Quite frankly, this amounts to robbery of the American people. I don't think it's going to work because I think there'll be a lot of anger about putting the losses so much on the shoulder of the American taxpayer."

Even if the plan clears banks of massive toxic debt, worries about the economic outlook mean banks could still be unwilling to make fresh loans, while the prospect of a higher tax burden to pay for various government stimulus plans could further undermine U.S. consumers, he said.

http://www.americablog.com/2009/03/stiglitz-rips-geithner-plan-calls-it.html
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OwnedByFerrets Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-24-09 10:15 AM
Response to Original message
1. The first "bailout" was supposed to free up the banks....
but didnt...

"Even if the plan clears banks of massive toxic debt, worries about the economic outlook mean banks could still be unwilling to make fresh loans, while the prospect of a higher tax burden to pay for various government stimulus plans could further undermine U.S. consumers, he said."

What makes anyone think that this one will.
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Tierra_y_Libertad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-24-09 10:21 AM
Response to Reply #1
7. Why should the banks make loans? They can sit on their profits and wait for the next "bailout".
They're in a position now, that they don't have to take any risk. They may be corrupt, but they're not stupid. When Geithner's handouts don't work because they don't make loans, it will be followed by another handout. Instant profits, no risk. It's a dream come true for the capitalists.
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Leopolds Ghost Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-25-09 03:18 AM
Response to Reply #7
22. You mean, they'll be in the same business as GE and GM and Bernie Madoff?
Their core business unit will be a loss leader and all the real profit will be in investment schemes legalized by "modernizing outdated legislation written in the 30s" as Obama put it?
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-24-09 10:21 AM
Response to Reply #1
8. Well, the only upside to this one....
(a small glimmer of positive thought)

Is that when the assets are cleared out from the banks, there will be no more assets to unload. In other words, this plan is finite. The banks cannot keep asking for money. They should be more than liquid at this point where they are no longer liable for their toxic shit they created.

Before, the government was handing out cash to banks without any point where they say, "No more". Now, they are essentially pumping in money in the same manner, except taking full liability for the assets and creating a finite point where they will stop. So its a continuation of the bailout with a little twist.

That said, I don't see why its wise for the government to help unload an asset by funding 85% of it (and therefore carrying the liability on it), and yet not retain ownership share of the assets. This is ludicrous. Why not just buy up all the common shares of these banks and figure it out from there?

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girl gone mad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-24-09 02:28 PM
Response to Reply #8
15. I'm not so sure about that upside.
From what I've read, the Geithner plan allows banks to lever 5:1 (or more) from the Talf. There's nothing to keep them from playing the same game of casino capitalism that got them in to this mess.
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-24-09 10:16 AM
Response to Original message
2. Ahhh, ignorant Nobel Prize winners need to take loyalty oaths.
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kentuck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-24-09 10:17 AM
Response to Original message
3. Oh, what does he know!
He's only a Nobel Prize winner in Economics.
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whoneedstickets Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-24-09 10:17 AM
Response to Original message
4. Are we hostages to banks and their "willingness" to make fresh loans"?
If we plan to 'socialize' all this risk (shield these rich folks from their bad investments), why not 'socialize' er...nationalize.. the banks and terminate our dependence on the good will of bankers to determine the fate of our economy. I'm with Krugman on this. There are too many ex-Wall Street types on the president's economic team who are unwilling to put the pain where it belongs.
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Oregone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-24-09 10:26 AM
Response to Reply #4
10. Why can't a government entity be more than willing to make new loans?
What would happen if we ignored these banks and let the all die? Well, there would be no credit for investment and production would drop, and the Great Depression Redux would come...

But, what if a new entity existed on the horizon. A government entity that competed with them and ensured capital remained in the economy. Another line of thought...why must we even nationalize anything? Yes, a lot of people would lose money invested in these crazy financial instruments, but beyond that, if the government could keep pumping money into the economy and supporting investment, why are any of these defunct useless banks need? How about just a national bank to start with?
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whoneedstickets Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-24-09 11:13 AM
Response to Reply #10
13. You're probably right...
The US model of allowing private banks and the fed to regulate the money supply is a suspicious arrangement but an outgrowth of our traditionally decentralized banking model. Compared to the rest of the market economies who have central banks that conduct and oversee this activity our is pretty anachronistic. Perhaps it is time for a US Central Bank.
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Redbear Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-24-09 10:18 AM
Response to Original message
5. Why are you bringing Stiglitz's Freeper BS to DU?

I'm hoping no sarcasm icon is needed.

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avaistheone1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-24-09 10:20 AM
Response to Original message
6. Relax. This is just another wealth transfer from the working and middle class to the super wealthy.
That's all.
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glitch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-24-09 10:25 AM
Response to Original message
9. Trading your fake assets for other people's real assets is one of the oldest CONS.
Edited on Tue Mar-24-09 10:30 AM by glitch
Stiglitz, Krugman, Galbraith and Baker are correct IMO. Summers, Geithner, WTH?

edit: here is a common dreams link (sorry, gotta thing about cnbc ;))

http://www.commondreams.org/view/2009/03/24-8
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The_Casual_Observer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-24-09 10:26 AM
Response to Original message
11. guys like that are totally irrelevant anymore. The caravan is rolling along
while the dog barks in the night.
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MarjorieG Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-24-09 10:31 AM
Response to Original message
12. Both these academics don't mention alternatives, or what to do with the complicated size.
I'm livid they convey that solutions are easy, just not Geithner's.

How do we conduct a government and have a bank crisis? How do we not try something that will reduce and price the assets first, requiring less insurance?
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KittyWampus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-24-09 02:32 PM
Response to Reply #12
16. "complicate size" is a canard. Alternatives have been mentioned, alternatives we've used in the past
Edited on Tue Mar-24-09 02:32 PM by KittyWampus
and have been proven to work.

The ONLY thing attractive about Geithner's plan is that it allows all the toxic assets to retain their bogus, inflated value with no one actually assessing their real-world worth. All he's doing is continuing the shell game.
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chill_wind Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-24-09 02:54 PM
Response to Reply #16
18. And they don' claim "easy" (another canard).
They just talk about what they feel might be fairer, wiser, or more beneficial to more Americans over time than the ongoing wealth transfer to the crooks.
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chill_wind Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-24-09 12:45 PM
Response to Original message
14. Joseph Stiglitz on the Banks (February) Revisited
Edited on Tue Mar-24-09 12:46 PM by chill_wind
Video and the rest of the transcript at the link-- this portion is partway through.






Nobel Prize-Winning Economist Joseph Stiglitz:
Obama Has Confused Saving the Banks with Saving the Bankers


We get reaction to President Obama’s speech from Nobel economics laureate and former World Bank chief economist, Joseph Stiglitz. Stiglitz says the Obama administration has failed to address the structural and regulatory flaws at the heart of the financial crisis that stand in the way of economic recovery. Stiglitz also talks about why he thinks Obama’s strategy on Afghanistan is wrong and that Obama’s plan to keep a “residual force” in Iraq will be “very expensive.” On health care, Stiglitz says a single-payer system is “the only alternative.”



(...)

AMY GOODMAN: Should the banks be nationalized?

JOSEPH STIGLITZ: Many of the banks clearly should be put into, you might say, conservatorship. Americans don’t like to use the word “nationalization.” We do it all the time. We do it every week.

AMY GOODMAN: Explain.

JOSEPH STIGLITZ: Well, if banks don’t have enough capital so that they can meet the commitments they’ve made to the depositors, at the end of every week the FDIC looks at the balance sheet, and it says, “You don’t have enough capital. You’re not allowed to continue.” And then what they do is they either find some other bank to take it over and fill in the hole, or they take it into government control—it sounds terrible, to take it into government control—and then sell it.

And that’s what other countries have done when they faced this kind of problem—the countries that have done it well. One of the important lessons is this is the kind of thing can be done well, could be done badly. And the countries that have done badly have wound up paying to restructure the bank 20, 30, 40 percent, even 50 percent of GDP. We’re on our way to that kind of debacle. But that shows you how bad things can be, how costly it can be, if you don’t do it well.

AMY GOODMAN: We’re talking to Joe Stiglitz. He won the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2001, professor at Columbia University, former chief economist at the World Bank. We’ll be back with him in a minute.



AMY GOODMAN: Joe Stiglitz, our guest, he’s the Nobel Prize-winning economist from Columbia University and co-author of The Three Trillion Dollar War: The True Cost of the Iraq Conflict.

So, you’re saying small and big banks are being treated differently.

JOSEPH STIGLITZ: Very much so. The small banks were shut down. The big banks—Citibank, Bank of America—we’re giving huge bailouts.

Most interesting case is actually AIG, not even a bank, and we poured in $150 billion. Originally, they said they only needed $20 billion. And then, every few hours, every few days, the losses got bigger, another $60 billion. Now, that fact, the fact that we keep getting bad news and have to pour money in, should make us really worried. The question is, why did we bail out AIG? What they said is, the reason we bailed it out is if we didn’t bail it out, there would be consequences somewhere else. They didn’t tell us where.

It would make much more sense if we looked at where the consequences were and deal with the problems as they turn out. Just for instance, some of the, quote, “insurance policy derivatives” were not in the United States. The people that would have problems may be gamblers, may be other institutions abroad. Do American taxpayers want to be bailing out institutions abroad? That’s a question we ought to be debating. There may be pension funds that may be hurt. Well, some of the pension funds may be able to withstand it; other pension funds will need to have assistance. But let’s get the money going to where we think it ought to go, rather than this trickle-down approach that we’ve been using with AIG.

AMY GOODMAN: Very quickly, which countries do you think did things well, and which didn’t?

JOSEPH STIGLITZ: Well, Sweden and Norway did things very well back in the end of the ’80s, beginning of the ’90s.

The UK, I think, has been doing it much better than the United States. Its problems are bigger— we have to realize that—because its banking sector was a more important part of the economy, and one of the banks actually had liabilities greater than the GDP of the UK. So it’s going to be facing a very difficult time. But the fact of the matter is, the way Gordon Brown did it, replacing the heads of the banks—it was real sense of accountability there. Government got control and shares commensurate with the money that it was paying in—it wasn’t a giveaway—and now trying to make sure that they start lending, forward-looking. So it’s clearly—they have a much clearer concept of what is needed.

AMY GOODMAN: Why is Obama saving these bankers?



his response and the rest at


http://www.democracynow.org/2009/2/25/stieglitz
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malaise Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-24-09 02:32 PM
Response to Original message
17. He is correct n/t
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Karmadillo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-24-09 03:51 PM
Response to Original message
19. Just wait until President Obama finds out about the Geithner plan. Then we'll see
some change we can believe in. You just wait.
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Pastiche423 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-24-09 04:38 PM
Response to Reply #19
20. WTF?
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earth mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-25-09 02:42 AM
Response to Original message
21. K & R. nt
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